Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Phillies on Saturday, August 31st, 2024 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Phillies free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
(74-61) Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies (79-56)
Date: Saturday, August 31st
Time: 7:15 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Zack Wheeler
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves +124 | Phillies -146 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves +1.5 | Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Braves vs. Phillies Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Philadelphia, as the Phillies host the Braves in an NL East showdown. First pitch is set for 7:15 at Citizens Bank Park, with the game airing on FOX. The Phillies are the favorites in this one, with a money line of -146 compared to the Braves at +124.
Max Fried will take the mound for the Braves, while Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -108 compared to the under at -112.
Atlanta picked up a 7-2 road win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Braves were at +118 on the money line.
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Ranger Suarez got the start for the Phillies, going just four innings while giving up four runs and took the loss. Reynaldo Lopez put together a good outing for the Braves, getting the win after going six innings and giving up one earned run.
Offensively, the Braves were led by Orlando Arcia and Sean Murphy, as they were the only two Braves hitters to have more than one hit. Arcia, Matt Olson, and Marcell Ozuna each had two RBIs.
With an overall record of 74-61, the Braves are five games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have gone 23-19 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves have been playing well of late, going 7-3 over their last ten games, and they are currently tied with the Phillies in their series at one game each.
Atlanta has won five straight series, and they are 23-15-5 in series this year. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 62-47 and 12-14 as the underdog. They have been a solid team on the road, putting together a record of 38-33.
Atlanta is on the road against Philadelphia today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Braves’ games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-79. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-13-1. Overall, 58.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Braves Gambling
When betting the run line on the Braves this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 64-71 overall, but they are 38-33 on the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in seven straight road games and are 16-10 as an underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.6, while it’s -3.3 in losses.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Their home offense has been a bit weaker, averaging 4.0 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. However, they have hit 179 home runs this season, which is 4th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson. Ozuna is hitting .309 with 37 home runs and 98 RBI. Olson has been hot lately, hitting .364 with 4 home runs and 13 RBI over his last 8 games. He is currently on a 7-game hitting streak.
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With an overall record of 79-56, the Phillies lead the NL East by five games over the Braves. The Phillies are 21-15 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 45-25 this season, and they have gone 34-31 on the road.
Philadelphia has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 23-15-6 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 67-41, and they are 44-22 as the favorite at home. Their overall record as the underdog is 12-15. The Phillies are 6-4 across their last 10 games and are currently tied with the Braves in their series.
The Phillies have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 63-65, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 17-15-1. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Phillies Gambling
When betting the Phillies on the run line this season, they have a record of 65-70. They have been a better bet on the road, going 33-32 compared to 32-38 at home. As the favorite, they are 51-57 on the run line, while as the underdog, they are 14-13. Their average run margin this season is +0.8 runs per game.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 8th in runs per game with an average of 4.8. Their home offense has been particularly potent, as they are 3rd in the league in runs per game at home with 5.1. The Phillies are 3rd in the league in batting average at .258, and their .327 OBP and .421 SLG are both 5th in the league. Bryce Harper has been hot at the plate, hitting .394 over his last 9 games, while J.T. Realmuto is currently on a 7-game hitting streak.
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Braves Phillies Pitching
Max Fried will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Twins. In that outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 runs, 1 earned, on 4 hits. Looking back further, Fried has given up at least 2 earned runs in each of his last three outings. Fried’s ERA for the season is 3.50, along with a record of 8-7. Out of his 23 starts, Fried has 11 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. His ERA on the road is 5.74, compared to 5.28 at home.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves at home. Wheeler has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 2.75. So far, he has turned in 20 quality starts and has a WHIP of 1.00. Wheeler’s last outing came against the Astros, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Wheeler has been tough to beat at home, coming in with a record of 8-3 and an ERA of 2.71.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Braves head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Braves they are 8-2 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Phillies are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Phillies have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Braves are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Phillies have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this one is a 5-4 win for the Phillies, and with their money line sitting at -146, that is the way we recommend playing this one. Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler has a better chance of picking up a win than Max Fried, and he is also projected to finish with more strikeouts.
Offensively, we have the Braves finishing with more hits than the Phillies, but the Phillies are projected to hit more home runs. However, the Braves are projected to finish with just four runs, which is the fifth lowest in the league today.
For the Phillies, they are projected to finish with five runs, which is 20th in the league. So if you’re looking to play this one on the over/under line, we would go with the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Stotty 💥@Toyota x #RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/COvZna0HRk
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) August 30, 2024
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