Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Phillies on 8/28 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Phillies free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
(61-72) Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies (76-57)
Date: Aug 28, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Cal Quantrill vs. Aaron Nola
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves 159 | Phillies -189 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves 1.5 | Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
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Braves vs. Phillies Gameday
Meanwhile, the Atlanta Braves are riding a two-game win streak. They recently dominated the Miami Marlins, scoring 12-1 in their last outing. Their recent form suggests they are playing with momentum.
On the other side, the Philadelphia Phillies have hit a rough patch with three losses in a row. Despite this, they hold a solid home record of 42-22. They need to turn things around quickly to maintain their lead in the NL East.
Tonight’s game at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia sets the stage for an interesting battle. The Braves, with a road record of 28-39, will try to improve their standing. In contrast, the Phillies will look to break their losing streak and defend their home turf.
The weather forecast calls for warm temperatures with a light breeze, under overcast skies. Fans can catch the game on NSPPH at 6:45 PM. Both teams aim to make an impact in this crucial division matchup.
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Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds & Last 5
In this game, the odds show the Phillies as the favorite with a moneyline of -190. Meanwhile, the Braves are listed at +159. The runline gives the Braves a +1.5 at -121, while the Phillies have a -1.5 at +101.
Previously, the Braves had a stellar performance against the Marlins, winning 12-1. Their recent games against Miami included two strong wins, with impressive hitting from players like Ozzie Albies and Jurickson Profar. The Phillies, however, are coming off a tough stretch with losses to the Mets, their latest being a 6-0 shutout.
As both teams prepare for this game, the Braves seek to continue their winning ways. On the other hand, the Phillies aim to use their home advantage to end their losing streak. The total over/under for this game is set at 9.5, with slight lean towards the under at -112.
Phillies Stats
First, let’s dive into the Phillies’ hitting stats. They have a batting average of .256, ranking 3rd in the league. This shows they can consistently get on base, as seen with their on-base percentage of .325, which ranks 5th.
Additionally, their slugging percentage stands at .420, placing them 9th in the league. This suggests they have some power in their lineup. They have hit 161 home runs, ranking 11th, showing they can hit the long ball when needed.
On the pitching side, the Phillies have an earned run average of 3.85, which ranks 10th. They have a batting average against of .245, placing them 14th. This indicates they can limit opposing teams’ hits effectively.
Moreover, the Phillies’ pitching staff has given up 144 home runs, ranking 8th. They have 72 quality starts, leading the league. This shows their starters can go deep into games while maintaining control.
However, the Phillies have faced some recent struggles. They have lost their last three games against the Mets, with scores of 6-0, 6-5, and 13-3. Despite these losses, they had two wins against the Nationals before that, with scores of 3-2 and 6-4.
Finally, key players like Kyle Schwarber lead the team with 45 home runs. Trea Turner and Bryce Harper have also contributed with solid batting averages of .297 and .267, respectively. These players will be crucial as the Phillies look to regain their momentum.
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Braves Stats
First, let’s dive into the Atlanta Braves’ hitting stats. They have a batting average of .244, which places them 11th in the league. Their on-base percentage is a solid .320, ranking 8th.
Moreover, the Braves have hit 152 home runs, ranking 13th. They also have 202 doubles, placing them 16th in that category. Additionally, they have drawn 483 walks, which is impressive and ranks 3rd in the league.
On the pitching side, the Braves have an earned run average of 4.33, ranking 22nd. Their batting average against is .244, which is 13th in the league. They have given up 156 home runs, placing them 15th.
Furthermore, the Braves have 56 quality starts, ranking 5th. They have blown 17 saves, which is 3rd in the league. Additionally, the team has accumulated 1,141 strikeouts, ranking 11th.
Recently, the Braves have shown strong momentum. They won two consecutive games against the Miami Marlins, scoring 12-1 and 11-2. However, they did lose a close one, 2-1, to the Marlins in the series opener.
In terms of top hitters, Matt Olson leads the team with a .265 batting average and 20 home runs. Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna also contribute significantly, with Albies having 13 home runs and Ozuna matching Olson with 20. The Braves’ lineup remains a threat to any pitching staff.
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Braves vs. Phillies Pitching Matchup
Cal Quantrill takes the mound for the Atlanta Braves. He has an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.42. With a win-loss record of 4-11, Quantrill looks to improve his performance.
Quantrill has struggled in recent games. However, he aims to turn things around. His strikeout numbers could use a boost to help the team.
On the other side, Aaron Nola starts for the Philadelphia Phillies. Nola has an ERA of 6.52 and a WHIP of 1.53. His win-loss record stands at 2-7, indicating a challenging season.
Nola’s recent outings have not been ideal. Yet, he hopes to find his rhythm soon. Increasing his strikeouts might be key for better results.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies have lost their last three games straight-up.
- Also, the Braves have won four of their last five games straight-up.
- The total has gone over in four of the last five games for the Braves.
- The Phillies have hit the under in three of their last five games.
- Additionally, the Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
Braves vs Phillies Prediction: Braves ML +159
The Braves are rolling, winning 4 of their last 5, and they’ve been covering the run line in nearly all of those wins. Their bats are hot, hitting .256 as a team, which ranks third in the league. That kind of production is tough to ignore, especially against a Phillies staff carrying a 4.33 ERA.
On the flip side, the Phillies are in a funk, dropping three straight and failing to cover the run line in 4 of their last 5. Sure, they’ve been strong at home with a 42-22 record, but right now they look vulnerable.
Atlanta’s momentum makes them dangerous despite a less-than-stellar road record.
With +159 on the moneyline, the Braves bring plenty of value in this spot. Their recent form suggests they can handle Philadelphia, and the odds sweeten the play even more.
Betting on Atlanta here feels like the right move.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
The new bartender looks kinda familiar
📺 https://t.co/yFfzAZzGGi@MillerLite x #RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/n7865DkvXW
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) August 27, 2025
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