Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Mets at Citi Field, New York Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Mets free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(10-12-0) Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets (15-7-0)
Date: Monday, May 2nd
Time: 7:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Citi Field New York
Projected Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Chris Bassitt
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves OFF Mets OFF
MLB run line Betting Odds: Braves +1.5, Mets -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: OFF
For the Phillies, they have been the underdog in 27.0% of their games, overcoming the odds 56% of the time. In these matchups, they have a scoring average of 2 runs, on an average scoring differential of -0.5. On the season, the Mets have been favored in 86.0% of their games, posting a win percentage of 74.0%. As the favorites, they have an average scoring differential of 1.84, while averaging 5 runs per game.
Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves take on the New York hoping to improve on their record of just 10-12-0, placing them 4th in the NL East division. Atlanta has gone 4-6 in their games on the road. To start the year, Atlanta has picked up just 1 series win, going 1-4-2.
Against New York, the Braves will send Max Fried to the mound. Through 4 starts Fried has picked up just 2 wins, with an overall record of 2-2. Heading into his start, he has an ERA of 3.0. This comes while averaging 6.0 per outing. A key to Fried’s success at limiting runs is opposing hitters have a batting average of just 0.233 against the left-hander. His strong statistical start to the season is also backed by a FIP figure of just 2.22. So far, Max Fried is giving up an average of just 0.38 long balls per 9 innings pitched, including a home run to fly ball ratio of 5.6. Up to this point, he has a strikeout percentage of 22.3% and a per-game average of 8.0.
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New York Mets
As the Mets, play host to Atlanta, they have put together a record 15-7-0, placing them 1st in the NL East division. So far, New York have been tough in their 9 games Citi Field, posting a home record of 6-3. When looking at how New York has performed in their previous series, they an above .500 record, going a combined 6-0-1.
For New York, Chris Bassitt comes into this game making his 5th start of the season, on an overall record of 3-1. To date, Bassitt is lasting an average of 6.0 innings per appearance while posting a strong ERA of just 2.25. Opposing teams are having trouble generating runs against him as they are hitting just 0.179 against the right-hander. In addition to a strong earned run average, his FIP of 3.09 confirms his strong performances thus far. Despite his strong FIP, home runs have been an issue for Bassitt as he gave up 0.75 homers per 9 innings pitched on an HR/FB (flyball) ratio of 8.7%.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
- Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Mets are 12-5 in their last 17 overall.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Prediction:
When facing left-handed pitching, New York is averaging just 0.13 runs per at-bat, placing them 15th in the league. A strong reason for their lack of run-scoring vs lefties is they have combined to hit just 0.236 against left-handed pitching. Coming into this matchup, Atlanta is ranked just 16th in runs scored vs right-handed pitching. If the Braves are going to pick up their scoring vs right-handed pitching, they will need to improve upon their team batting average of just 0.222, (21st). Look for this to be a low-scoring game, falling below the posted OU betting line.
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