Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Mets on at Citi Field, New York Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Mets free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(11-13-0) Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets (16-8-0)
Date: Wednesday, May 4th
Time: 01:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Citi Field New York
Projected Pitchers: Ian Anderson vs. Tylor Megill
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves 100 Mets -120
MLB run line Betting Odds: Braves +1.5, Mets -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: OFF
Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves take on the New York hoping to improve on their record of just 11-13-0, placing them 4th in the NL East division. Atlanta has gone 5-6 in their games on the road. The Braves are hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 5-2 win over the NY Mets. To start the year, Atlanta has picked up just 2 series wins, going 2-4-2.
Against New York, the Braves will send Ian Anderson to the mound. Through 4 starts Anderson has picked up 2 wins on an overall record of 2-1. Heading into his start, he has an ERA of 4.66. This comes while averaging 4.78 per outing. So far, opposing team’s have had no problem driving in runs against Anderson, despite hitting just 0.194 against the right-hander. His rough start to the year is also backed by an FIP score of 5.05, an above average figure for MLB starters.
On offense, Atlanta comes into the game averaging 3.92 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. So far, the Braves offense has struggled to generate runs as they have not been able to string together hits, ranking 20th in team batting average (0.229). Even though Atlanta’s offense is off to a slow start in team batting average, they are averaging 1.21 home runs per contest, 1.21 best in baseball. On average, the Braves has been able to drive the ball over the fence once every 27.07 at bats, good for 3rd.
New York Mets
As the Mets, play host to Atlanta, they have put together a record 16-8-0, placing them 1st in the NL East division. Through 11 games at Citi Field, New York is above .500, sitting at 7-4 at home. The Mets hope to get back on track, after falling to Atlanta by a score of 5-2 When looking at how New York has performed in their previous series, they an above .500 record, going a combined 7-1-0.
For New York, Tylor Megill comes into this game making his 6th start of the season, on an overall record of 4-0. To date, Megill is lasting an average of 5.6 innings per appearance while posting a strong ERA of just 1.93. Opposing teams are having trouble generating runs against him as they are hitting just 0.182 against the right-hander. In addition to a strong earned run average, his FIP confirms 2.72 his performances thus far. Through 5 starts, Tylor Megill has done a good job limiting home runs, averaging just 0.64 long balls per 9 innings pitched, on a home run to fly ball ratio of 8.3.
New York enters this game with the 8th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.58 runs per contest. Through 24, the Mets have put together a batting average 0.257, good for 2nd in the league. So far, the team’s strong batting average has not translated to strong power numbers, as New York is averaging 0.79 home runs per contest (20th).
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Braves are 23-9 in their last 32 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 19-8 in their last 27 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Prediction:
Coming into this matchup, Atlanta is ranked just 17th in runs scored vs right-handed pitching. If the Braves are going to pick up their scoring vs right-handed pitching, they will need to improve upon their team batting average of just 0.225, (20th). Not only is the team struggling to string together hits against right-handed pitching, but they also have a below-average BB% at just 8.4. W
Against right-handed pitching, New York is ranked 9th, averaging 0.13 runs per at bat. This strong scoring output also comes on a batting average of 0.268, 2nd the best in the league. So far, the team has also benefited from staying patient at the palte, draw a walk on 9.1% of their at bats (vs right). In terms of slugging percentage, the Mets are ranked 5th, at 0.401.
I recommend taking the Mets on the moneyline.
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