Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Mets on Thursday, July 25th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Mets free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
(54-46) Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets (53-48)
Date: Thursday, July 25th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale vs. Luis Severino
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves -131 | Mets +110 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Braves vs. Mets Gameday
At 7:10 PM ET in New York, the Mets will host the Braves in an NL East showdown. The pitching matchup features Chris Sale for the Braves against Luis Severino for the Mets. The Braves are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, while the Mets are riding a three-game winning streak.
Currently, the Braves are favored with a money line of -131 compared to the Mets at +110. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -108 compared to the under at -114. If you can’t make it to the ballpark, you can catch the game on BSSE.
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is on the road today to take on the Mets, having lost four straight games. Currently, they are 2nd in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies. So far, they are 14-12 in the division and have an overall record of 54-46.
At home, the Braves are 30-21 this season compared to 24-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 50-37 and 4-9 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 17-13-3, and they have dropped two straight series.
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The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 9-4 loss. Atlanta was actually the slight favorite at -129 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Reds scored four times in the first.
Atlanta’s offense scored their only four runs in the 2nd inning. The Braves then went on to load the bases in the 3rd but couldn couldn’t push any more runs across. Orlando Arcia was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored and a walk. The Braves also had three other players with two hits.
Braves Gambling
When the Braves are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs for their game against the Mets. The combined run average for Braves games this season is 7.9 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Braves games this season is 35-60, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Braves have a record of 6-11 in those games. This season, 77.0% of Braves games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
When it comes to the run line, the Braves have been a team to avoid, as they are just 45-55 on the season. They have been slightly better on the road, going 24-25, but they have been on a run line losing streak when favored, failing to cover in their last four games. Their average run differential on the season is +0.5 runs per game.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves offense has been average this season, scoring 4.2 runs per game, which ranks 19th in the league. Their home and road splits are identical at 4.2 runs per game. The team’s batting average of .241 is 12th in the league, while their OPS of .706 is 13th. Marcell Ozuna has been the team’s top hitter this season, leading the team in batting average (.306), OBP (.382), home runs (28), and RBI (80). In the last 5 games, Eddie Rosario is hitting .235 with 2 home runs and 5 RBI, while Marcell Ozuna is hitting .368 with 2 home runs and 3 RBI. The Braves have a few players on hitting streaks, including Travis d’Arnaud, Orlando Arcia, Ronald Acuña Jr., and Michael Harris II, who all have hit streaks of 4 or more games.
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New York Mets
The Mets are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 10.5 games. Overall, the Mets are 53-48 heading into today’s game vs. the Braves, who are 2nd in the NL East, one spot ahead of the Mets. New York has gone 18-14 against other teams in the NL East this season.
At home, the Mets are an even 26-26 this season and 27-22 on the road. New York has won three straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10. As the underdog, the Mets are 21-22 this year, which includes winning two straight as the underdog. Their overall series record is 16-12-6 this season.
New York is coming off a big 12-3 win over the Yankees to close out their series. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +145 on the money line. It was a six-run 8th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Yankees could only score one run in the bottom of the 9th to make things look a little closer.
Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Mets’s offense was carried by Francisco Lindor, who went 3/6 with two homers and five RBIs.
Mets Gambling
When the New York Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs for their game against the Atlanta Braves. The Mets have played in 69 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, which accounts for 68.3% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this year, and their over/under record is 54-44 overall.
The Mets have a run line record of 48-53 this season, including a 21-31 mark at home. They have a run line record of 27-22 on the road, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.4.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which ranks 6th in the league. They have been particularly strong on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game away from home, which is 1st in the league. The Mets have hit a total of 132 home runs this season, which is 4th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Brandon Nimmo. Lindor has been especially hot lately, hitting .371 with 5 home runs and 12 RBI over his last 9 games. The Mets have a few players on hitting streaks, with Lindor leading the way with a 9-game streak.
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Braves Mets Pitching
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 13-3. Sale’s ERA is currently 2.70, and he has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.64. At home, his ERA is 3.40. Sale has made 10 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just one earned run in five innings of work. He picked up the win in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.58. So far this year, he has made 19 starts, and opponents are batting .217 off the right-hander. Severino’s WHIP for the season is 1.18. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run, picking up the win after going six innings of work. Looking back further, he has won each of his last two starts. The right-hander has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 6.85 strikeouts per nine innings.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Braves head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Braves they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Braves are 0-3 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
There are a few different ways you could look to bet on this game, but we are recommending that you take the Braves on the money line, with the payout sitting at -131. We do have the Braves winning this one by a score of 6-2, and with the payout being better than the payout for the Mets, we like the value on the Braves.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Sale has the highest strikeout projection among starters, and we have him finishing with nine K’s. As for Luis Severino, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have him going 11th worst in terms of innings pitched.
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