Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Brewers Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Brewers on Monday, July 29th, 2024 at American Family Field, in Milwaukee, WI. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Brewers free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers
(56-48) Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers (60-45)
Date: Monday, July 29th
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: American Family Field Milwaukee, WI
Projected Starting Pitchers: Grant Holmes vs. Colin Rea
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves +105 | Brewers -123 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves +1.5 | Brewers -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Braves vs. Brewers Gameday
At 8:10 PM ET in Milwaukee, the Braves and Brewers will be squaring off in this NL matchup. The Braves are sending Grant Holmes to the mound, while the Brewers are countering with Colin Rea. The Brewers are currently the favorite, with a money line of -123 compared to the Braves’ +105.
Looking at the over/under line, it’s currently set at 8.5 runs. The over is currently at -110, while the under is also at -110. If you’re looking at the run line, the Braves are at +1.5 (-202), while the Brewers are at -1.5 (+164).
Atlanta Braves
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers, the Braves are 56-48 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL East, 8.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Braves are on a two-game winning streak, and they are 16-14 against other teams in the NL East this year.
At home, the Braves have gone 30-21 this year, and they are just above .500 at 26-27 on the road. Atlanta’s series record is 18-13-4 this year, and they have dropped two straight series at home. As the favorite, the Braves are 50-38 and 6-10 as the underdog.
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The Braves’ offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mets, closing out their series with a 9-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Mets in the bottom of the first, the Braves responded with four runs of their own. Atlanta went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.
Reynaldo Lopez put together a good start for the Braves, going three innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out two. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Austin Riley, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Braves Gambling
When the Braves are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season. Overall, the Braves have gone over the total in 37 of their 99 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Braves have gone over the total in 10 of 28 games.
The Braves have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 47-57 overall. They have been better on the road, going 26-27, and have covered in two straight games. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 8-8, compared to 39-49 as the favorite.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves offense has been below average this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which ranks 20th in the league. Their batting average of .239 is 13th in the league, and their 125 home runs are 8th in the league. Marcell Ozuna has been the team’s top hitter this season, with a .306 batting average, 30 home runs, and 82 RBIs. He has been on a hot streak, hitting .333 over his last 9 games. Matt Olson has also been a key contributor, with 15 home runs and 48 RBIs this season.
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Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 60-45 overall and leads the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. The Brewers went 23-13 in divisional games. They are at home today, where they are 30-19 this year. Milwaukee has been a solid team on the road, going 30-26 heading into today’s matchup.
As the favorite, the Brewers have gone 34-24 this year and 24-13 as the favorite at home. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 19-12-3, and they have won two straight series on the road. However, they have dropped three straight series at home.
The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 6-2 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the top of the first, the Brewers responded with two runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Brewers was Jakob Junis, who picked up the win while tossing four innings of one-run ball. He also finished with nine K’s and issued just one walk. Jake Bauers went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Brewers Gambling
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home against the Atlanta Braves today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 56-44. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 23-17. Overall, 20.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of -2.8 runs per game. They are 55-50 against the run line this season, including 24-25 at home. As the favorite, they are just 23-35 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 32-15.
Brewers Stats
The Milwaukee Brewers have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 9th in the MLB. Their batting average of .254 is 5th in the league, and their OBP of .331 is 3rd. They have been particularly strong at home, scoring 5.0 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. Their top hitters for the season include William Contreras, Willy Adames, and Rhys Hoskins. Rhys Hoskins is currently on a 4-game hitting streak, and Jackson Chourio has also been hot at the plate, hitting .375 over his last 8 games.
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Braves Brewers Pitching
Grant Holmes will be making the start for the Braves today, and he has yet to pick up a win this season. In 10 appearances, he has an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of .94. Opponents are batting .195 this season off Holmes. The right-hander has made four appearances on the road and has an ERA of 2.25 in those outings. Holmes most recently pitched on July 24th, where he went 3 1/3 innings out of the bullpen, giving up two earned runs, five hits, and three walks. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Braves. Rea has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.60 ERA. In his 20 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.87 strikeouts per nine innings. Rea’s last outing came vs. the Cubs, where he went five innings, giving up no earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in four straight outings. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 6-2 record and 3.86 ERA compared to 3-1 with a 3.63 ERA on the road.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Braves head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Braves they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Brewers are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Brewers have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Braves are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Brewers have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 3-0 in their last three games.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for today’s Braves vs. Brewers game is to take the Braves on the money line, with the payout being +105. We actually have the Braves winning this one by a score of 7-4, giving us some room to take them on the money line or even on the run line if you can get a nice number.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Colin Rea finishing with just five strikeouts, which is the eighth lowest among today’s starters. We also have Rea’s final line being 12th among starters, so we would stay away from him in the strikeout markets.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Boys balled out to end the series on a high note#ThisIsMyCrew x @MillerLite pic.twitter.com/FVVe6w8Bsm
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) July 28, 2024
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