Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Red Sox on Friday, May 16th, 2024 at Fenway Park, in Boston, MA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Red Sox free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox
(22-22) Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (22-23)
Date: Friday, May 16th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Fenway Park Boston, MA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale vs. Garrett Crochet
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves +105 | Red Sox -124 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves +1.5 | Red Sox -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Braves vs. Red Sox Gameday
At 7:10 PM ET, the Braves and Red Sox face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Fenway Park in Boston, and the Red Sox are the slight favorites on the money line (-124). The money line odds for the Braves are sitting at +105.
Friday’s forecast in Boston calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the upper 70s. Garrett Crochet is slated to start for the Red Sox, and the Braves are starting Chris Sale. Atlanta is 22-22, while the Red Sox are 22-23, and Sale will look to help them snap a three-game losing streak.
Atlanta Braves
Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -200. Offensively, the Braves scored their five runs on nine hits and didn’t hit a home run.
AJ Smith-Shawver got the start for the Braves, going six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Nationals batters. Drake Baldwin was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored and a RBI.
With an overall record of 22-22, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, six games behind the Mets for the division lead. So far, they have gone 6-3 in divisional games. The Braves are just coming off taking 3 of 4 from the Nationals.
On the road, the Braves are 7-15 this year compared to going 15-7 at home. As the road underdog, the Braves have gone 7-15 this year, and they have yet to be favored in a game. Their overall series record is 7-6-1.
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Braves Stats
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. At home, they have been slightly better at 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 16th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .312 is 13th in the MLB. The Braves have been led offensively by Austin Riley, who is hitting .286 for the season and has a team-high 26 RBIs to go along with 8 homers.
Drake Baldwin has been on a tear of late, going 11/16 over his last seven games, with one home run and five RBIs. Austin Riley is also on a five-game hitting streak. Over his last eight games, Matt Olson has just five hits in 31 at-bats.
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Boston Red Sox
Boston closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a 6-5 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +204 on the money line. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Tigers scored in the bottom of the first.
Hunter Dobbins got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up five earned runs on nine hits. The Red Sox’s offense scored their other four runs in the 2nd inning. Alex Bregman went 3/4 with a homer and a run scored.
Boston will open their series vs. the Braves four games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Red Sox are 22-23 overall and have lost three straight games, dropping all three games of their most recent series vs. the Tigers. So far, they are 6-7 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Red Sox are 11-9 this year and 11-14 on the road. As the underdog, Boston has an overall record of 22-23 compared to 0-0 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are an even 7-7 this year.
Red Sox Stats
So far this season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is the 6th best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .255, which is the 8th best mark in the league, and are also near the top of the league in both slugging and on-base percentage.
Both Alex Bregman and Wilyer Abreu are among the league leaders in home runs, with both players having gone deep 11 times this season. Bregman is also hitting .314 for the season, and Devers is batting .278. Over his last seven games, Devers has gone 12/27 with two homers and nine RBIs. Bregman has two homers in this stretch but is just 7/28.
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Braves Red Sox Pitching
Left-hander Chris Sale is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces his former team, the Red Sox. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.96. Sale’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.41. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits. Sale has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 12.08 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed five home runs. One of those came in his most recent outing.
Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Braves at home. Crochet has made nine starts this year and has a record of 4-2 with a 1.93 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Crochet has a WHIP of 1.07 and has allowed a total of three home runs. One of those homers came in his most recent outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. Crochet has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 4-0 and a 1.74 ERA compared to 0-2 with a 2.65 ERA at home.
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Braves head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Braves they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Red Sox are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Red Sox have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Braves are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Red Sox have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction: Red Sox ML -124
With the Red Sox at -124 to pick up a win at home, that is the direction we recommend going for a money line pick. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Red Sox, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Chris Sale finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Garrett Crochet with seven. However, we have Crochet finishing with a better ERA and giving up fewer hits than Sale.
Offensively, we have the Red Sox finishing with nine hits compared to the Braves with seven. If you’re looking for some home runs, the Red Sox are projected to finish with more than the Braves.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
ARE YOU KIDDING?!?!
WILYER & CEDDANNE MAKE UNBELIEVABLE GRAB. pic.twitter.com/8WEKwRRay9
— Red Sox (@RedSox) May 15, 2025
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