Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Diamondbacks on Monday, July 8th, 2024 at Chase Field, in Arizona, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Diamondbacks free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks
(49-39) Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (45-45)
Date: Monday, July 8th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ
Projected Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale vs. Yilber Diaz
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves -192 | Diamondbacks +161 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves -1.5 | Diamondbacks +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Braves vs. Diamondbacks Gameday
At 9:40 PM ET, the Atlanta Braves will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in this NL matchup. The game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ, and you can catch the action on MLBN. The Braves are currently favored to win this one, with a money line of -192 compared to the Diamondbacks’ +161.
On the mound for the Braves is Chris Sale, while the Diamondbacks will counter with Yilber Diaz. The over/under line for the game is currently set at 8 runs, with the over at -113 and the under at -108.
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is on the road today, taking on the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 49-39. They are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East but took two of three in their most recent series vs. the Phillies. This season, they have gone 14-12 in divisional games.
At home, the Braves have been good, going 29-17, and they are just above .500 at 20-22 on the road. The Braves have been the favorite in most of their games this year, putting together a record of 46-33 as the favorite. As for their record as the road favorite, they are 17-16 this season. Atlanta has an overall series record of 17-11-2 this year.
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The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 6-0 win. After allowing one run in the top of the first, the Braves responded with five runs of their own. Atlanta went on to add another run in the 2nd inning.
Reynaldo Lopez put together a good start for the Braves, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out six Phillies batters. Adam Duvall was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and a run scored. The Braves also had three other players with two hits.
Braves Gambling
The Braves are on the road in Arizona today, where the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Atlanta’s games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 30-54. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 4-6-1. Overall, 65.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Despite a losing run line record overall, the Braves have been a solid bet on the road this season, going 21-21 against the run line away from home. Their average run margin on the road is +0.6, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been an average offensive team this season, ranking 16th in runs per game both at home and on the road. Their batting average of .243 is 11th in the league, and their 100 total home runs rank 11th. The Braves have struggled with plate discipline, ranking 20th in walks. Marcell Ozuna has been the team’s top hitter this season, leading the team in batting average, on-base percentage, home runs, and RBIs. In terms of recent performances, Ozzie Albies has been hot, hitting .391 over his last 6 games. Ronald Acuña Jr. and Michael Harris II are currently on hitting streaks.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is at an even 45-45 this season, and they are 9.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West and picked up two straight wins to close out their series with the Padres. So far, they have gone 19-14 in divisional games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 22-21 this season and 23-24 on the road. Arizona has won two straight games at home, and they have won four straight games as the underdog. As the underdog overall, the Diamondbacks are 23-27 and 22-18 as the favorite.
The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Padres, closing out their series with a 9-1 win. After allowing one run to the Padres in the bottom of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with a run of their own and added another five runs in the 2nd inning. Arizona went on to score a total of nine runs on 12 hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Ryne Nelson got the start for the Diamondbacks, going 6 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He was efficient, throwing just 81 pitches, and gave up only one run on three hits. Arizona’s offense was carried by Eugenio Suarez, who went 3/4 with a double, five RBIs, and a run scored. The Diamondbacks also had three other players with two hits.
Diamondbacks Gambling
The Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 47-41, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over has hit at a 7-2-1 clip. Arizona has seen 73.3% of their games with higher lines than 8 runs, and their over streak is at six games.
Arizona has been a solid run line bet this season, going 45-45 overall. They’ve been a bit better on the road, going 26-21 vs. 19-24 at home. They’ve been a good bet as the underdog, going 29-21 vs. 16-24 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +4.4, while it’s -4.2 in losses.
Diamondbacks Stats
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 6th in runs per game with 4.9. Their batting average of .255 is 5th in the league, and their OBP of .325 is 4th. Christian Walker has been on a tear lately, hitting .390 over his last 10 games with 5 home runs and 14 RBI. The Diamondbacks have been getting consistent production from Ketel Marte, who is hitting .284 with 17 home runs and 51 RBI this season.
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Braves Diamondbacks Pitching
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 11-3 to go along with an ERA of 2.71. Sale’s WHIP for the season is .91, and opponents are batting .193 off the left-hander this year. In his last outing, Sale went six innings, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Sale has been much better at home this year, coming in with an ERA of 3.40 compared to 2.65 on the road.
For today’s game against the Braves, the Diamondbacks will rely on Yilber Diaz to set the tone. It’s his debut for the season and he’s looking to put together a strong start in his debut.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Braves head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Braves they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Braves are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Diamondbacks have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 3-0 in their last three games.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
With the Diamondbacks sitting at +161 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted score is 6-2 in favor of the Diamondbacks, giving them a lot of room to work with on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Sale does have the best chance to pick up a win, but with the Braves’ offense projected to finish with the fewest hits in the league today, we don’t see them being able to provide Sale with enough run support.
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