Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Diamondbacks on Thursday, July 11th, 2024 at Chase Field, in Arizona, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Diamondbacks free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks
(51-40) Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (46-47)
Date: Thursday, July 11th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ
Projected Starting Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Brandon Pfaadt
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves -142 | Diamondbacks +121 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves -1.5 | Diamondbacks +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Braves vs. Diamondbacks Gameday
Max Fried will take the mound for the Braves, while Brandon Pfaadt will get the start for the Diamondbacks. Fried has been solid this season, posting a 9-5 record with a 4.34 ERA. Pfaadt, on the other hand, has only made one appearance this season, allowing two runs in 1.1 innings of work.
With the Braves being the road team, they are the favorites in this one. They come in at -142 on the money line, while the Diamondbacks are sitting at +121. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over coming in at -111 and the under at -110.
Atlanta wasted a good outing from Charlie Morton, as he went 6 1/3 innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs as the Braves starter vs. the Diamondbacks. After scoring two runs in the first and adding one more in the 2nd, the Braves were held in check until they broke out for two more in the 8th, picking up a 5-2 road win over the Diamondbacks.
Slade Cecconi got the start for Arizona, going just four innings while giving up three runs and took the loss. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen. Paul Sewald got the save.
Eugenio Suarez hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Ketel Marte also had two hits and drove in a run for the Diamondbacks.
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With an overall record of 51-40, the Braves are 8.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves are 14-12 against other teams in the NL East. Atlanta is on a four-game winning streak as the favorite, and they are 48-33 when favored this year.
At home, the Braves have gone 29-17 this year, and they are just above .500 at 22-23 on the road. Atlanta has an overall series record of 17-11-2 this year, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right on par with the combined run average for both teams this season. The Braves have played to the over in 32 of their 54 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their games have gone over 4 times, under 6 times, and pushed once. The over has hit in each of their last two games.
Braves Gambling
When betting the run line, the Braves have been a solid play this season, going 43-48 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 21-25. They have been a slightly better play on the road, going 22-23. As the favorite, they are 38-43, while as the underdog, they are 5-5.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been an average offensive team this season, ranking 17th in runs per game with 4.3. Their home and road splits are identical at 4.3 runs per game. Their batting average of .243 is 12th in the league, and their OPS of .712 is 10th. Marcell Ozuna has been their best hitter this season, leading the team with a .296 batting average, .374 on-base percentage, 24 home runs, and 75 RBIs. In the last 9 games, Austin Riley has been hot, hitting .333 with 3 home runs and 7 RBIs. He is currently on a 4-game hitting streak, as are Ronald Acuña Jr. and Michael Harris II.
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Arizona is 46-47 overall, and they are nine games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the division and have gone 19-14 in divisional games this year. At home and on the road, the Diamondbacks are just one game above .500 this season.
So far, Arizona has been the favorite in 41 of their games, and they are 23-18 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 23-29 this season, and they have gone just 4-11 as the home underdog. Arizona has an overall series record of 13-13-3 this year and have won three straight series overall.
Arizona Diamondbacks games have had an average combined run total of 9.8 this season, and their over/under record is 49-41. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 7-2-1. Overall, 73.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Diamondbacks Gambling
Arizona has been a solid run line bet this season, going 47-46 overall. They have been better on the road, going 26-21, compared to 21-25 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 30-22 compared to 17-24 as the favorite. Their average run margin is just 0.1 runs per game, but they have been much better in wins, outscoring opponents by an average of 4.3 runs per game.
Diamondbacks Stats
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 7th in the league in runs per game at 4.9. Their batting average of .253 is 6th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .323 is 5th. Christian Walker has been one of their top hitters, with a .263 batting average and 22 home runs on the season. He has been hot lately, hitting .303 over his last 8 games with 4 home runs and 11 RBIs. Geraldo Perdomo is currently on a 5-game hitting streak for the Diamondbacks.
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Braves Diamondbacks Pitching
Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far this season, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 7-4 with a 3.18 ERA. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his 17 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Fried’s most recent outing came on July 5th, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a home run.
Through 18 starts, Brandon Pfaadt has a record of 3-6 and an ERA of 4.19 for the Diamondbacks. He has made nine quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a homer. Pfaadt has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.19 and is averaging 8.39 strikeouts per nine innings. Pfaadt has made eight starts at home, going 2-2 with a 3.48 ERA. On the road, he is 1-4 with a 4.77 ERA.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Braves head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Braves they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Braves are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Diamondbacks have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
With the Diamondbacks at +121 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks, giving us some room to take them on the money line or to parlay it with another game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brandon Pfaadt finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing 15th among starters. As for Max Fried, we have him finishing with six K’s, which would have him at sixth among starters.
Offensively, we have the Diamondbacks finishing with nine hits compared to the Braves with eight. However, the Braves are projected to finish with more strikeouts, as they are projected to finish with eight compared to the Diamondbacks with eight.
Another option would be to take the over, as the line is sitting at eight runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined 11 runs.
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