Free MLB Pick: Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Diamondbacks taking on the Phillies on Saturday, May 3rd, 2024 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Diamondbacks Phillies free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies
(17-15) Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies (18-14)
Date: Saturday, May 3rd
Time: 6:05 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt vs. Aaron Nola
MLB Moneyline Odds: Diamondbacks +102 | Phillies -119 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Diamondbacks -1.5 | Phillies +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
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Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Gameday
At 6:05 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Phillies face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are favored on the money line at -119. The money line odds for a Diamondbacks win are sitting at +102.
Arizona will be looking to move above .500, as they are 17-15, which has them 4th in the NL West. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks. Aaron Nola is slated to start for the Phillies, who are 2nd in the NL East. ARID is carrying this game on TV.
Philadelphia picked up a 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Diamondbacks could only muster one run in the 4th inning. As for the Phillies, they scored one run in the 1st inning and didn’t score another run until putting up two in the 7th.
Jesús Luzardo got the start for the Phillies, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out six. He did not factor in the decision, as Tanner Banks got the win out of the bullpen. José Alvarado got the save. Merrill Kelly only went five innings for the Diamondbacks, giving up one run on four hits.
Kyle Schwarber and Max Kepler each homered for the Phillies, while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. went 3/4 with an RBI for the Diamondbacks.
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Arizona is 17-15 overall this season, and they are five games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are on the road today, and they have yet to play a game in the division this season. Arizona dropped the first game of this series vs. the Phillies and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 8-8 this year, and they have gone 9-7 on the road. So far, they have yet to play a game as the favorite this year. As for their record as the underdog, they are 17-15, and their overall series record is 5-4-1. Arizona has lost two straight series at home.
Diamondbacks Stats
Arizona’s offense is currently 6th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been a very consistent offense, as they are also 6th in home runs and have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .246, which is 13th in the league.
Corbin Carroll and Eugenio Suarez have been the team’s top power threats so far, with Carroll’s 9 homers being 2nd on the team and Suarez’s 10 homers leading the Diamondbacks. However, Suarez is batting just .186 for the season. Geraldo Perdomo has been a key run producer for the team, as his 26 RBIs are 5th in the league. Perdomo is also batting .277 and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.
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Philadelphia is 18-14 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL East, 3.5 games behind the Mets for the division lead. The Phillies took the first game of the series vs. the Diamondbacks and have an overall record of 6-3-1 in series this year. This includes two straight series wins.
At home, the Phillies have been good, going 12-5 this year. On the road, they are 6-9 this season. So far, the Phillies have yet to play a game as the favorite this year, as they are 0-0 in that spot. As for their games as the underdog, the Phillies are 18-14 this year.
Phillies Stats
Over the past eight games, Trea Turner has been on fire for the Phillies, hitting .424 with six runs scored and five RBIs. Kyle Schwarber has also driven in nine runs over this stretch but is batting just .185. However, Schwarber does have three homers in his last eight games. Overall, he is 2nd in the league in home runs, with 10 this season.
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.2 runs per contest. They are 5th in team batting average at .250 and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. Philadelphia comes into the game with the 13th best OPS in the league.
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Diamondbacks Phillies Pitching
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Phillies on the road. Pfaadt has made six starts this year and has a record of 5-1 with an ERA of 2.78. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. Pfaadt has been pitching well recently, as he has allowed just one earned run in three of his last four outings. Opponents are batting .252 off Pfaadt this season.
Through six starts, Aaron Nola is still looking for his first win of the season, as he comes in with a record of 0-5 and an ERA of 5.40. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.40. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Nola has given up at least two home runs in three of his six starts this year. His ERA at home is 7.31 compared to 4.75 on the road.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Diamondbacks head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Diamondbacks they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Phillies are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Phillies have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Diamondbacks are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Phillies have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Prediction: Phillies ML -119
Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Phillies game is to take the Phillies on the money line at -119. We have the Phillies winning this game by a final score of 7-3.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Brandon Pfaadt finishing with just five strikeouts, which is 13th among today’s starters. As for Aaron Nola, he is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is eighth worst among starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Kyle will make you smile! pic.twitter.com/KCYk3GJGEH
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) May 3, 2025
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