Free MLB Pick: Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds
Looking for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Diamondbacks taking on the Marlins at LoanDepot park, Miami Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Diamondbacks Marlins free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(10-13-0) Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins (12-9-0)
Date: Tuesday, May 3rd
Time: 06:40 ETPM ET
Venue: LoanDepot park Miami
Projected Pitchers: Humberto Castellanos vs. Trevor Rogers
MLB Moneyline Odds: Diamondbacks OFF Marlins OFF
MLB run line Betting Odds: Diamondbacks +1.5, Marlins -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: OFF
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Arizona Diamondbacks take on the Miami hoping to improve on their record of just 10-13-0, placing them 5th in the NL West division. Arizona has gone 5-6 in their games on the road. The Diamondbacks will be looking to bounce back, after falling to St. Louis by a score of 7-5 To start the year, Arizona has picked up just 1 series win, going 1-3-3.
Against Miami, the Diamondbacks will send Humberto Castellanos to the mound. Through 3 starts Castellanos has picked up just 1 win, with an overall record of 1-1. Heading into his start, he has an ERA of 5.79. This comes while averaging 2.8 per outing. So far, opposing teams have had no problem driving in runs against Castellanos, despite hitting just 0.300 against the right-hander.
Arizona enters this matchup hoping to turn things around on offense, as they are the 28th ranked group, averaging 3.17 runs per game. So far, the Diamondbacks’ offense has struggled to generate runs as they have not been able to string together hits, ranking 30th in team batting average (0.181). Even though Arizona’s offense is off to a slow start in team batting average, they are averaging 1.04 home runs per contest, The team’s offensive struggles can partly be attributed to their inability to get on base, as they rank 28th with an OBP of 0.273. Despite their overall problems with getting on base, the team has been able to generate walks, earning a free pass on 10.2%% of their at-bats.
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins come into their game against Arizona, looking to build on their record of 12-9-0. Through 21 games, they are 2nd in the NL East division. Through 10 games at LoanDepot park, Miami is above .500, sitting at 6-4 at home. The Marlins hope to get back on track, after falling to Seattle by a score of 7-3 When looking at how Miami has performed in their previous series, they have an above .500 record, going a combined 4-3-0.
For Miami, Trevor Rogers comes into this game making his 5th start of the season, having picked up just 1 win, on an overall 1-3. On average, Rogers is going 4.3 innings per outing and will look to lower an ERA sitting at 5.09. If he is going to turn things around, Rogers will be looking to lower his batting average allowed, which currently sits at 0.246. Even with his high ERA, Rogers has posted an FIP rating of 3.03 which suggests he is pitching better than his overall results have indicated.
On offense, Miami comes into the game averaging 3.95 runs per game, placing them 19th in the league. A key reason for the Marlin’s lack of run-scoring is a team batting average that sits at just (0.237), placing them 15th in the league. In addition to Miami’s low batting average, home runs have been hard to come by, as they are averaging just 0.86 deep shots per game. (19th).
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games when playing Miami
- Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
- Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins MLB Prediction:
Early in the season, Arizona has struggled to drive in runs vs left-handed pitching, ranking 30th in the league. The Diamondback’s rough start against lefties can be attributed to a team batting average of just 0.16 (30th). Not only are the Diamondbacks struggling with their bats vs lefties, they are also drawing walks at a below-average rate of (9.0%). Early in the season, Arizona’s lineup is struggling to hit for power against left-handed pitching, ranking just (30th) in SLG%, and 16th in home runs. Look for Trevor Rogers to shut down the Diamondbacks on his way to picking up a win for Miami.
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