Free MLB Pick: Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds
Looking for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Diamondbacks taking on the Royals on Tuesday, July 23rd, 2024 at Kauffman Stadium, in Kansas City, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Diamondbacks Royals free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals
(51-50) Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals (56-45)
Date: Tuesday, July 23rd
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Kauffman Stadium Kansas City, MO
Projected Starting Pitchers: Jordan Montgomery vs. Alec Marsh
MLB Moneyline Odds: Diamondbacks -121 | Royals +101 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Diamondbacks -1.5 | Royals +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
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Diamondbacks vs. Royals Gameday
At 8:10 PM ET in Kansas City, the Royals are set to host the Diamondbacks in an interleague matchup. The weather is looking great for this one, with a forecast of 87 degrees and a few clouds overhead at Kauffman Stadium.
Arizona is looking to snap a two-game losing streak, while the Royals are riding a four-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks are slight favorites on the road, with a money line payout of -121 compared to the Royals’ +101. The over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, with the over carrying a payout of -117 compared to the under at -105.
Thanks to a four-run 4th inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to a 10-4 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -157 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Yilber Diaz for the Diamondbacks, and he went just three innings while giving up seven runs and took the loss. Cole Ragans put together a good outing for the Royals, getting the win after going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
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Kansas City got a huge performance from Bobby Witt Jr., as he went 3/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Both Salvador Perez and Hunter Renfroe each drove in two for the Royals’ offense.
Arizona is 51-50 overall this season, and they trail the Dodgers by nine games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Royals heading into today’s game. In the NL West, they are 3rd, just a half-game behind the Padres for 2nd place.
As the road team today, the Diamondbacks are 25-26 on the road this year. They have been just above .500 at home, going 26-24. So far, they have been the favorite in 45 games, going 26-19 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, they are 25-31 this year. Arizona’s overall series record is 15-13-4, and they have won two straight series.
The Diamondbacks have played in 98 games this season, and only 5.9% of them have had an over/under line set at 9.5 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 53-45. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 3-7.
Diamondbacks Gambling
Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 52-49 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 29-22 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 33-23 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.3 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.0 runs per game.
Diamondbacks Stats
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game both at home and on the road. Their batting average of .252 ranks 7th in the league, and their .325 on-base percentage is 5th. Their top hitters this season have been Ketel Marte and Christian Walker, who have both been driving in runs consistently. Marte is hitting .291 with 20 home runs and 59 RBI, while Walker has a .261 average with 22 homers and 68 RBI. In terms of recent performances, Marte has been hot, hitting .375 over his last 6 games. Eugenio Suárez is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Kansas City is 56-45 overall and is 2nd in the AL Central, four games behind the Guardians. The Royals have won four straight games, and they took the first game of their series vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they have gone 19-10 in divisional games.
At home, the Royals are 35-18 this season and 21-27 on the road. Kansas City has been good as the favorite this year, going 30-15, and they are 26-30 as the underdog. The Royals have also been good as the home underdog, putting together a mark of 14-11 this year. Kansas City’s overall series record is 15-16-1.
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs is the highest for a Kansas City Royals game this season. The Royals have played 91 games this season, and only five of them have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 41-57.
Royals Gambling
The Royals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 59-42 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 33-20 on the run line. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 25-20 as the favorite and 34-22 as the underdog. They have covered the run line in four straight games at home.
Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which ranks 12th in the league. They have been particularly strong at home, scoring 5.3 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. Their batting average of .250 is 8th in the league, and they have been getting good power production with a .409 slugging percentage. Bobby Witt Jr. has been their best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average, on-base percentage, home runs, and RBIs. He has been on fire recently, hitting .684 with 2 home runs and 6 RBIs in his last 5 games. Salvador Perez has also been swinging a hot bat, with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs in his last 5 games.
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Diamondbacks Royals Pitching
Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and comes into the game with a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 6.44. Looking at his overall numbers, Montgomery has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .311 this year. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 6.17 strikeouts per nine innings. Montgomery’s WHIP for the season is 1.68. The left-hander most recently faced the Twins, where he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts.
Kansas City is sending Alec Marsh to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 4.52. Marsh’s WHIP for the season is 1.23, and opponents are batting .237 off the right-hander this year. In his 17 starts, Marsh has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.25 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Marsh went just one inning out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run. Before that outing, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Diamondbacks head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Diamondbacks they are 8-2 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Royals are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Royals have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Diamondbacks are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Royals have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Royals game is to take the Royals on the money line at +101. We have the Royals winning this one by a final score of 3-1. At +101, the Royals have an implied win probability of 49.8%, and we actually see this game being closer to a 50/50 matchup.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Alec Marsh has a higher strikeout projection than Jordan Montgomery, and we have Marsh finishing with seven K’s compared to Montgomery with five. Offensively, we have the Royals finishing with 11 hits compared to the Diamondbacks with 10.
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