Free MLB Pick: Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds
Looking for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Diamondbacks taking on the Cubs on Sunday, July 21st, 2024 at Wrigley Field, in Chicago, IL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Diamondbacks Cubs free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs
(51-48) Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs (47-53)
Date: Sunday, July 21st
Time: 2:20 ET
Venue: Wrigley Field Chicago, IL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt vs. Shota Imanaga
MLB Moneyline Odds: Diamondbacks +111 | Cubs -129 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Diamondbacks +1.5 | Cubs -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Gameday
Today’s NL matchup between the Diamondbacks and Cubs is set to start at 2:20 PM ET at Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL. The weather forecast is calling for 77 degrees with light rain. You can catch the game on MARQ.
On the mound for the Diamondbacks is Brandon Pfaadt, while the Cubs will counter with Shota Imanaga. The Cubs are currently favored to win this one, with a money line payout of -129 compared to the Diamondbacks’ +111. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs.
Arizona cruised to a 3-0 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 5th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Cubs, they had just four hits and two of their three came in the 5th.
Zac Gallen started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and allowed six baserunners. Kyle Hendricks got the start for the Cubs and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.
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At the plate, the Diamondbacks were led by Alek Thomas and Corbin Carroll, as they were the only two Arizona hitters to have more than one hit. Thomas and Carroll each scored a run and drove in a run. Miguel Amaya had a two-hit game for the Cubs.
Arizona is 51-48 overall and trails the Dodgers by seven games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have gone 19-14 in division play this year. They have won two straight games, and this has come after losing four in a row.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 26-24 this season, and they are one game above .500 at 25-24 on the road. Arizona has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 25-29 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 26-19 this year.
The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Cubs today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-44. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-4. Overall, 84.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Diamondbacks Gambling
Arizona has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 28-21. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 32-22 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.3, while it’s -4.0 in losses.
Diamondbacks Stats
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 3rd in runs per game at 4.9. Their batting average of .254 is 5th in the league, and their .326 OBP is 5th. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been two of their top hitters this season. Marte is hitting .292 with 19 home runs and 57 RBI, while Walker is hitting .261 with 22 home runs and 68 RBI. In terms of recent performances, Eugenio Suárez has been hitting .297 over his last 10 games, while Ketel Marte is hitting .375 over his last 9 games. Randal Grichuk is currently on a 4-game hitting streak for the Diamondbacks.
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With a record of 47-53, the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, 10 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Cubs have dropped two straight games, and they are 12-21 against other teams in the NL Central this year. Chicago will be looking to avoid losing three straight games for the first time in a while, as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.
At home, the Cubs are 25-23 this year compared to a 22-30 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Cubs are 22-23 this year and 25-30 as the underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 11-17-3, and they are losing this series vs. the Diamondbacks 0-2.
Chicago Cubs games have had an average combined run total of 8.4 this season, and their over/under record is 43-53. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 12-10. Overall, 68% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their games have gone under the total in each of their last two contests.
Cubs Gambling
The Cubs have been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 31-21, but they have struggled at home, going just 18-30. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 36-19, compared to just 13-32 as the favorite. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game on the road and have a run differential of +0.3 runs per game at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games at home.
Cubs Stats
The Chicago Cubs have struggled to score runs this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. Their offensive numbers are below average, as they rank 19th in total home runs, 16th in batting average, and 18th in slugging percentage. However, the Cubs do draw walks well, ranking 5th in the league in that category. Nico Hoerner and Ian Happ have been two of the Cubs’ top hitters this season, with Happ leading the team in RBIs. Christopher Morel has been hot recently, hitting .226 with 3 home runs and 5 RBIs over his last 8 games. Miguel Amaya is on a 4-game hitting streak, while Miles Mastrobuoni has hit safely in 3 straight games.
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Diamondbacks Cubs Pitching
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Cubs on the road. Pfaadt has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with a 3.97 ERA. He is coming off a strong outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that July 11th start vs. the Braves, he went six innings and picked up the win. Pfaadt has turned in 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.26 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 14 home runs. Pfaadt has a record of 1-4 on the road with a 4.77 ERA.
Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today and is coming off a strong outing against the Orioles, where he picked up the win. In that start, he went six innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking back further, Imanaga has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. He has made 17 appearances this year and 11 of them have been quality starts. Imanaga’s ERA for the season is 2.97, along with a record of 8-2. For the year, he has allowed 12 home runs and is averaging 9.09 strikeouts per nine innings.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Diamondbacks head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Diamondbacks they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Cubs are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Cubs have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Diamondbacks are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Cubs have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Cubs matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at +111. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 3-2.
Looking at some of the projections for today’s starters, we have Brandon Pfaadt finishing with four strikeouts, which is better than Shota Imanaga, who we have finishing with six.
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