Handicapping 2015 World Series Futures
The field is set and in case you missed it the MLB Postseason got underway Tuesday night with the Astros defeating the Yankees in the AL Wild Card Game. Tonight we get the NL Wild Card Game.
Here is a break down of the match ups:
- #1 Kansas City Royals vs. #5 Houston Astros
- #2 Toronto Blue Jays vs. #3 Texas Rangers
- #1 St. Louis Cardinals vs. #5 Chicago Cubs
- #4 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. #2 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. #3 New York Mets
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Here is a look with the odds from every team:
Toronto Blue Jays World Series Odds 3/1
The true definition of making the trade deadline count. The Toronto Blue Jays went out and acquired David Price and Troy Tulowitzki to solidify their pitching rotation and lineup. Trailing the Yankees by as many as 6 games in the AL East, the Blue Jays flipped the script and clinched the American League’s number 2 seed.
They’ll have a tough matchup with the red hot Rangers in the ALDS. However, the Blue Jays match up well in the pitching category as the Rangers starting rotation is led by LH Cole Hamels, who has been average at best since coming over.
There is no real hedge opportunity at 3/1, but grabbing a ticket on the Blue Jays to win it all may be the best bet here.
Kansas City Royals World Series Odds 5/1
The Royals limped into the MLB Postseason, but managed to hold on to the #1 seed and home field advantage. They’ll avoid Texas in the ALDS and get their chance at the Wild Card winner. This is a major advantage for them.
Kansas City will get an exhausted and used pitching staff from whoever they face. Kansas City also has that chip on their shoulder as they were 90 feet away last year from tying up Game 7. This team may have limped in, but they are on a mission and should turn it on just like last year.
St. Louis Cardinals World Series Odds 5/1
The Cardinals were the least talked about team in baseball this year. Why is that? Well they raced out of the gates and seriously never looked back. Winning 100 games and being the most consistent team in the Majors, they never really found themselves in danger of losing that top spot.
At 5/1 they hold a lot of value. They have one of the deepest offenses in the National League and have a very talent pitching staff. They are the true definition of the complete team.
Los Angeles Dodgers World Series Odds 6/1
This team is going to be tough to back. 6/1 is great odds and they have Clayton Kershaw. However, Kershaw has been historically a bad Postseason pitcher and the Dodgers are actually outmatched in the starting pitching category with the Mets.
In fact, the Dodgers don’t even have their pitching rotation announced yet for the NLDS.
If anything, they have the experience. Backing the most experienced team at 6/1 may be a justification for taking LA.
New York Mets World Series Odds 6/1
As mentioned above, they have to deal with Kershaw and a hefty Dodgers lineup. They also have home field advantage going against them.
However, with the way the Mets handled their pitching rotation and limiting Matt Harvey, they seriously have a step or two above in this category. The Mets were one of the hottest teams in September and not only dominated in pitching, but also showed solid signs of offense.
Getting their starters to go late into games is extremely important here. Their bullpen has been shaky and inconsistent ALL season long.
Chicago Cubs World Series Odds 12/1
The NL Wild Card Game, on the road is going to be tough. The Cubs Playoff appearances have come at minimal times, but their young core has finally paid off. They have proven they have the best young talent in the Majors.
They’ll throw Jake Arrieta in the Wild Card Game. He was absolutely dominant against the Pirates in 5 starts this season.
Be careful here though. The Pirates have the experience of dealing with this one game pressure and their ballpark comes to life. Just ask Johnny Cueto, who was one of the best pitchers in the NL last year. He was rattled from the outset and the fans were in his head.
Pittsburgh Pirates World Series Odds 12/1
Same situation as the Cubs, obviously, but a tougher side of the pitching match up. Gerrit Cole was equally as good as Jake Arrieta. His skill is actually getting majorly overlooked here.
That being said, if Cole gets behind early, things will be extremely bad for the Pirates. They have the offense to score, but you can’t let Arrieta settle.
Backing the Pirates is the most risky investment of this Postseason. They have value, but with the way they’ve played against Jake Arrieta, this could be a quick one and done. If the crowd, atmosphere, and experience come into play, Pittsburgh will have a legit shot and getting to Arrieta.
Texas Rangers World Series Odds 12/1
The Rangers used a late September push to grab the AL West Title. While it did come down to the final day of the regular season, the Rangers used their high powered and high scoring offense led by Adrian Beltre and Prince Fielder to get the job done.
With the acquisition of Cole Hamels, the Rangers clearly boosted their pitching staff. However, he has shown a bit of inconsistency. Also, the Rangers starting rotation isn’t much to write home about. Their best bet is getting into slugfests against Toronto. Sounds crazy right? The Jays pitching is just so good, high scoring is simply their best chance.
Houston Astros World Series Odds 16/1
This team was projected to finish last in the AL West and rebuild for quite some time. Now, they find themselves in the Postseason and with the potential AL Cy Young winner throwing for them.
They somewhat limped into the Postseason too. They blew their AL West lead and nearly coughed up the AL Wild Card. But what this team has done all year is find ways to win.
They’ve lead on that young core of Correa, Springer, and Altuve to lead the offense. This team has essentially nothing to lose. Win…..shock some more people. Lose…well you weren’t even supposed to be here.
2015 World Series Prediction:
It’s extremely tough to justify backing the Wild Card teams here. Your bet could literally be gone with one bad pitching performance or one closer coughing up a late lead.
The best bet here is to back the Cardinals. As stated, nobody even talked about this team after the first month. Winning 100 games is simply no fluke. They’ll have home field throughout their entire NL portion, which will make things a lot easier for them.
St. Louis over Toronto in 6
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