Free NCAA Pick: Appalachian State vs. Troy Odds
Looking for Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Troy Trojans free NCAA Week 14 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Mountaineers taking on the Trojans on Saturday, December 2nd at the Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Appalachian State Troy matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
(8-4) Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Troy Trojans (10-2)
2023 Sun Belt Championship Game
Date: Saturday, December 2nd
Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL
NCAA Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Appalachian State +6.5 | Troy -6.5
Week 14 CFB Moneyline Odds: Appalachian State +193 | Troy -250
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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The most recent time Appalachian State and Troy met up, Appalachian State walked away with a 32-28 win. That game was on 09/17/2022. It went OVER the posted 51.5 total.
Both teams had no problem moving the ball in the passing game, with Appalachian State throwing for 295 yards compared to Troy at 302.
App State owns an 8-2 historical advantage in these two schools’ last 10 matchups. They’re 4-1 on the road to boot.
The Sun Belt Championship kickoff is just around the corner; get ready for an electrifying matchup!
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Appalachian State Mountaineers
Appalachian State is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down Georgia Southern by a score of 55-27.
Against the spread, Appalachian State has gone 4-4-1 this season. The Mountaineers have been favored seven times compared to two games as the underdog.
Heading into this week’s game, Appalachian State’s over/under record is 4-5. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +6.2 with their games averaging 62.4 points per game.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Stats
Appalachian State’s offense has put up an average of 35.8 points per game, placing them 16th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 278.7 passing yards on average, ranking 24th in the nation.
On the ground, they’re holding the 42nd position in rushing yards, with 448 rushing attempts per game this season.
The Mountaineers’ defense has given up 170.1 rushing yards per game this season, which is 93rd. Opponents are recording an average of 214.8 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 75.5 when playing against Appalachian State.
In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 50th in NCAA rankings.
In the passing game, the Mountaineers threw the ball 36 times for 296 and four scores against Georgia Southern. On the ground, they averaged 7.7 yards per carry and finished with three rushing touchdowns
Troy Trojans
In the Trojans’ 35-17 win over Southern Miss, the Trojans jumped out to an early 7-0 in the first quarter.
Troy has gone into nine games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 7-4.
Across 12 games, the average over/under line in Troy’s matchups is 48.6 points.
These games have seen an average combined score of 46.3 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-7.
Troy Trojans Stats
Heading into their matchup vs. Appalachian State, the Trojans’ offense is averaging 150.2 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 74th rank in rushing yards and 30th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 273.3 yards per game.
In terms of scoring, Troy is at 29.7 points per game, which is 47th in the NCAA.
The Trojans’ passing game featured 35 pass attempts for 319 yards and three scores vs. Southern Miss. In the rushing department, they averaged 3.7 yards per carry and notched one rushing touchdown.
The Troy defense, going into this week’s game, holds 57th place for points allowed, allowing 16.7 points per game.
Opponents have been gaining an average of 196.9 passing yards each game against them (46th in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 103.4 rushing yards, ranking them 21st in college football.
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Troy Trojans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Mountaineers are 4-0-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Mountaineers are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Trojans have gone 9-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Mountaineers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Trojans’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Appalachian State vs. Troy Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mountaineers | +192 | +193 | +6.5 | +6.5 |
Trojans | -242 | -250 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 14 NCAA Betting Prediction: Troy -6.5
In the upcoming matchup, the Trojans are favored with a -6.5 spread, and the total points for the game are set at 51.5. In their recent performance, the Trojans secured a convincing 35-17 victory against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles.
On the other hand, the Mountaineers come into this game following a dominant 55-27 win over the Georgia Southern Eagles in their last outing.
The way to go on the moneyline is to take Troy. I expect them not only to grab the win win against Troy but also to cover the spread.
Troy enters this matchup as the favored team with a spread sitting at -6.5, and I believe they will cover it.
Troy’s offense is coming off a good performance vs. Georgia Southern, and I anticipate them carrying that form into this week’s game against Appalachian State.
This season, Appalachian State’s margin against their over/under lines currently sits at +6.2. Given the over/under of 51.5, we expect this game to exceed expectations, resulting in a combined total of 53 points.
Troy appears to have the upper hand in this matchup, and there’s no need to fret too much about the outcome. Georgia Southern has struggled recently, going 3-6 ATS (against the spread) in their last 9 games and 2-5 ATS in Saturday matchups.
In contrast, Troy has been dominant in the Sun Belt conference, boasting a 14-4 SU (straight-up) record in their last 18 games against conference opponents and a 7-2 SU record in November games. These trends suggest that Troy has the edge in this contest.
When it comes to totals, Troy games tend to go OVER, with the OVER hitting in 6 of their last 9 games.
Meanwhile, Georgia Southern’s games have seen the total points go OVER in 10 of their last 15 outings.
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Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Troy Trojans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Championship Saturday!
It's going to be a party at 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗩𝗘𝗧 on Saturday … Ready to run it back on 𝘾𝙝𝙖𝙢𝙥𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙨𝙝𝙞𝙥 𝙎𝙖𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙙𝙖𝙮 ‼️ pic.twitter.com/LuABNP5NJX
— Troy Trojans Football 8x⚔️ (@TroyTrojansFB) November 25, 2023
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