Free NCAA Pick: Air Force vs. Boise State Odds
Looking for Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Falcons taking on the Broncos on Friday, November 24th at the Albertsons Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Air Force Boise State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(8-3) Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos (6-5)
Date: Friday, November 24th
Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
NCAA Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Air Force +6.5 | Boise State -6.5
Week 13 CFB Moneyline Odds: Air Force +197 | Boise State -246
College Football Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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Air Force will be looking for revenge in this week’s game, as the most recent matchup between the teams ended in a 19-14 win for Boise State. Offensively, Boise State had the edge with 342 yards compared to 271 for Air Force.
Boise State’s offense finished with 115 rushing yards and 227 in the passing game.
On Friday, two strong football teams from the Mountain West will clash. They both rely on their robust running games. The Broncos rank eighth in rushing yards per game, while the Falcons sit at second place. The total points expected in this game is 46.5.
In their previous match, the Broncos secured a convincing victory against Utah State, winning 45-10. As for the Falcons, their most recent game was against UNLV, where they fell short, losing with a score of 31-27.
It’s a matchup worth keeping an eye on for football fans and gamblers alike.
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Air Force Falcons
In their most recent game, Air Force faced off against UNLV and lost 31-27. The Falcons squandered a 27-14 lead going into the half.
For the season, Air Force’s ATS record is > and they have been the favorite in every game so far.
This season, Air Force has an over/under record of 5-4. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 45.5 points, with the typical over/under line being 42.6 points.
Air Force Falcons Stats
The Falcons’ offense is gearing up to take on Boise State, with an average of 282 rushing yards per game and an 5 yards per attempt.
In the college football rankings, they are currently in 2nd place for rushing yards and 129th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 84.5 yards per contest. Air Force’s overall scoring average is at 28.4 points per game, placing them 52nd rank nationally.
Air Force’s defense sits at 59th for points allowed, allowing 17.1 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 176.7 passing yards per game against them (28th nationally).
On the ground, they’re yielding 90.4 rushing yards, ranking them 13th in college football.
Air Force’s offense finished the game with three rushing touchdowns against UNLV and covering 344 yards with 62 attempts. However, their passing game didn’t produce any touchdowns and finished with 60 yards on 9 pass attempts.
Boise State Broncos
Boise State’s most recent game ended in a 45-10 win over Utah State. This week, the Broncos will once again look to get off to a strong start, as they took a 28-point leading into halftime vs. Utah State.
Boise State’s average scoring differential for the season is +6.6 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5-1.
The Broncos have been favored six times and the underdog in four games
Over 11 games, the average over/under line for Boise State’s games has been 56.4 points.
The total score in these matchups has averaged 58.3 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-4.
Boise State Broncos Stats
The Broncos’ offense is gearing up to take on Air Force, with an average of 210.9 rushing yards per game and an 5 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 9th place for rushing yards and 60th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 229.7 yards per contest.
Boise State’s overall scoring average is at 32.5 points per game, placing them 30th rank nationally.
The Broncos’ passing game featured 17 pass attempts for 93 yards and two scores vs. Utah State. In the rushing department, they averaged 7.5 yards per carry and notched four rushing touchdowns.
This season, the Broncos’ defense has yielded an average of 120.1 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 171st.
Opponents have an average of 266.1 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 90.9 when facing Boise State.
They are currently 56th in points allowed in NCAA rankings.
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Broncos are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Falcons are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Broncos have gone 3-6-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Broncos’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Air Force vs. Boise State Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Falcons | +205 | +198 | +6.5 | +6.5 |
Broncos | -250 | -247 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NCAA Betting Prediction: Air Force +6.5
Exciting Friday matchup for College Football fans! Game happening in Boise, Idaho at Albertsons Stadium. You can catch it on Fox Sports 1. Enjoy!
Boise State aims to continue its winning streak with recent surprises in the conference, the Broncs have a chance to get closer to the championship and secure a third consecutive victory on Friday.
The Falcons, on a three-game losing streak after an 8-0 start, are in a similar situation to the Broncos. If Boise State wins, and if San Jose State defeats UNLV, it would result in a three-way tie among Boise State, San Jose State, and UNLV.
Queue the Drama!
While I have Boise State to come out on top, I’d recommend going with the moneyline. This game could turn out to be closer than anticipated, but I do see Boise State securing the win against Air Force.
Boise State are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.
My choice is for Air Force +6.5 on the spread. Boise State are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against AF.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 46.5 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 54 points.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the Broncos last 12 games.
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Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Lookin’ Good
𝗙𝗶𝘁 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗙𝗿𝗶𝗱𝗮𝘆 🔵🔵🔵#Compete | #BleedBlue pic.twitter.com/wIuumPyOxG
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) November 22, 2023
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