Free NCAA Pick: North Carolina vs. NC State Odds
Looking for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. NC State Wolfpack free NCAA Week 14 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tar Heels taking on the Wolfpack on Saturday, November 29 at Carter-Finley Stadium (NC). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this North Carolina NC State matchup.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. NC State Wolfpack Week 14
(4-7) North Carolina Tar Heels vs. NC State Wolfpack (6-5)
Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
Time: 7:30PM
Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina
Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) North Carolina +7| NC State -7
Week 14 CFB Moneyline Odds: North Carolina +225| NC State -275
College Football Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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Tar Heels Wolfpack Gameday
This is a rivalry, but probably more on the hardwood than the gridiron, especially these days.
UNC missed its chance to get bowl eligible, and even though the situation with the coach has stabilized somewhat, I still think there is doubt.
For the home side, another win could get them a better bowl slot. I am not sure they are satisfied with their coach either, but there is less urgency there.
There could be a little juice as both teams look to end the regular season with some momentum.
North Carolina Tar Heels
I think the best thing you can say about Year 1 with Belichick is that you had to start somewhere. He did not have a magic wand, though.
The current regime whiffed on the talent part of the equation this year, but I do think there is reason to believe they can learn from their mistakes.
With this being the last game of the season, it is hard to know what kind of effort we will get from the visitors.
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North Carolina Tar Heels Stats
This has been a transition year for UNC!!
They are 4–7 overall and a 2–5 mark in ACC play with an offense averaging 19.3 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the FBS.
Meanwhile, the defense has been much better, allowing 22.9 points per game.
Quarterback Gio Lopez has led the offense, throwing for over 1,600 yards with 9 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, with a completion percentage of 65%.
On the ground, freshman running back Demon June has emerged as a bright spot, leading the team with over 450 rushing yards.
Jordan Shipp has been the top target, tallying more than 580 yards and 5 touchdowns.
Defensively, Melkart Abou Jaoude has been a disruptive force leading the ACC with 10 sacks, providing a rare bright spot in a challenging season.
NC State Wolfpack
Quarterback CJ Bailey has improved in his sophomore season, so much so you have to wonder if they can afford him.
His numbers are up across the board and he is running less which is often a good sign for developing quarterbacks, even though he can play super physically.
The offense is not the problem this season. That group is pretty well balanced and there is enough talent to win.
It is the defense giving up more than 30ppg that is holding this team back. Which is an about face from a lot of recent versions of the pack.
NC State Wolfpack Stats
NC State is 6–5, 3–4 in ACC play, heading into their regular-season finale.
The Wolfpack has shown flashes of offensive success, averaging 29.1 points per game, but that has been thwarted by a defense allowing nearly 30 points per contest.
Significant victories include a high-scoring 48–36 shootout win against Georgia Tech and a gritty 21–11 triumph over Florida State.
Sophomore quarterback CJ Bailey has thrown for over 2,600 yards with 21 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, completing nearly 70% of his passes.
The offense thrived thanks to him and RB Daylan “Hollywood” Smothers, who has rushed for over 900 yards and 6 touchdowns, providing a consistent threat out of the backfield.
In the passing game, freshman wideout Terrell Anderson and tight end Justin Joly have been the primary weapons, combining for 11 touchdowns.
Defensively, linebacker Caden Fordham has been the anchor, leading the team with 94 tackles.
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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. NC State Wolfpack Football Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Carolina’s last 10 games.
- North Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
- Also, North Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against NC State.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina’s last 5 games on the road.
- Additionally, the total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina State’s last 5 games against UNC.
- North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
- North Carolina State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina.
- What’s more, the total has gone OVER in 13 of North Carolina State’s last 18 games against an opponent in the ACC.
4* Free North Carolina Tar Heels vs. NC State Wolfpack 2025 Week 14 NCAA Betting Prediction: NC State -7
You throw out the records when you have a rivalry game, right? I am not sure that is the case here.
The offense just isn’t there and I would expect lots of bettors are putting this game into their teasers given that we are on the key number right now.
To me, the Wolfpack are obviously better, even if they are not having a great season. Their offense is teh most reliable unit for either side.
Look for NC State to pour it on, if they can. I can see this one really getting out of hand late in the game.
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