Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Commanders vs. Eagles Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Eagles on Thursday, November 14th at the Lincoln Financial Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington Philadelphia matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(7-3) Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles (7-2)
Date: Thursday, November 14th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia PA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington +3.5 | Philadelphia -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +147 | Philadelphia -174
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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Get ready for a heated NFC East clash under the primetime lights as the Commanders take on the Eagles in Philadelphia! The storied rivalry between these two teams has been a nail-biter, with Washington narrowly leading the all-time series at 89-84-5.
The last time these squads faced off was a thrilling October showdown, where Jalen Hurts and the Eagles edged out a 38-31 win over Sam Howell and the Commanders.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Eagles have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Commanders went 2-0-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 3-0 on an average of 62 points per game.
Washington Commanders
After three straight wins, the Commanders couldn’t hold off the Steelers in week 10, losing 28-27 at home. Washington entered the game as 1.5-point favorites but couldn’t cover the spread, dropping their record to 7-3. They are 2-0 in the NFC East and 5-1 in conference play, putting them 2nd in the division. Our power rankings have them 9th heading into week 11.
Washington has an average scoring margin of +7.3 points per game and is 7-2-1 against the spread. They are 5-1 ATS as favorites and 2-1-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-3, with the over hitting in their last two games. Their games average 50.7 points, with an average line of 46.
Washington Commanders Stats
Jayden Daniels has been under center for the Commanders, posting a passer rating of 68 in week 10, with 202 yards on 17/34 passing against the Steelers. In week 9, he threw for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 128, and in week 8, he had 326 yards and 1 touchdown. Terry McLaurin led the team in receiving in week 10, with 5 catches for 113 yards, following his 60-yard performance in week 9 and a 125-yard game in week 8.
Washington ranks 2nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11, averaging 29 points per game, which is 3rd in the NFL. They are 4th in rushing yards per game, with 153.5, and 11th in passing yards, with 223.5, despite ranking 26th in passing attempts. The Commanders lead the league in red zone attempts but are 28th in conversion percentage, at 9.1%.
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In their 28-27 loss to the Steelers, Washington’s defense gave up just 172 passing yards but allowed three passing touchdowns. The Commanders struggled against the run, giving up 140 yards on 43 attempts. They forced one interception and held Pittsburgh to a 48.3% completion percentage. Additionally, Washington recorded three sacks and held the Steelers to a 43.8% third-down conversion rate.
Philadelphia Eagles
With their 34-6 win over the Cowboys in week 10, the Eagles extended their winning streak to five games, bringing their record to 7-2. This run includes a 28-23 victory over the Jaguars in week 9 and a 37-17 win over the Bengals in week 8. Philadelphia now sits atop the NFC East with a 2-0 division record and is 4-2 in conference play.
Our projections give the Eagles a 95.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 63.4% chance of winning the division. They rank 7th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 11. Against the spread, Philadelphia is 5-4 this season, with an average scoring margin of +8 points per game.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
Philadelphia’s offense is 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25.9, and they also rank 6th in yards per game with 373.9. Despite being 31st in passing attempts, they are 20th in passing yards per game, averaging 197.8. Jalen Hurts threw for 202 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 10, with a passer rating of 115, after posting back-to-back 132 ratings in weeks 8 and 9.
The Eagles have leaned heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 176.1. Saquon Barkley had 66 yards on 14 carries in week 10, following a 159-yard performance in week 9 and a 108-yard game in week 8. Philadelphia is 14th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion rate, at 39.2%.
In their 34-6 win over the Cowboys, the Eagles’ defense was outstanding, giving up just 49 yards through the air. They allowed only 146 total yards and held Dallas to 21.4% on third down. The Eagles picked off one pass, had three sacks, and limited the Cowboys to 97 rushing yards.
Philadelphia’s defense was tough to move the ball against, as they held Dallas to just 17 completions and 58.6% of their passes. The Eagles also didn’t allow a single touchdown in the game.
Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Eagles are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commanders are 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Eagles have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Eagles’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Eagles Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +205 | +147 | +6 | +3.5 |
| Eagles | -250 | -174 | -6 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +3.5
The Commanders are riding a hot streak against the spread, covering in their last five conference matchups and boasting a 7-1-1 ATS record in their last nine games. Meanwhile, the Eagles have had mixed results on the betting front, going 5-11 ATS in their last 16.
Washington’s impressive ability to keep it close in big games could make them a tempting play as underdogs this week.
Our pick vs. the spread for this week 11 matchup between Washington and Philadelphia is to take Washington to cover as road underdogs. The point spread currently has Washington at +3.5, and we have them winning 27-20, they are our pick to cover.
As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 48.5 points, we like the UNDER, projecting these teams to combine for 47 points.
With both teams battling for division supremacy and playoff positioning, this Week 11 showdown promises fireworks. The stakes are high, the odds are live, and for NFL betting fans, this matchup is one to circle in bold!
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Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
TEXAS HELD ‘EM@BetMGM | #FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/BWPrYr9yoM
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) November 11, 2024
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