Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys free NFL Week 12 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Cowboys on Thursday, November 23rd at the AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington Dallas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(4-7) Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys (7-3)
Thanksgiving Day NFL Football
Date: Thursday, November 23rd
Time: 4:30 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington +11 | Dallas -11
Week 12 NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +427 | Dallas -593
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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Last year, the Cowboys and Commanders split their head-to-head matchups, with each team going 1-1. Together the Commanders and Cowboys averaged 33.5 points per game and had an over/under record of 0-2.
Against the spread, they each went 1-1. In these head-to-head matchups, the Commanders’ offense averaged 303 yards per game compared to the Cowboys at 230.5.
NFL Thanksgiving games have a rich tradition. They began in 1920 and have been played almost every year since. Teams like the Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions are famous for hosting these matchups.
It’s a holiday treat for football fans. Which game are you most looking forward to this Thursday?
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Washington Commanders
On the road, the Commanders have a record of 3-3 this season and are 4-7 overall. When looking at the standings, Washington is 12th in the NFC and 3rd in the NFC-East. On the road, Washington has gone 3-3 thus far.
Against the spread, the Commanders have a record of 5-5-1. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -6.3.
Even though the Commanders finished with 403 yards of offense compared to the Giants’ 292, the Commanders still lost the game. In the game, the Commanders averaged 6.2 yards per rush for a total of 174.
On the other side, the Giants threw for 201 yards while running for 91. Washington also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 7.5 point favorites. Quarterback Sam Howell threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Howell completed 68% of his passes for 255 yards.
Washington Commanders Stats
Washington’s offense produced a total of 403 yards against the Giants. When it came to third downs, the Commanders had a conversion rate of 38.5%.
The leading rusher for the Commanders was Brian Robinson Jr. with 73 yards, and Sam Howell contributed 255 passing yards.
Coming into week 12, the Commanders offense is 16th in the league at 21.5 points per contest.
The Commanders defense takes on the Cowboys having given up an average of 27.7 points per game. So far, they are 8th in quarterback hits and are giving up 372.8 yards per contest.
Dallas Cowboys
Through 10 games, the Cowboys have a record of 7-3. This mark has them 2nd in the NFC-East and 5th in the NFC. The Cowboys hold a 7-3 record against the spread.
As we approach week 12, their scoring margin stands at +12.7 per game.
In the Cowboys’ win over the Panthers, the Cowboys did a good job moving the ball against the Panthers defense, finishing with 23 first-downs and racking up 311 yards of offense.
Defensively, the Cowboys allowed a total of 187 yards of offense to the Panthers. Going into the game, Dallas was favored by 11 and went on to cover the spread.
Dak Prescott threw for 189 yards while completing 65% of his passes and throwing for 189. Prescott threw for two touchdowns.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Offensively, the Cowboys rushed the ball 27 times against the Panthers. Tony Pollard led the ground attack with 61 yards. Dak Prescott made 38 passing attempts, accumulating 189 yards and achieving a passer rating of 95.
The Dallas offense is currently ranked 2nd in the league, averaging 30.2 points per contest.
Dallas is sitting 5th in points allowed so far.
Heading into week 12, their opponents are putting up an average of 17.5 points per game, on 266.3 yards per contest.
Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 4-0-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commanders are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cowboys have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Cowboys’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +320 | +426 | +8.5 | +11 |
| Cowboys | -405 | -590 | -8.5 | -11 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +11
Does anyone own the Dallas Cowboys fantasy defense? I do. You should start them this Thursday! #JustSayin
Cowboys come into this one 7-3 and the Commanders are 4-7 so write off the top we know why the spread is what it is.
For this matchup, I’m liking Washington to cover as 11-point underdogs. Why? Washington are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. These guys just don’t go away.
Howell is getting things done on offense this year, and they’re still playing hard for Rivera. Washington is coming off a game in which they ran the ball well vs. New York and should do so once again.
Before kickoff I’ll be taking Washington on the spread.
If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 48.5 points. For this game, my money is on the OVER.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas’ last 9 games, and total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas’ last 8 when playing at home against the Commanders.
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Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Love this!
https://twitter.com/dallascowboys/status/1727088501773201749
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