Free NFL Week 13 Pick: Titans vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Titans taking on the Commanders on Sunday, December 1st at the Northwest Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tennessee Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(3-8) Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders (7-5)
Date: Sunday, December 1st
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tennessee +5.5 | Washington -5.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tennessee +211 | Washington -257
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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Week 13 NFL action heats up as the Tennessee Titans (3-8) visit the Washington Commanders (7-5) in Landover, MD. The history between these two teams is tight, with Tennessee holding a narrow 8-6 edge in their 14 all-time matchups.
Their most recent clash in 2022 saw the Titans edge out a 21-17 win, a game where Ryan Tannehill outdueled Carson Wentz.
Now, Washington looks to end a two-game losing streak in the series and improve their shaky 13-11 all-time record against AFC South teams. Meanwhile, Tennessee aims to build on their reputation as road warriors, cashing as underdogs in recent weeks.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Titans have a record of 2-1. The Titans also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 38 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
The Commanders are favorites at -5.5, but their December woes are hard to ignore—they’re winless in their last six games played during the month and just 7-13 straight up over their last 20 overall.
Tennessee Titans
Heading into week 13, the Titans sit 26th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 1.8% chance of making the playoffs. Tennessee is 3-8 this season, including a 1-1 record in the AFC South. They are 3rd in the division and 13th in the AFC. The Titans are 2-4 on the road and 1-4 at home.
Against the spread, the Titans are 2-9, with an average scoring margin of -8 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-4-1, with their games averaging 44.7 points compared to an average line of 40.4. In week 12, Tennessee beat the Texans 32-27, covering the spread as 8-point underdogs. The combined 59 points went over the 40.5-point line.
Tennessee Titans Stats
Heading into week 13, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.4, and 25th in yards per game with 302.1. Tennessee has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 33.1% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. They have been strong in the red zone, though, converting 43.3% of their trips, which ranks 5th in the NFL.
Will Levis has been sacked 20 times in his last 3 games, including 8 times in week 12 against the Texans. He did throw for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns in that game, completing 18 of 24 passes. Calvin Ridley, who is dealing with an ankle injury, caught 5 passes for 93 yards in week 12. Before that, he had a 117-yard game in week 11 and an 84-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 10.
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In their 32-27 win over the Texans, the Titans’ defense allowed just 40 rushing yards on 17 attempts. They picked off two passes and held Houston to a 23.1% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 220 passing yards, Tennessee defended well, allowing just 6.7 yards per attempt.
Tennessee also recorded four sacks in the game. The Texans did manage to score two passing touchdowns, but the Titans limited them to a 60.6% completion percentage. Tennessee did, however, lose the differential in both QB hits and tackles for loss.
Washington Commanders
After a three-game losing streak, the Commanders are now 7-5, dropping them to 7th in the NFC. Despite this, they still have a 71.6% chance of making the playoffs. In week 12, Washington couldn’t take advantage of being at home and lost to the Cowboys, despite being 10.5-point favorites. This followed losses to the Eagles and Steelers in weeks 11 and 10, respectively.
Washington’s O/U record is 8-4, with their games averaging 50.9 points compared to a 46.2-point line. Against the spread, they are 7-4-1, but they have failed to cover in three straight games. Before this, they had covered in four consecutive games, including a 33-point win over the Panthers in week 7.
Washington Commanders Stats
Heading into week 13, the Commanders are 6th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27.8 points per game, which ranks 5th in the NFL. They are 6th in the league in passing yards per game (370.5) and 14th in passing yards per game (222.8), despite ranking 25th in passing attempts. On the ground, they average 147.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 5th, on 30.7 attempts per game. Washington leads the NFL in red zone attempts, but their conversion rate of 42.2% ranks 26th.
Jayden Daniels threw for 275 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12, but he also had 2 interceptions and was sacked 4 times. He also led the team in rushing with 74 yards on 7 carries. Terry McLaurin had 5 catches for 102 yards, and Washington scored 17 points in the 4th quarter against the Cowboys.
In their 34-26 loss to the Cowboys, the Commanders’ defense gave up 241 passing yards and allowed Dallas to complete 75% of their passes. Washington’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Cowboys to convert 18.2% of their third down attempts. They also gave up two passing touchdowns and managed just one sack while losing the quarterback hit battle (-6).
On the ground, the Commanders did better, holding the Cowboys to 91 rushing yards on 28 attempts. Overall, Washington’s defense gave up 332 total yards in the game.
Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Titans are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Titans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Titans vs. Commanders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | +102 | +210 | +1.5 | +5.5 |
| Commanders | -122 | -257 | -1.5 | -5.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: Tennessee +5.5
For this week 13 matchup between the Titans and Commanders, we have the Commanders coming out on top by a score of 24-22. With Washington being the home team, our best bet is to take the Titans to cover the spread as 5.5-point road underdogs.
With Daniels not looking 100%, Washington seems vulnerable to a cover to me. Tennessee’s defense has been a bright spot, and they’ve dominated against the spread in this matchup, going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 against Washington and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six road games against the Commanders.
As for an over/under pick, we like going with the over (but bet small), with the line sitting at 44.5 points. Our prediction is that these teams combine for 46 points, I’ll likely pass on this total.
This game will be a grinder. Tennessee’s ability to stay close and Washington’s offensive struggles add layers of intrigue for bettors. This is one to watch closely—expect a spirited battle as these teams clash with playoff hopes on the line!
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Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Thankful for all of you! 🦃 pic.twitter.com/YNCqYmr1he
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) November 28, 2024
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