Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Titans vs. Texans Odds
Looking for Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Titans taking on the Texans on Sunday, November 24th at the NRG Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tennessee Houston matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(2-8) Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans (7-4)
Date: Sunday, November 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston TX
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tennessee +8.5 | Houston -8.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tennessee +332 | Houston -430
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Get ready for a fiery AFC South showdown in Week 12 as the Titans and Texans face off at NRG Stadium in Houston.
The Titans lead the all-time series 23-21, but the momentum is squarely on Houston’s side after dominating the last three meetings, including a decisive 26-2 blowout on New Year’s Eve last season.
Houston is riding high at 7-4, looking every bit like a contender, while the 2-8 Titans are struggling to find their footing, especially on the road.
The numbers paint a grim picture for Tennessee bettors: the Titans are just 2-8 against the spread in their last ten road games and an abysmal 2-14 straight up in their last 16 road contests.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Texans have the leg up at 3-0. The Texans also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 32 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
Tennessee Titans
Heading into their week 12 matchup with the Texans, the Titans are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 23-13 loss to the Vikings in week 11. This dropped Tennessee to 2-8 on the season, leaving them 28th in our NFL power rankings. Our projections give the Titans a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.2% chance of winning the AFC South.
Against the spread, the Titans are 1-9, with six straight ATS losses. They have a -9.3 average scoring margin and have failed to cover in all three games as the favorite. Their O/U record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 43.3 points compared to an average line of 40.4.
Tennessee Titans Stats
Heading into week 12, Tennessee’s offense ranks 30th in our power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17, and 25th in total yards per game with 295.4. The Titans are 27th in passing yards per game (178.4) on 30.7 attempts per game, and they rank 18th in rushing yards per game, averaging 117 on 26.8 attempts. They have struggled on third down, converting just 33.6% of their attempts, which ranks 26th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 48.3% of their opportunities, which ranks 7th in the NFL.
Will Levis threw for 295 yards in week 11, completing 17 of 31 passes with one touchdown and one interception. He was sacked five times in the game. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine led the team with 117 receiving yards on two catches, while Levis also led the team in rushing with 18 yards on seven carries. Tennessee scored 3 points in the first quarter, 7 in the third, and 3 in the fourth against the Vikings.
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The Titans’ defense gave up 236 passing yards to the Vikings in their most recent game, allowing two passing touchdowns. They also struggled to defend the run, giving up just 82 yards on 33 attempts. Overall, the Titans allowed 318 yards in their 23-13 loss to the Vikings.
Even though they had two sacks, the Titans lost the tackles for loss battle, with a differential of -4. Opposing offenses converted on 35.7% of their third down attempts against Tennessee.
Houston Texans
With a 7-4 record, the Texans sit atop the AFC South and have a 96.8% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They also have a 94.6% chance of winning the division. Houston ranks 9th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 12. So far, they are 4-1 at home and 3-3 on the road.
Against the spread, the Texans are 5-6, but they have covered in two straight games, including a 34-10 win over the Cowboys in week 11. Houston was favored by 7 points and easily covered the spread. The 44 combined points in the game went over the 41.5-point line. The Texans’ O/U record is 3-7-1 this season.
Houston Texans Stats
Heading into week 12, the Texans rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 13th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.5 points per game, and they rank 14th in total yards per game with 342.9. Houston has been strong early in games, ranking 3rd in the league in 1st-quarter scoring. They are 9th in passing attempts and 13th in passing yards per game, averaging 221.5. On the ground, they rank 14th in rushing attempts and 13th in rushing yards per game, with 121.4. The Texans are 16th in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 22nd in red zone efficiency, despite ranking 6th in red zone attempts.
C.J. Stroud threw for 257 yards on 23/34 passing in week 11, with one interception, after throwing for 232 yards and two interceptions in week 10. Joe Mixon rushed for 109 yards and three touchdowns on 20 carries in week 11, and Tank Dell led the team with 54 receiving yards. Houston scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against the Cowboys, after being shut out in the 4th quarter in weeks 9 and 10.
The Texans’ defense came away with five sacks and held the Cowboys to just a 33.3% conversion rate on third down in their 34-10 win. Despite giving up 324 passing yards, Houston’s defense limited Dallas to just 64 rushing yards on 18 attempts. They also came up with one interception and allowed only one passing touchdown.
Even though the Texans gave up 388 total yards, they were tough in critical situations and made it difficult for Dallas to sustain drives. Houston also won the battle in quarterback hits and tackles for loss in a dominant defensive performance.
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Titans are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Texans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Titans are 2-8 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Texans have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Titans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Texans’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Titans vs. Texans Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | +180 | +332 | +5.5 | +8.5 |
| Texans | -218 | -430 | -5.5 | -8.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Houston -8.5
The Titans dropped nine of their last ten games against AFC South opponents. On the flip side, Houston has been on a tear, winning six straight against the division and 10 of their last 13 at home. Coming off a strong performance in Dallas last week, the Texans are proving they’re for real.
With a betting line of Houston -8.5 and a total set at 41.5, this game offers plenty of angles for sharp bettors. Can Houston’s defense smother a struggling Tennessee offense?
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Texans to cover as home favorites in this week 12 matchup between the Titans and Texans. The point spread is currently at -8.5 in favor of Houston, and we have the Titans projected to lose 30-17, the Texans are our pick to cover the -8.5.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 41.5 points, we have this game finishing with 47 combined points, making the over our recommended pick.
Will the Texans’ home dominance and recent momentum push them to another convincing win? Stay tuned—it’s going to be a thrilling AFC South clash with serious playoff implications on the line.
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Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Football is beautiful 🤌 pic.twitter.com/hInvAyoffh
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) November 21, 2024
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