Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Buccaneers vs. Chargers Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Chargers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Chargers on Sunday, December 15th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(7-6) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Chargers (8-5)
Date: Sunday, December 15th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tampa Bay +3 | Los Angeles -3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay +133 | Los Angeles -158
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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The Week 15 clash between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Los Angeles Chargers is set to light up SoFi Stadium with playoff implications on the line.
These teams have faced off 12 times, with the Chargers holding an 8-4 series lead, but history means little in this high-stakes matchup. The last meeting, a 38-31 Tampa Bay victory in 2020, featured Tom Brady and a rookie Justin Herbert dueling it out.
The Buccaneers and Chargers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season, but TB comes into this one winners of three straight.
But over the last three times playing each other, the Buccaneers have a record of 3-0. The Buccaneers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 58 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-0-1.
Fast forward to 2024, and this game carries just as much intrigue, with the Bucs sitting at 7-6 and the Chargers at 8-5, both jockeying for postseason positioning.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
After a three-game winning streak, the Buccaneers are now 7-6, putting them in first place in the NFC South. Tampa Bay has a 6-3 conference record and is 4-2 on the road. Our power rankings have the Bucs 10th in the NFL, and they have a 76% chance of making the playoffs and a 73.9% chance of winning their division.
Against the spread, the Bucs are 8-5, with a +4.2 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 8-5, with their games averaging 51.7 points (the O/U line has averaged 45.4). In week 14, Tampa Bay beat the Raiders 28-13, covering the 6.5-point spread. The combined score of 41 points was under the 47-point line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Heading into week 15, the Buccaneers are 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27.9, and 3rd in yards per game with 379.3. Tampa Bay ranks 6th in passing yards per game (241) and 8th in rushing yards per game (138.3). They have been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.2% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league, and they lead the NFL in 1st-quarter scoring.
Baker Mayfield threw for 295 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 14, despite 2 interceptions and 4 sacks. Rachaad White rushed for 90 yards on 17 carries, and Cade Otton led the team with 70 receiving yards. Tampa Bay scored 14 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters against the Raiders, converting 3 of 3 red zone attempts and 5 of 12 3rd downs.
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In their most recent game, the Buccaneers’ defense held the Raiders to just 13 points and 195 passing yards in their 28-13 win. Tampa Bay’s defense was tough against the run, allowing only 91 yards on 25 attempts. They also kept the Raiders out of the endzone through the air, giving up no passing touchdowns.
The Buccaneers’ defense forced the Raiders into a 30.8% third-down conversion rate and came away with one interception. They also recorded two sacks in the game, although they did lose the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.
Los Angeles Chargers
Heading into week 15, the Chargers sit at 8-5, giving them a 90.5% chance of making the playoffs. However, they have no shot at winning the AFC West, as they trail the Chiefs by three games. In week 14, Los Angeles couldn’t close the gap in the division, falling 19-17 to Kansas City. Despite the loss, the Chargers covered the 4.5-point spread, bringing their ATS record to 9-3-1 this season.
So far, the Chargers have an average scoring margin of +5.4 points per game, and they rank 13th in our NFL power rankings. Their O/U record stands at 4-9, with the under hitting in their last two games. On average, their games have seen 37.2 points, compared to an O/U line of 42.3.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Heading into week 15, the Chargers sit 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.3 points per game, and rank 24th in passing yards per game with 198.1, despite being 29th in pass attempts. On the ground, they are 19th in rushing yards per game, with 111.5, on 27.1 attempts per game.
In week 14, Justin Herbert threw for 213 yards and a touchdown, completing 21 of 30 passes against the Chiefs. The Chargers scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter but were held to just 3 points in the 4th. Joshua Palmer led the team with 6 catches for 78 yards, while Gus Edwards had 36 rushing yards and a touchdown on 10 carries.
In their 19-17 loss to the Chiefs, the Chargers’ defense allowed 202 passing yards and 96 rushing yards on 25 attempts. They held Kansas City to just 3.8 yards per attempt on the ground and recorded three sacks, while also hitting the quarterback six more times than the Chiefs. However, the Chargers struggled on third downs, allowing the Chiefs to convert 53.3% of their third down attempts.
The Chargers’ defense limited the Chiefs to 298 total yards and a 5.5 yards per attempt in the passing game. Despite this, the Chargers allowed one passing touchdown and the Chiefs finished with a 64.9% completion percentage. Los Angeles also had three tackles for loss in the game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chargers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Buccaneers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Chargers’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Buccaneers vs. Chargers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | +120 | +133 | +3 | +3 |
| Chargers | -142 | -159 | -3 | -3 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay +3
Tampa Bay comes in hot, covering the spread in four of their last five and showing ice-cold composure in December with a 7-1 record over their past eight games in the month.
Meanwhile, the Chargers have struggled in the holiday stretch, going 1-5 SU in their last six December outings.
Los Angeles may have the slight edge as three-point favorites, but Tampa Bay’s strong track record against AFC West opponents (8-3 ATS in their last 11) suggests they won’t back down.
Our projected score for this week 15 matchup between the Buccaneers and Chargers is 27-26 in favor of the Buccaneers. With the point spread sitting at -3 in favor of LA, we are locking in our pick vs. the spread on the Bucs to cover as road dogs.
For the over/under, we have these teams combining for 53 points, and with the O/U line at 46.5, we are leaning towards taking the over in this one.
With an over/under of 46.5, expect a thrilling, fast-paced battle between two teams desperate to keep their playoff hopes alive.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
nothing but love, dj 🥹 pic.twitter.com/7FRSZFWVI8
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) December 12, 2024
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