Free Week 1 Prediction: Buccaneers vs Cowboys NFL Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys free NFL Week 1 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Cowboys on Sunday, 9/11/2022 at the AT&T Stadium . Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay Dallas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys (0-0)
Date: Sunday, 9/11/2022
Time: Time1
Venue: AT&T Stadium
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Tampa Bay -2.5 (-110) | Dallas +2.5 (-110)
NFL Week 1 Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay -135 | Dallas +115
NFL Week NFL Betting Total: O/U 51
Sunday Night Football kicks off this season in Jerry World when the Bucs head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys.
The Bucs open as 2.5 point favorites and sitting at -135 on the ML. The Cowboys are home dogs on the ML, sitting at +115. The over/under for this game is set at 51.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This offseason was very eventful for Tom Brady and the Bucs. Tom Brady retired, only to unretire and comeback for another season as the Bucs QB. Bruce Arians retired and basically gave Todd Bowles a chance to be the head coach. Also, the Bucs once again brought in some solid veterans, signing Akiem Hicks on the defensive line, Kyle Rudolph at tight end with Gronk gone, and brought in Julio Jones to try and find second life for his career.
Last season, the Bucs were 1st in total DVOA on offense and 9th in total DVOA on defense. The real strength of this team on offense is obviously Tom Brady being a field general and being so smart playing the QB position. The strength of the defense is it’s ability to stop the run. Even though they lost Suh, the addition of Hicks to that DL will match up perfectly with Vita Vea to stop the run again this year.
The real thing to watch for this game is going to see how Brady looks with all the rumors going around about his personal life. After missing 11 days on training camp, is he going to come out looking sharp? I think if you are going to look at player props for this game, I’d target Leonard Fournette to get a heavy dose in the running game. Look at his over rushing yards, and also to score a TD.
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys come into this season once again as a team that could compete for a playoff spot and winning the NFC East. They lost Amari Cooper to the Browns, La’el Collins to the Bengals on offense; and lost Keanu Neal to the Bucs and Randy Gregory to the Broncos on the defensive side of the ball. They resigned Demarcus Lawrence and brought in Anthony Barr and Dante Fowler on the defensive side of the ball.
The real question mark with the Cowboys to start the season is the offensive line questions. Tyron Smith is hurt and they just signed 40 year old Jason Peters to play LT most likely for this team. After losing Collins, Terence Steele will be the starting RT and they will have a new starting LG after letting Connor Williams walk in free agency. This line will get tested right away facing the front 7 of the Bucs.
Looking at player props, one is sticking out to me right now. Tony Pollard should be big in the passing game early on with Michael Gallup still rehabbing his torn ACL from last year. You can get Pollard over 21.5 receiving yards at -125 right now, and I’d play that to -140. I could see him getting the ball early and often to help Dak with the pressure the Bucs will be bringing.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Over is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games in Week 1.
- Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Cowboys are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC.
- Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Dallas.
- Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Cowobys +2.5, Tony Pollard over 21.5 receiving yards
With the offseason that Brady has had, I’m going to take the home dogs and take the Cowboys +2.5 (might look to buy .5 point and get this one to +3). Additionally, I’m going to add Pollard over 21.5 receiving yards. Enjoy your first SNF game of the year!
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