Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Steelers vs. Eagles Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Steelers taking on the Eagles on Sunday, December 15th at the Lincoln Financial Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Pittsburgh Philadelphia matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(10-3) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles (11-2)
Date: Sunday, December 15th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia PA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Pittsburgh +4.5 | Philadelphia -4.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh +192 | Philadelphia -232
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43
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The Keystone State showdown between the Steelers and Eagles in Week 15 is dripping with historical significance and betting intrigue. Philadelphia has dominated this rivalry, boasting a 49-29-3 all-time edge, including a 35-13 romp in their last meeting on October 30, 2022.
Even more jaw-dropping? Pittsburgh hasn’t won in Philly since 1965—a stat that looms large as these two juggernauts clash at Lincoln Financial Field.
Last season, the Steelers and Eagles did not face off head-to-head.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Eagles have the leg up at 2-1. The Eagles also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 50 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
The Eagles, at 11-2, are rolling, while the 10-3 Steelers bring serious momentum, having covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.
Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers bounced back from their week 12 loss to the Browns with back-to-back wins, including a 27-14 victory over Cleveland in week 14. Pittsburgh entered the game as 6-point favorites and covered the spread, improving their record to 10-3. They currently hold a +6.5 scoring margin and are 10-3 against the spread this season. As underdogs, they are 5-0 ATS, and they are 5-3 when favored.
With a 10-3 record, the Steelers have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and a 79.6% chance of winning the AFC North. They rank 9th in our NFL power rankings and are 3rd in the AFC. Pittsburgh is 5-1 at home and 5-2 on the road, and they are 3-1 in division games.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
Russell Wilson has posted three consecutive games with a passer rating over 100, including a 158-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 14 against the Browns. He threw for 414 yards in week 13 and 270 yards in week 12. Pittsburgh ranks 22nd in passing yards per game, averaging 206, and they are 28th in passing attempts per game.
Najee Harris had 53 rushing yards on 16 carries in week 14. The Steelers are 2nd in the NFL in rushing attempts per game, with 33.7, and they average 132.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks 9th. Pittsburgh is 16th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage.
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In their most recent game, the Steelers’ defense gave up two passing touchdowns to the Browns, but they still came away with a 27-14 win. The defense was tough on third downs, allowing the Browns to convert just 15.4% of their third down attempts. Despite allowing 196 passing yards, Pittsburgh’s secondary picked off two passes and limited Cleveland to 58.5% completions.
The Steelers’ defense also recorded three sacks and held the Browns to 104 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Pittsburgh’s run defense allowed just 4.2 yards per attempt.
Philadelphia Eagles
With nine straight wins, the Eagles sit at 11-2 and have a 98% chance of winning the NFC East, according to our projections. They rank 5th in our power rankings and are 2nd in the NFC, behind the 49ers. Philly is 3-0 in division games and 7-2 in conference play. They are 5-1 at home and 6-1 on the road.
Against the spread, the Eagles are 8-5, including a 3-0 record as underdogs. In week 13, they covered as 3-point dogs against the Ravens, and in week 14, they beat the Panthers 22-16 but didn’t cover the 14-point spread. The O/U line was 44.5, and the teams combined for 38 points, giving Philly two straight unders.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
Heading into week 15, the Eagles are leaning heavily on their run game, leading the NFL in rushing attempts (36.4) and rushing yards per game (190.5). Saquon Barkley has been a key part of this, with 124 yards on 20 carries in week 14. Philadelphia ranks 31st in passing attempts, averaging 180.6 yards per game through the air. Jalen Hurts posted a passer rating of 110 in week 14, throwing for 108 yards and 2 touchdowns, while A.J. Brown led the team with 43 receiving yards.
Philadelphia is 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.3, and they rank 7th in yards per game with 371.1. They have struggled early in games, ranking 26th in 1st-quarter scoring, but they are 8th in 3rd-down conversion rate at 43.4%. Despite being 24th in red zone conversion percentage, they are 5th in red zone attempts.
In their 22-16 win over the Panthers, the Eagles’ defense allowed just 184 passing yards. They defended 302 total yards, with the Panthers rushing for 118 yards on 34 attempts. The Eagles picked off one pass and limited Carolina to a 55.9% completion percentage. Additionally, they held the Panthers to just one touchdown and only allowed 3.5 yards per attempt on the ground.
Philadelphia’s defense was effective on third downs, allowing the Panthers to convert just 43.8% of their attempts. They also recorded one sack and had a positive differential in quarterback hits and tackles for loss.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Steelers are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Eagles are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Eagles have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Steelers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Eagles’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Steelers vs. Eagles Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | +124 | +191 | +3 | +4.5 |
| Eagles | -148 | -233 | -3 | -4.5 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Pittsburgh +4.5
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as road underdogs in this week 15 matchup between the Eagles and Steelers. Right now, the point spread lines have the Eagles at -4.5, and with our projected final score being 27-24 in favor of the Eagles, we are taking them to cover at this line.
The betting angles here are tantalizing. The spread sits at Eagles -4.5, with the Steelers as +192 underdogs, but the real intrigue lies in the total set at 43.
Despite both teams averaging over 27 points per game in recent weeks, history suggests this could turn into a December shootout.
For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the OVER, with a projected combined score of 51 points. The current O/U line is sitting at 43 points, making the OVER a good value pick for this matchup.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philly’s last 17 December games, and Pittsburgh has seen the OVER hit in five straight road games. Add in their December scoring trends, and it’s hard not to lean toward fireworks.
With playoff implications on the line and a fiery rivalry renewed, this is must-watch football and a bettor’s delight. Buckle up for a classic!
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
More work to be done@toyota | #FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/26nbZgeivh
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) December 9, 2024
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