Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Steelers vs. Browns Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Steelers taking on the Browns on Thursday, November 21st at the Huntington Bank Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Pittsburgh Cleveland Thursday Night football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime
(8-2) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns (2-8)
Date: Thursday, November 21st
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland OH
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Pittsburgh -3.5 | Cleveland +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh -193 | Cleveland +163
NFL Betting Total: O/U 36.5
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It’s Thursday Night Football, and one of the NFL’s oldest rivalries is back under the prime-time lights! The Steelers and Browns meet for the 146th time in a storied series that’s been mostly dominated by Pittsburgh.
Historically, the Steelers hold an 81-63-1 edge, though Cleveland’s last win came in a gritty 13-10 defensive slugfest just last year. This week’s matchup brings the heat, with the Steelers looking to solidify their playoff push and the Browns desperate to salvage pride in a tough season.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Steelers have a record of 2-1. The Steelers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 37 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Pittsburgh Steelers
With their 18-16 win over the Ravens in week 11, the Steelers extended their winning streak to five games, bringing their record to 8-2. This run includes a 28-27 victory over Washington in week 10 and a 26-18 win over the Giants in week 8. Pittsburgh also picked up a 22-point win over the Jets in week 7 and a 19-point win over the Raiders in week 6. The Steelers currently sit 10th in our NFL power rankings and have a 66.6% chance of winning the AFC North and a 97.3% chance of making the playoffs.
Pittsburgh is 8-2 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +7.1 points per game. They have covered in five straight games, including a 2-point win over the Ravens as 3.5-point underdogs. The combined scoring in that game was 34 points, falling short of the 48-point over/under line. The Steelers’ O/U record is 5-5 this season, with their games averaging 39.5 points.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
Russell Wilson’s passer rating has decreased over his last three games, dropping from 114 in week 9 to 93 in week 10 and 67 in week 11, when he threw for 205 yards with no touchdowns and one interception against the Ravens. George Pickens led the team in receiving in week 11, with 8 catches for 89 yards, after his 91-yard performance in week 10. Najee Harris rushed for 63 yards on 18 carries in week 11, following his 66-yard game in week 10 and 114-yard game in week 9.
Heading into week 12, the Steelers rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 14th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.3, and 19th in total yards per game, with 324. Pittsburgh ranks 26th in passing yards per game but is 8th in rushing, with 136.7 yards per game on the ground.
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In their 18-16 win over the Ravens, the Steelers’ defense was tough to move the ball against, as they held Baltimore to just 48.5% completions. The Ravens managed only 205 yards passing and 124 yards rushing on just 19 attempts, averaging 6.5 yards per attempt. Pittsburgh’s defense also picked off one pass and held the Ravens to a 36.4% conversion rate on third down.
Despite giving up 329 total yards, the Steelers limited the Ravens to just one touchdown, and they also recorded two sacks in the game. Pittsburgh did struggle in the running game, allowing Baltimore to break off some big runs, but overall, they were able to keep the Ravens out of the endzone for the most part.
Cleveland Browns
After snapping a six-game losing streak with a win over the Ravens in week 8, the Browns have now dropped two in a row, including a 35-14 loss to the Saints in week 11. Cleveland was a 1-point favorite in that game but couldn’t get the job done, leaving them at 2-8 on the season. They currently rank 21st in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.7% chance of making the playoffs.
Against the spread, the Browns are 3-7, with two straight ATS losses. They are 0-4 as favorites and 3-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-6, with their games averaging 41 points per game.
Cleveland Browns Stats
Heading into week 12, the Browns rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in points per game (16.2) and 27th in yards per game (291.3). Despite being 2nd in passing attempts per game (38.6), they sit 19th in passing yards, averaging 202.8 per game. On the ground, Cleveland ranks 26th in rushing attempts and 29th in rushing yards, with 88.5 per game. They have struggled on third down, converting just 28.2% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the league. However, they have been perfect in the red zone, leading the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.
Jameis Winston threw for 395 yards and 2 touchdowns on 30/46 passing in week 11, with no interceptions. Jerry Jeudy led the team with 6 catches for 142 yards and a touchdown, while Nick Chubb had 50 yards on 11 carries. The Browns scored 8 points in the 3rd quarter but were held scoreless in the 2nd and 4th quarters. They converted just 3 of 13 third-down attempts and failed to score on their only red zone trip.
In their 35-14 loss to the Saints, the Browns’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 214 rushing yards on just 28 attempts. The Browns allowed the Saints to gain 473 yards overall. In the passing game, the Browns gave up 259 yards through the air, with the Saints averaging 8.9 yards per attempt. Cleveland allowed two passing touchdowns and only managed one sack. Opposing quarterbacks completed 75.9% of their passes against the Browns, who allowed the Saints to convert on 50% of their third down attempts.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Steelers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Browns are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Browns have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Steelers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Browns’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Steelers vs. Browns Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | +130 | -193 | +3 | -3.5 |
| Browns | -155 | +162 | -3 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Pittsburgh -3.5
Pittsburgh is firing on all cylinders, riding a five-game ATS win streak and thriving against weaker defenses, with a 5-1 record against bottom-10 scoring units. They’ve also been road warriors, covering in seven of their last ten away games.
Meanwhile, the Browns have struggled to find their footing at home, going just 3-7 across their last ten and a rough 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
For this week 12 matchup between the Steelers and Browns, we have the Steelers coming out on top by a score of 24-17. With the point spread sitting at -3.5 in favor of the Steelers, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as road favorites.
As for the over/under, with the line at 36.5 points, we like the over, projecting these teams to combine for 41 points.
With the total set at a low 36.5, expect a battle. Cleveland’s home-field advantage might be historical, but Pittsburgh’s consistency, combined with the Browns’ struggles, sets the stage for a fascinating clash.
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
watch more highlights on https://t.co/xMzvHOeNay pic.twitter.com/orphqFpTPG
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) November 19, 2024
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