Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Eagles vs. Buccaneers Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Eagles taking on the Buccaneers on Sunday, September 29th at the Raymond James Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Philadelphia Tampa Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)
Date: Sunday, September 29th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Philadelphia -2.5 | Tampa Bay +2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia -139 | Tampa Bay +117
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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Get ready for a sizzling NFC clash this Sunday as the 2-1 Eagles take on the 2-1 Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium! Tampa Bay may have the slight upper hand in recent head-to-head matchups, winning four of the last five, but don’t let that fool you—this rivalry is as tight as it gets. With the all-time series standing at 12-11 in favor of the Bucs, this is shaping up to be another nail-biter!
The Eagles, coming off two straight NFC Wild-Card exits courtesy of the Bucs, will be looking for some serious revenge. Philadelphia is favored by 2.5 points, but with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith possibly sidelined, the pressure will be on Jalen Hurts to step up. Hurts is more than capable, and you can expect him to be electric alongside Dallas Goedert, who’s primed for a big day. Keep your eyes on that dynamic duo to spark Philly’s offense!
Each team picked up a win on their home field in the two meetings between the Eagles and Buccaneers last year. The Eagles won the first game 25-11, while the Buccaneers took the second game 32-9.
The Eagles were favored by -5.5 in the first game and -2.5 in the second game. The over/under line for the first game was 44 points, and the teams combined for 36 points.
In the second game, the line was 43 points, and the combined score was 41 points.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles pulled off a 15-12 win over the Saints, despite being down 3-0 after the 1st quarter and at halftime. Philadelphia’s big 4th quarter included a 65-yard touchdown run by Saquon Barkley in the 3rd quarter and another 4-yard touchdown run by Barkley with just 1:05 remaining in the 4th. The Eagles were +2.5 point underdogs heading into the game, and with the win, they improved to 2-1 on the season.
Philadelphia’s late comeback was needed after the Saints took a 12-7 lead with just 2:10 remaining in the 4th quarter, as Derek Carr connected with Chris Olave for a touchdown. The over/under line for the game was set at 49 points, and the teams combined for just 27 points. Despite the Eagles’ win, they were still looking at a 3-0 deficit heading into the 4th quarter.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
The Eagles’ offense, led by Jalen Hurts, put up 288 yards through the air in their 15-12 win over the Saints. Hurts completed 29 of 38 passes for 311 yards and was sacked four times. Philadelphia didn’t find the endzone through the air, but Hurts did throw one interception. The Eagles also ran for 172 yards, with Saquon Barkley rushing for 147 yards, including a 65-yard run and two touchdowns.
Despite not scoring, Dallas Goedert had a big game, catching 10 passes for 170 yards, including a 61-yard reception. The Eagles finished with 20 first downs and converted 42.9% of their third down attempts.
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The Eagles’ defense didn’t allow a single completion in the most recent game against the Saints, giving up just 130 yards on one touchdown through the air. They also forced one interception. Overall, the Eagles’ defense allowed just 219 yards and 12 points in the 15-12 win. They held the Saints to 3.1 yards per attempt on the ground, with 89 rushing yards on 29 attempts.
On third downs, the Eagles held the Saints to a 46.2% conversion rate. Despite allowing one sack and losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials, the Eagles’ defense was still very effective in this game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers are now 2-1 after a 26-7 loss to the Broncos in their most recent game. Tampa Bay fell behind early, trailing 14-0 after the 1st quarter. They managed to score in the 2nd quarter when Baker Mayfield connected with Chris Godwin for a 6-yard touchdown, but they still trailed 20-7 at halftime and didn’t score at all in the 2nd half.
Wil Lutz added a field goal in the 4th quarter for the Broncos. Tampa Bay was favored by -6 but lost straight-up and against the spread. The combined 33 points was well below the over/under line of 40.5 points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
The Buccaneers’ offense struggled in their 26-7 loss to the Broncos, managing just 132 yards passing. Baker Mayfield went 25/33 for 163 yards and one touchdown, but he was sacked seven times. Tampa Bay’s running game showed some promise with 91 yards on 16 attempts, including a 5.7 yards per attempt average. However, they were forced to abandon the run early due to falling behind.
Chris Godwin led the team with 53 yards receiving and a touchdown. Bucky Irving was the top rusher with 70 yards, including a 32-yard run, and added 14 receiving yards.
In their 26-7 loss to the Broncos, the Buccaneers’ defense gave up 216 yards through the air. They didn’t allow any passing completions, but struggled against the run, giving up 136 yards on 28 attempts. The defense also failed to record a sack and lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.
Opposing quarterbacks completed 0% of their passes against Tampa Bay in their most recent game. Despite this, the defense still allowed 352 total yards, and the Broncos were able to convert on 30.8% of their third down attempts. The Buccaneers will be looking for improvement in generating more pressure and defending the run in upcoming games.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Eagles are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Eagles are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Buccaneers have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Eagles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Buccaneers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -125 | -140 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
| Buccaneers | +105 | +117 | +1.5 | +2.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Philadelphia -2.5
On the flip side, Tampa Bay enters this game with momentum but question marks at quarterback. Baker Mayfield showed flashes of his former self last week, but can he keep it up against this Eagles defense? I’m not sold just yet. Mayfield will need to prove he can handle the heat from a Philly team looking to make a statement.
The betting lines are tight, and for good reason—this game is going to be a grind. Philly’s favored at -2.5 with a moneyline of -139, while the Bucs are getting +2.5 and +117 on the moneyline.
For this week four matchup between the Eagles and Buccaneers, we have the Eagles coming out on top by a score of 27-24. Even though the Eagles are the road team in this one, they are our pick to win, and we also like them to cover the spread.
As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 45 points, we are leaning towards taking the OVER, with a projected combined score of 51 points.
Expect a scrappy, hard-fought battle. Don’t miss out—there’s a lot riding on this Week 4 showdown!
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Stay safe, from our Krewe to yours 🙏 pic.twitter.com/mpSwDiZ730
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) September 26, 2024
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