Free Week 11 Prediction: Eagles vs. Browns NFL Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cleveland Browns free NFL Week 11 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Eagles taking on the Browns on Sunday, November 22nd, 2020, at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Eagles Browns matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Week 11
(3-5-1) Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cleveland Browns (6-3)
Date: Sunday, November 22nd, 2020
Time: 1:00 p.m.
Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: Browns -3.5
NFL Week 11 Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia +200, Cleveland -220
NFL Week 11 NFL Betting Total: O/U 47
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An interdivisional will be going down in Cleveland this weekend when the Philadelphia Eagles travel to FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Browns at home in Week 11.
The Browns got the win in a low-scoring affair against the Texans their last time out, while the Eagles suffered a loss to the Giants in their last game.
Even with a 3-5-1 record Philadelphia still sits atop of the NFC East and has a one-game lead over the Giants for first place in the division. If the Eagles can get healthy enough before the playoffs they could actually make some noise as they will be a four seed if they can hold their position.
Carson Wentz statistically has been one of the worst quarterbacks this season in the NFL. Wentz has completed 199 of 342 passes this season for 2091 yards to go along with 12 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He’s the only quarterback in the NFL with at least three games started to have the same amount of touchdowns as interceptions. He also leads the league in turnover worthy plays with 16 this season. Hopefully, with the wide receiver core getting healthier Carson will be able to turn his season around.
As a team, the Eagles are averaging 22.6 points per game which is ranked 24th ranked in the NFL.
Defensively, the Eagles have been a middle of the road team all season. They are giving up an average of 25.8 points per game which is 16th in the NFL. Philadelphia is the only team in the league that has allowed more rushing touchdowns (14) than passing touchdowns (13), so they are going to have to be prepared for this Brown’s rushing attack. 55.4% of the rushing yardage allowed by the Eagles as come on carries of 10 or more yards, which is the highest rate in the league.
Cleveland comes into this game with Philly with a 6-3 record and is currently tied for second in the AFC North with the Ravens. The Browns have cooled off since their red hot 5-1 start. They are 2-2 over the last four weeks and seem like the most fraudulent 6-3 that is left.
Baker Mayfield has not been asked to do much over the last two weeks because the weather has been so bad in Cleveland. Over the last two weeks, the Browns have played games with 25 MPH winds and 30 MPH winds. Mayfield has completed just 24 of 45 passes for 155 yards for zero touchdowns and zero interceptions over that time. He has been the QB20 or lower in seven of the nine games the Browns have played this season and is just ahead of Wentz in passing points per game (12.4).
Kevin Stefanski is utilizing his two-headed backfield more than ever right now as Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb have been racking yards over the last few weeks. The Browns lead the league in rushing yardage on carries of 10 or more yards (835). Those yards have accounted for 58.4% of their season total, the highest rate in the league. 68.8% of the rushing yardage gained by Nick Chubb has come on runs of 10 or more yards, the highest rate for any running back.
The Browns are giving up an average of 27.1 points per game which is good for 20th in the NFL. They are the second-worst team in the NFL at giving up red zone opportunities. On average, Cleveland is providing teams with 4.1 red zone opportunities per game and opposing teams are converting 67.7% of those opportunities for touchdowns.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games.
- Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against Cleveland.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games on the road.
- Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games this season.
- Cleveland is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home.
- Cleveland is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games this season.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- Cleveland is 2-10 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference East division.
- Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Eagles +3.5
I think that the Eagles are the play in this game. Apparently, the weather is supposed to be very windy for the third consecutive week in Cleveland and both teams are going to have to most likely utilize the run game. Cleveland has the best backfield in the league right now with two solid RB1’s at their disposable every snap. Philadelphia is going to need to sell out on run defense as the Browns have been rushing the ball 62% of the time over the last two weeks and I expect that to happen once again with the wind playing a factor. Hopefully, for the Eagles, Miles Sanders will be healthy enough to have a big day as he just came off the IR last week and had a little impact against the Giants. Give me the Eagles to cover the number and upset the Browns in Cleveland.
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