Free NFL Week 8 Pick: Saints vs. Chargers Odds
Looking for New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Chargers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Saints taking on the Chargers on Sunday, October 27th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New Orleans Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(2-5) New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Chargers (3-3)
Date: Sunday, October 27th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New Orleans +7.5 | Los Angeles -7.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New Orleans +279 | Los Angeles -352
NFL Betting Total: O/U 40
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Get ready for a Week 8 showdown between two teams on very different paths! The New Orleans Saints (2-5) limp into SoFi Stadium to face the Los Angeles Chargers (3-3), and while these teams have an evenly matched all-time series (7-6 in favor of the Chargers), the tide is clearly turning in L.A.’s favor.
The last time they met, back in 2020, it was a thrilling OT win for the Saints, but that was a different New Orleans squad—led by the legendary Drew Brees.
Fast forward to 2024, and the Saints are in shambles, with injuries stacking up and a QB carousel that doesn’t inspire much confidence.
The Saints and Chargers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Saints have a record of 3-0.
The Saints also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 60 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
New Orleans Saints
Heading into week 8, the Saints are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes a 33-10 home loss to the Broncos in week 7. This leaves New Orleans at 2-5, putting them 3rd in the NFC South. Our projections give them a 7.0% chance of making the playoffs and a 3.9% chance of winning the division.
The Saints rank 18th in our power rankings, and their average scoring margin is -0.4 points per game. Against the spread, they are 3-4, with three straight ATS losses. Their O/U record is 5-2, with the over hitting in their last two games.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Heading into week 8, the Saints rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25.3, despite being 21st in passing yards (196.6) and rushing yards (116.3) per game. New Orleans has done well on 3rd down, converting 43.7% of their attempts, which ranks 6th in the league. They also rank 5th in 1st quarter scoring.
In week 7, the Saints scored just 10 points in a loss to the Broncos, with 7 of those coming in the 4th quarter. Spencer Rattler threw for 172 yards on 25/35 passing, while Cedrick Wilson Jr. led the team with 57 receiving yards. Kendre Miller had 36 rushing yards on 6 carries.
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In the Saints’ 33-10 loss to the Broncos, their defense gave up 225 rushing yards on just 35 attempts. Despite this, they held the Broncos to 164 yards passing and a completion percentage of 61.5%. New Orleans’ defense also kept Denver off the scoreboard through the air, as they didn’t allow any passing touchdowns.
New Orleans’ defense struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and lost the quarterback hit differential by 11. However, they did well on third downs, allowing the Broncos to convert just 36.4% of their third down attempts.
Los Angeles Chargers
Heading into week 8, the Chargers sit at 3-3, which puts them 3rd in the AFC West. Our projections give L.A. a 47.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.9% chance of winning the division. They rank 19th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, the Chargers are 3-2-1, with a +3.8 average scoring margin. Their O/U record is 1-5, with their games averaging 31.5 points (the O/U line has averaged 39.7).
After a week 6 win over the Broncos, the Chargers couldn’t keep up the momentum, losing 17-15 to the Cardinals in week 7. L.A. was a 1-point favorite in that game, but they couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 3-3. The combined scoring of 32 points fell well short of the 44.5-point line.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Heading into week 8, the Chargers rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.7, and 25th in passing attempts per game. Despite this, they are 7th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage and lead the NFL in red zone conversion percentage. In the 1st quarter, they average 6.0 points, which ranks 4th in the league.
In week 7, Justin Herbert threw for 349 yards on 27/39 passing without a touchdown or interception. J.K. Dobbins rushed for 40 yards on 14 carries, and Will Dissly led the team with 81 receiving yards on 8 catches. The Chargers scored 6 points in the 2nd and 4th quarters against the Cardinals.
In their 17-15 loss to the Cardinals, the Chargers’ defense gave up 181 rushing yards on just 29 attempts, including a long run of 27 yards. Despite their struggles against the run, they did hold Arizona to 145 yards passing and just 3.8 yards per play. The Chargers’ defense also forced one interception and limited the Cardinals to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down.
However, the Chargers’ defense failed to generate any sacks and allowed the Cardinals to control the game on the ground, with several big runs contributing to their 181 rushing yards. Additionally, they allowed the Cardinals to win the battle in the trenches, with Arizona holding a +6 advantage in the quarterback hit differential and a -4 advantage in tackles for loss.
New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Saints are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chargers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Saints are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chargers have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Saints’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Chargers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Saints vs. Chargers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | +130 | +279 | +3 | +7.5 |
| Chargers | -155 | -352 | -3 | -7.5 |
4* Free Week 8 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles -7.5
For this week eight matchup between the Chargers and Saints, we have the Chargers coming out on top by a score of 26-16.
New Orleans is 0-5 straight up in their last five and a brutal 1-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve struggled on the road, too, going 2-5 in their last seven away from home. Without key playmakers like Derek Carr, Taysom Hill, Chris Olave, and Rashid Shaheed, it’s hard to imagine this Saints offense keeping pace.
Spencer Rattler is under center now, but don’t expect miracles from the young quarterback. The Saints are simply outmatched.
This is a great opportunity to take the Chargers to cover the spread, as they are our pick to win, and they are currently sitting at -7.5 point favorites at home.
The Chargers have momentum, covering the spread in their last five matchups against NFC South opponents. Sitting at -7.5 favorites, they’re well-positioned to cover again. With Justin Herbert leading the charge and a relatively healthy roster, L.A. looks ready to take care of business at home.
As for the over/under line, we have a pick for the over with a projected combined score of 43 points. With the line sitting at just 40 points, there is a lot of value in taking the over in this one.
t’s a classic case of a team with everything to prove against a team trying to keep it together—and the numbers tell you which way to lean! Keep an eye on the spread, and if you’re looking for a solid pick, L.A. should be your bet this week.
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New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
zoned in pic.twitter.com/RK1yoCYVWL
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) October 23, 2024
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