Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Saints vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Saints taking on the Chiefs on Monday, October 7th at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New Orleans Kansas City Monday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(MNF) Monday Night Football on ESPN
(2-2) New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4-0)
Date: Monday, October 7th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New Orleans +5 | Kansas City -5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New Orleans +187 | Kansas City -227
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.5
- Live Betting Odds for the upcoming New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs Week 5 game!
- Want more NFL football regular season predictions like this Saints Chiefs play? Check out our free NFL Week 5 AI Picks for today!
- View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
Get ready for an epic Week 5 showdown on Monday Night Football as the 4-0 Kansas City Chiefs host the 2-2 New Orleans Saints at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs are red-hot, having won 10 straight dating back to last season, and they’ve got the edge in this matchup, leading the all-time series 6-5 after a nail-biting 32-29 victory back in 2020.
The history between these two teams is tight, with six of their matchups being decided by a touchdown or less, and we’re in for another close one under the lights.
Last season, the Saints and Chiefs did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Chiefs have the leg up at 3-0.
The Chiefs also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 52 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
New Orleans Saints
Despite taking a 7-0 lead early, the Saints fell behind the Falcons 17-14 at halftime of their most recent game, ultimately losing 26-24. New Orleans dropped to 2-2 with the defeat. The Saints were +2.5 point underdogs on the road and their 2-point loss meant they covered the spread. The combined 50 points exceeded the O/U line of 42.5 points.
Alvin Kamara’s 1-yard touchdown run with 29 seconds left in the 4th gave the Saints a brief 24-23 lead, but the Falcons pulled out the win with a 58-yard field goal from Younghoe Koo with seven seconds remaining. Taysom Hill rushed for two touchdowns for the Saints, and Blake Grupe added a late field goal in the 3rd quarter.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Despite the 26-24 loss to the Falcons, the Saints’ offense put up 25 first downs and 315 total yards. They were efficient on third down, converting 53.8% of their chances, and their running game gained 131 yards on 33 attempts. However, they failed to score a passing touchdown, with Alvin Kamara rushing for one touchdown and 77 yards.
Quarterback Derek Carr threw for 239 yards, completing 77% of his passes, but he also threw one interception. He was helped by Chris Olave, who led the team with 87 yards receiving on eight catches.
Expert NFL Betting Picks
Looking for more NFL betting picks? Check out today’s featured premium plays from CappersPicks handicappers, including sides, totals, and weekly NFL betting packages.
In their 26-24 loss to the Falcons, the Saints’ defense allowed 227 passing yards and 88 rushing yards on just 15 attempts. They held Atlanta to a 36.4% conversion rate on third down and picked off one pass. The Saints’ defense also limited the Falcons to 2.9 yards per attempt on the ground.
New Orleans didn’t allow any passing touchdowns in the game and recorded one sack. Despite the loss, they won the quarterback hit battle and held the Falcons to 60% completions.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are now 4-0 after their 17-10 win over the Chargers. Kansas City came into the game as -7 point favorites, resulting in a push. The game finished with a combined 27 points, which was below the over/under line of 41.5 points.
Kansas City fell behind early, with Ladd McConkey catching a touchdown for the Chargers in the first quarter. However, the Chiefs battled back to tie the game at 10 heading into the 4th quarter, and a 2-yard touchdown run by Samaje Perine put them ahead for good.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
The Chiefs’ offense had 16 first downs in their 17-10 win over the Chargers, with Patrick Mahomes throwing for 245 yards (19/29). Mahomes and the offense finished with 228 passing yards and 101 rushing yards on 26 attempts. They converted on 56.2% of their third down chances but were also sacked three times.
Kareem Hunt led the team with 69 rushing yards, while Travis Kelce caught seven passes for 89 yards, including a 38-yard reception. Mahomes threw one touchdown and was intercepted once in the game.
The Chiefs’ defense played well on third downs in their most recent game, allowing just a 30.8% conversion rate. They also held the Chargers to 55 yards rushing on 24 attempts and gave up only 169 passing yards. In the passing game, the Chiefs allowed just 16 completions on 27 attempts (59.3%) and recorded two sacks.
Overall, the Chiefs gave up just 224 total yards in their 17-10 win over the Chargers. The only touchdown they allowed was a passing touchdown, and they also had a good game in terms of pressuring the quarterback, with a +6 QB hit differential.
New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Saints are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Saints are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 6-2-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Saints’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Saints vs. Chiefs Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | +295 | +187 | +8 | +5 |
| Chiefs | -375 | -227 | -8 | -5 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Kansas City -5
Kansas City is a -5 favorite, and even with some injuries in the mix—Rashee Rice, Brown, and Pacheco—they’ve got Mahomes, Kelce, and an energized Kareem Hunt ready to take charge. I’m betting on the Chiefs to cover the spread!
They’re 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven games facing top-10 scoring defenses, and they’ve gone 6-2-2 in their last ten home games. On the flip side, the Saints are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games, and while their defense has been solid, I see KC finding a way to break through.
With the Chiefs on fire and their home-field advantage, I’m confident they’ll handle business on Monday night. Chiefs cover the five and keep their streak alive!
Our predicted final score is 28-17 in favor of the Chiefs.
For the over/under, with the line at 42.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 45 points.
Best Sportsbooks For New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Gambling Today!
- 50% Reload Bonuses
- Daily Player Promos
- Live Dealer Casino
- Crypto Deposits
- Same-Game Parlays
- Casino + Poker
- Same-Game Parlays
- Overnight Lines
- Progressive Jackpots
- Reduced-Juice Lines
- 7% Racebook Rebate
- 100% Crypto Bonus
- VIP Cash Rewards
- Live Betting & Props
- High Betting Limits
In Canada? Try Bodog!
New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Monday Night Football is right around the corner. pic.twitter.com/0U2FW6MAEp
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 3, 2024
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special NFL Regular Season Offers!
