Free NFL Week 10 Pick: Vikings vs. Jaguars Odds
Looking for Minnesota Vikings vs. Jacksonville Jaguars free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Vikings taking on the Jaguars on Sunday, November 10th at the EverBank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Minnesota Jacksonville matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(6-2) Minnesota Vikings vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7)
Date: Sunday, November 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota -4.5 | Jacksonville +4.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Minnesota -219 | Jacksonville +181
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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We’re gearing up for an intriguing Week 10 clash as the Vikings travel south to face the Jaguars in Jacksonville! This isn’t a matchup we see often—Minnesota and Jacksonville have only squared off seven times in NFL history, with the Vikings dominating the series 6-1.
The last time they met, back in 2020, the Vikings eked out a 27-24 win, but there’s been plenty of change on both sides since then.
The betting lines are hot this week, with Minnesota favored by 4.5 points. Despite a recent slide, the Vikings remain a force, covering the spread in six of their last ten road games.
They bring a confident offensive edge, led by unstoppable playmaker Justin Jefferson, who could give the Jags secondary fits all day.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Vikings have a record of 3-0.
However, against the spread the Jaguars went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 2-0-1 on an average of 47 points per game.
Minnesota Vikings
After back-to-back losses, the Vikings got back on track in week 9 with a 21-13 win over the Colts, improving their record to 6-2. Minnesota was favored by 5.5 points and covered the spread with an 8-point victory. The combined scoring in the game was 34 points, which fell short of the 47-point O/U line.
Heading into week 10, the Vikings rank 8th in our NFL power rankings and have an 81.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 6-2 against the spread this season, with a +7.4 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 3-5, with their games averaging 44.9 points compared to an average line of 45.7.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Heading into week 10, the Vikings’ offense ranks 13th in our power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in scoring, putting up 26.1 points per game, and they lead the league in 1st-quarter scoring. Minnesota is 13th in passing yards per game (222.1) and 24th in pass attempts per game (28.1). On the ground, they rank 21st in rushing yards per game (114.1) and 17th in attempts.
Sam Darnold threw for 290 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 9, completing 28 of 34 passes, but he also had 2 interceptions and was sacked 4 times. Justin Jefferson had 7 catches for 137 yards, and Aaron Jones rushed for 64 yards on 21 carries. The Vikings scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter and 7 in the 4th, converting 6 of 12 3rd downs and 3 of 5 red zone opportunities.
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The Vikings’ defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as they allowed just 227 total yards to the Colts. They came away with three sacks and held the Colts to 68 rushing yards on 19 attempts. Minnesota gave up just 159 passing yards and didn’t allow a passing touchdown, while also coming up with one interception.
Opposing offenses struggled on third down against the Vikings in their latest game, as the Colts managed to convert on just 27.3% of their third down attempts. Despite this, the Vikings’ defense didn’t come out on top in every area, as they had four fewer tackles for loss than the Colts.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville heads into week 10 against the Vikings looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 28-23 road loss to the Eagles in week 9. The Jaguars were 7.5-point underdogs in that game, but they managed to cover the spread. This was their third straight ATS win, putting their record at 5-4 this season. As underdogs, they are 4-1 against the spread, but they are just 1-3 when favored.
At 2-7, Jacksonville has a 3.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.0% chance of winning the AFC South. They currently rank 26th in our NFL power rankings. The over has hit in five straight Jaguars games, including week 9, when they and the Eagles combined for 51 points, surpassing the 46-point line.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Heading into week 10, the Jaguars rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 17th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.7, and 21st in yards per game with 320.7. Jacksonville ranks 17th in passing attempts and passing yards per game (207.2). On the ground, they are 24th in rushing attempts and 22nd in rushing yards per game (113.4). The Jaguars have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 31.6% of their attempts, which ranks 27th in the league.
Trevor Lawrence had a rough outing in week 9, throwing for 169 yards with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. Evan Engram led the team with 5 catches for 45 yards. Jacksonville’s offense was shut out in the first half but scored 16 points in the 3rd quarter against the Eagles.
In their most recent game, the Jaguars allowed the Eagles to convert on 52.9% of their third down attempts. Despite this, Jacksonville’s defense managed to sack the quarterback three times. The Jaguars gave up 237 rushing yards on 46 attempts, and while they held the Eagles to 210 passing yards, Philadelphia still managed to score 28 points in their 28-23 win. The Jaguars allowed the Eagles to average 8.8 yards per pass attempt.
Jacksonville’s defense struggled to stop the run, as Philadelphia finished with 447 total yards. The Jaguars also allowed the Eagles to complete 75% of their passes. Although they gave up some big plays, the Jaguars did generate three sacks in the game.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Vikings are 6-2-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jaguars have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Vikings’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Jaguars’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Vikings vs. Jaguars Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | +105 | -219 | +2 | -4.5 |
| Jaguars | -125 | +181 | -2 | +4.5 |
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: Minnesota -4.5
The Jaguars have managed to cover in three straight games and are hungry to surprise at home. But history doesn’t favor them—the Jags are 0-8 in their last eight games as underdogs and haven’t fared well against NFC North opponents.
For this week 10 matchup between the Vikings and Jaguars, we have the Vikings coming out on top by a score of 30-20.
Even though the Jaguars are the home team, our point spread pick is to take the Vikings to cover as 4.5-point favorites on the road.
As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 45 points, we like the over, projecting these teams to finish with 50 combined points.
With Minnesota looking to get back in form and Jacksonville hoping to pull off an upset, this game promises drama. Whether you’re betting on the spread or the total, this matchup is one to watch, with excitement running high in Jacksonville this Sunday!
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Dudes will see this and be like, “Shell yeah”#MINvsJAX pic.twitter.com/8D8yNA6PYl
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) November 7, 2024
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