Free NFL Week 10 Pick: Dolphins vs. Rams Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Rams free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Rams on Monday, November 11th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Miami Los Angeles Monday night football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
Monday Night Football on ESPN
(2-6) Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Rams (4-4)
Date: Monday, November 11th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Miami +1 | Los Angeles -1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Miami -102 | Los Angeles -119
NFL Betting Total: O/U 50
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It’s Monday Night Football, and the stage is set for an electrifying clash between the Miami Dolphins and the Los Angeles Rams! Historically, the Dolphins have had the Rams’ number, leading the all-time series 12-2 and winning their last five matchups.
The Rams haven’t celebrated a win against Miami since way back in 2001, when they were still based in St. Louis—and they’ve never beaten Miami in Los Angeles.
But with the Dolphins struggling this season, and Miami covering just twice in their last 11 games, the Rams are poised to end that drought.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Dolphins have a record of 3-0.
The Dolphins also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 32 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
Miami Dolphins
Miami’s losing streak now stands at three games following a 30-27 road loss to the Bills in week 9. The Dolphins were 6-point underdogs in this matchup, but they managed to cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 2-6. So far, they have an average scoring margin of -7.9 points per game. Heading into week 10, Miami is 22nd in our power rankings and has a 6.6% chance of making the playoffs.
With a 2-6 record, the Dolphins sit 3rd in the AFC East. They are 1-3 at home and 1-3 on the road, including a 15-10 win over the Patriots in week 5. In week 8, they lost 28-27 to the Cardinals, and they have a 3-5 O/U record, with the over hitting in two straight games.
Miami Dolphins Stats
In our offensive power rankings, Miami sits 26th in the NFL, and they are 30th in points per game, averaging 15.5. They rank 20th in the league with 324.9 passing yards per game, and they are 24th in passing yards, with 191 per game on 31.6 attempts per contest. On the ground, the Dolphins are 8th in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards, with 133.9 per game.
Miami has been efficient on 3rd down, converting 39.4% of their attempts, which ranks 12th in the NFL. They are 4th in the league in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 54.5% of their trips. In week 9, they scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against the Bills, with Tua Tagovailoa completing 25 of 28 passes for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tyreek Hill led the team with 80 receiving yards, and De’Von Achane added 63 rushing yards on 12 carries.
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In their 30-27 loss to the Bills, the Dolphins’ defense gave up 231 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air. Buffalo found success on third down, converting 50% of their third down attempts, and the Dolphins managed just one sack in the game. Miami’s defense did come up with one interception and held the Bills to 94 rushing yards on 19 attempts.
The Dolphins allowed Buffalo to complete 64.1% of their passes and finish with 325 total yards in the game. Miami’s defense will be looking to improve in their next game after giving up three passing touchdowns to the Bills.
Los Angeles Rams
After a week 5 loss to the Packers, the Rams have bounced back with three straight wins, including a 26-20 road victory over the Seahawks in week 9. Los Angeles entered that game as 2-point favorites and covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 3-5. They are now 4-4 on the season, which puts them 2nd in the NFC West.
Heading into week 10, the Rams have a 23.8% chance of making the playoffs and an 18.8% chance of winning the division. In our power rankings, they sit 18th. Their O/U record is 4-4, with their games averaging 45.5 points (the line has averaged 46.8 points).
Los Angeles Rams Stats
Matthew Stafford has been putting up solid numbers, following his 298-yard performance in week 9, where he completed 25 of 44 passes and threw 2 touchdowns against the Seahawks. In week 8, he had a passer rating of 124, with 279 yards and 4 touchdowns, and in week 7, he threw for 154 yards. Stafford has thrown 1 interception in each of his last 3 games, but he wasn’t sacked in weeks 8 or 9.
Kyren Williams rushed for 69 yards on 22 carries in week 9, after putting up 97 yards on 23 carries in week 8 and scoring 2 touchdowns in week 7. Cooper Kupp led the Rams in receiving in week 9, with 11 catches for 104 yards, while Puka Nacua had 106 yards in week 8, and Tyler Johnson had 57 yards in week 7.
Despite giving up 317 passing yards to the Seahawks, the Rams’ defense came up with three interceptions in their 26-20 overtime win. They put a lot of pressure on the quarterback, recording seven sacks and hitting the quarterback four more times than the Seahawks. The Rams also limited Seattle to a 26.7% conversion rate on third down.
For the game, the Rams allowed 424 total yards, with 107 coming on the ground. Even though they gave up a high number of passing yards, the Rams limited the Seahawks to just 21 completions on 33 attempts.
Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Dolphins are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Rams are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Dolphins are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Rams have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Dolphins’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Rams’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Dolphins vs. Rams Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | -110 | -102 | -0.5 | +1 |
| Rams | -110 | -118 | +0.5 | -1 |
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles -1
The Rams have been a fortress at home, winning seven of their last eight at SoFi, and they’ll look to keep that streak alive against a Miami team that has had a tough go on the road, losing five of their last six away games.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Rams to cover as home favorites in this week 10 matchup between the Dolphins and Rams. Our projected score is 24-21 in favor of the Rams.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 50 points, we have a projection of 45 combined points, making the under a good play compared to the current line.
With a narrow spread and high stakes, this game could go down to the wire. Expect a passionate crowd, intense action, and plenty of live betting opportunities as these teams face off under the bright lights of Monday night!
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Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
All eyes on Monday Night Football. 🔜 pic.twitter.com/Tl4HcMPEO8
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) November 9, 2024
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