Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Jaguars vs. Raiders Odds
Looking for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jaguars taking on the Raiders on Sunday, December 22nd at the Allegiant Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Jacksonville Las Vegas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(3-11) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders (2-12)
Date: Sunday, December 22nd
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas NV
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Jacksonville -1 | Las Vegas +1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Jacksonville -115 | Las Vegas -107
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39.5
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Get ready for a Week 16 AFC clash between two struggling teams looking to salvage some pride as the Jaguars (3-11) take on the Raiders (2-12) in Las Vegas. Despite their rough records, there’s plenty to analyze here from a betting perspective.
Jacksonville holds the edge historically, leading the series 6-4 and boasting a strong 7-2 ATS record in their last nine meetings with Vegas.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Jaguars have a record of 2-1. The Jaguars also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 44 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
The Jags have also won six of their last nine straight up against the Raiders, making them the narrow road favorite this week.
Jacksonville Jaguars
With a 3-11 record, the Jaguars currently sit 3rd in the AFC South and 27th in our power rankings. Jacksonville has a -8.1 scoring margin this season, but they are 7-6-1 against the spread. As underdogs, they are 6-3-1 ATS, but they are just 1-3 as favorites. Their O/U record stands at 8-6, with their games averaging 45.7 points compared to an average line of 44.7.
After beating the Titans in week 14, the Jaguars couldn’t carry that momentum into week 15, losing 32-25 to the Jets. They were 3.5-point underdogs in that game and couldn’t cover the spread. The O/U line was 41.5, and the teams combined for 57 points.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Mac Jones threw for 294 yards in week 15, completing 31 of 46 passes with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He found Brian Thomas Jr. 10 times for 105 yards and two scores. On the ground, Travis Etienne Jr. had 65 yards on 14 carries. Jacksonville scored in every quarter, totaling 25 points, and converted 8 of 15 third downs and 2 of 4 red zone chances.
Jacksonville ranks 22nd in passing yards per game, averaging 204.4, and they are 23rd in rushing with 101.6 yards per game. They sit 25th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage at 35.2%.
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In their 32-25 loss to the Jets, the Jaguars’ defense allowed 275 passing yards on just 16 completions. The Jaguars gave up three passing touchdowns and allowed the Jets to average 9.2 yards per passing attempt. Although the Jaguars’ defense did force the Jets to convert on just 40% of their third down attempts, they struggled to defend the run, giving up 125 rushing yards on only 23 attempts.
Jacksonville’s defense managed just one sack in the game and allowed the Jets to connect on several big plays in the passing game. Despite their struggles against the run, the Jaguars’ defense did well to get off the field on third downs, but ultimately couldn’t do enough to slow down the Jets’ passing attack.
Las Vegas Raiders
Heading into week 16, the Raiders are on a 10-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-12. This includes a 15-9 loss to the Falcons in week 15, where they pushed against the spread as 6-point underdogs. The O/U line was set at 44.5 points, and the teams combined for 24, marking the third straight game the under has hit in Raiders games.
Las Vegas is currently 24th in our NFL power rankings and has a -9.4 scoring margin this season. Against the spread, they are 5-8-1, with all five of their wins coming as underdogs. The Raiders’ O/U record is 8-6, with their games averaging 44.4 points compared to an average line of 41.6.
Las Vegas Raiders Stats
Heading into week 16, the Raiders rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings, sitting 26th in the NFL with 17.5 points per game. They are 27th in yards per game (299.1) and 28th in 3rd down conversions, with a 33.9% success rate. Despite ranking 18th in red zone attempts, they have been efficient when they get there, converting 47.2% of their trips, which ranks 3rd in the league.
In week 15, Las Vegas scored just 9 points in their loss to the Falcons, with 6 of those coming in the 4th quarter. Desmond Ridder threw for 208 yards, completing 23 of 39 passes, with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Jakobi Meyers led the team with 59 receiving yards on 5 catches.
In their 15-9 loss to the Falcons, the Raiders’ defense held Atlanta to just 93 passing yards on 11 completions. However, they struggled to stop the run, allowing 168 yards on 37 attempts (4.5 per attempt). The Raiders’ defense forced one interception and recorded three sacks, but the Falcons were able to convert 69.2% of their red zone trips into touchdowns.
The Raiders’ defense also limited the Falcons to a 30.8% third-down conversion rate. Despite their struggles against the run, they kept the Falcons out of the endzone for the most part, with Atlanta’s only touchdown coming on a passing play.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jaguars are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Jaguars are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Raiders have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jaguars’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Raiders’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Jaguars vs. Raiders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | -115 | -117 | -1 | -1 |
| Raiders | -105 | -105 | +1 | +1 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Jacksonville -1
The Raiders are in freefall, dropping 10 straight games and going winless in their last seven matchups against AFC opponents.
With a razor-thin spread of just one point and a low total of 39.5, this game could be a gritty, low-scoring affair, but I think we’ll get more offense than the books think.
The Jaguars’ recent form against the spread makes them the more reliable choice for bettors, while the Raiders’ home struggles (1-5 SU in their last six at Allegiant Stadium) only add to the narrative.
Our pick against the spread is to take the Jaguars to cover as road favorites in this week 16 matchup between the Jaguars and Raiders. The Jaguars are currently sitting at -1, and we have them winning by a score of 26-23.
For the over/under, we like this game to go over, with a projected combined score of 49 points. The current line is 39.5 points, making the over a good value pick for this matchup.
Both teams are desperate to end the season on a positive note, but Jacksonville’s slight statistical edge and Vegas’ dismal recent trends make this matchup intriguing for bettors looking to cash in on a tight contest.
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
12 ➡️ 11#JAXvsLV pic.twitter.com/VWhsiHc4u9
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) December 20, 2024
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