
Free NFL Week 6 Pick: Colts vs. Titans Odds
Looking for Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Colts taking on the Titans on Sunday, October 13th at the Nissan Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Indianapolis Tennessee matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(2-3) Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans (1-3)
Date: Sunday, October 13th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville TN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Indianapolis -1 | Tennessee +1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Indianapolis -115 | Tennessee -106
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.5
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The Colts won both of their matchups against the Titans last season, with each team winning on the road. The Colts took the first game 23-16, despite the Titans being favored by -2.5. In the second game, the Colts won 31-28, and they were favored by -1. The over/under line for game two was 42 points, and the teams combined for 59 points. The first game’s over/under line was 43.5 points.
Indianapolis Colts
Heading into week 6, the Colts are 2-3, placing them 2nd in the AFC South despite an 0-2 division record. Our projections give them a 41.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 12.9% chance of winning the division. They rank 22nd in our NFL power rankings. Indianapolis is 2-1 at home but 0-2 on the road, including a 37-34 loss to the Jaguars in week 5. However, they covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. The O/U line was 44.5 points, and the teams combined for 71.
The Colts are 4-1 against the spread, with three straight ATS wins. They are 3-0 as underdogs and 1-1 as favorites. Their average scoring margin is -0.6 points per game. Their O/U record is 3-2, with the over hitting in two consecutive games. Their games have averaged 48.2 points, compared to an average line of 43.8.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Heading into week 6, the Colts are 16th in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in points per game (23.8) and yards per game (350.4). They also rank 12th in passing yards per game (225.2) and rushing yards per game (125.2). Indianapolis is 11th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 41.7% success rate, and they are 24th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts.
Joe Flacco has been playing well, throwing for 359 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 5, following a 168-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 4. Before that, Anthony Richardson struggled in week 3, with 167 passing yards and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor had 88 rushing yards on 21 carries in week 4, and Alec Pierce led the team with 134 receiving yards in week 5.
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In their 37-34 loss to the Jaguars, the Colts allowed 82.4% of Jacksonville’s passes to be completed. The Jaguars took advantage of big plays in the passing game, finishing with 371 yards through the air, averaging 10.9 yards per attempt, and coming away with two passing touchdowns. Indianapolis struggled to generate pressure, as they failed to record any sacks and allowed the Jaguars to convert on 50% of their third downs.
On the ground, the Jaguars rushed for 126 yards on just 23 attempts, averaging 5.5 yards per attempt. The Colts’ defense also struggled to defend the run, which contributed to their overall defensive struggles in this game.
Tennessee Titans
After three straight losses to start the season, the Titans finally got in the win column with a 31-12 victory over the Dolphins in week 4. Tennessee was a 2.5-point underdog in this game, but they had no trouble covering the spread, improving their ATS record to 1-3. They were unable to cover in week 3, losing 30-14 to the Packers as 3-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 37 points, and the teams combined for 44. The over also hit in the Titans’ week 4 matchup with Miami, with the teams combining for 43 points on a 37.5-point line.
Heading into week 6, our power rankings have the Titans 25th in the NFL, and they have a 14.1% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3rd in the AFC South with a 1-3 record, including 1-1 in conference games. Tennessee is 0-2 at home this season but 1-1 on the road. They’ll be at home in week 6, taking on the Colts.
Tennessee Titans Stats
Heading into week 6, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 19.8 points per game (19th in the NFL). They are 28th in passing yards per game (145) and 27th in passing attempts. On the ground, Tennessee ranks 18th in rushing yards per game (111.2) on 26.2 attempts per contest. They have struggled on third down, converting just 27.7% of their opportunities, but they are 4th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 4, Mason Rudolph started at QB, throwing for 85 yards on 9/17 passing. Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 88 yards on 22 carries, while DeAndre Hopkins had 2 catches for 31 yards. Tennessee scored 12 points in the 4th quarter against Miami, after being held scoreless in the 1st quarter.
In their most recent game, the Titans’ defense was dominant, allowing just 78 passing yards in their 31-12 win over the Dolphins. Miami managed just 14 completions and 106 rushing yards, with Tennessee holding them to a 16.7% third-down conversion rate. The Titans’ defense also came away with two sacks and limited the Dolphins to 12 points.
Despite giving up 184 total yards, the Titans didn’t allow a single touchdown and matched Miami with two quarterback hits. The Titans’ defense was tough to move the ball against, giving up only 3.5 yards per attempt in both the passing and rushing games.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Colts are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Titans are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Colts are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Titans have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Colts’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Titans’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Colts vs. Titans Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -125 | -114 | -1.5 | -1 |
| Titans | +105 | -106 | +1.5 | +1 |
4* Free Week 6 NFL Betting Prediction: Indianapolis -1
For this week six matchup between the Colts and Titans, we have the Colts coming out on top by a score of 20-16. Even though the Titans are the slight favorites at +1, we actually have the Colts as the better bet to cover the spread, as they are our pick to win this game.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 42.5 points, we like the under, projecting a combined score of 36 points.
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