Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Colts vs. Jets Odds
Looking for Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Colts taking on the Jets on Sunday, November 17th at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Indianapolis New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(4-6) Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets (3-7)
Date: Sunday, November 17th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Indianapolis +3.5 | New York -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Indianapolis +152 | New York -182
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44
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The last matchup was on 11/4/2021. A 45-30 Colts win.
The Colts and Jets did not have any head-to-head matchups last season.
The rivalry has been played 76 times (including 4 postseason games), the Jets have won 32 games and the Colts 44.
But over the last three times playing each other, the Colts have a record of 2-1. The Colts also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 64 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Indianapolis Colts
Heading into week 11, the Colts are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 30-20 home loss to the Bills in week 10. This dropped their record to 4-6, putting them 2nd in the AFC South. They have a 27.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.7% chance of winning the division. In our power rankings, the Colts sit 24th.
Despite their losing streak, the Colts are 7-3 against the spread this season. They are 5-2 as underdogs and 2-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 4-6, with their games averaging 43.1 points compared to an average line of 44.4.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Heading into week 11, the Colts’ offense ranks 23rd in our power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 20.8 points per game, and 19th in total yards per game with 319.6. Indianapolis ranks 19th in passing yards per game (198.3) and 14th in rushing, with 121.3 yards per game. They are 20th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate, converting 36.6% of their attempts, and 13th in red zone conversion percentage.
Joe Flacco threw for 272 yards in week 10, going 26/35 with 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 114 yards on 21 carries, while Alec Pierce led the team with 4 catches for 81 yards and a touchdown. The Colts scored 20 points against the Bills, with 7 coming in the 4th quarter.
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In their 30-20 loss to the Bills, the Colts’ defense gave up 280 passing yards on 22 completions. Buffalo had some success on the ground, rushing for 135 yards on 31 attempts (4.4 yards per attempt). Despite allowing 415 total yards, the Colts’ defense did not give up any passing touchdowns, and they managed to come up with two interceptions.
On third downs, the Colts allowed the Bills to convert 50% of their chances. Indianapolis also recorded two sacks in the game, but they did lose the tackles for loss and QB hit differentials.
New York Jets
After snapping a five-game losing streak with a week 9 win over the Texans, the Jets couldn’t keep the momentum going, falling 31-6 to the Cardinals in week 10. New York was a 2-point favorite in that game but couldn’t get the job done, dropping their record to 3-7 this season. The Jets rank 17th in our power rankings and have an 8.6% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3rd in the AFC East with a 1-2 division record.
New York is 3-7 against the spread this season, with all three of their ATS wins coming as the favorite. Their O/U record is 4-5-1, and the under has hit in two straight games. The Jets’ games have averaged 39.1 points this season, while the average O/U line has been 41.6.
New York Jets Stats
Heading into week 11, the Jets rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.7, and 26th in yards per game with 298.5. Despite being 4th in passing attempts, they are 17th in passing yards per game (211.7). On the ground, they rank 28th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards per game, averaging 86.8. The Jets are converting 40.6% of their third-down attempts, which ranks 9th in the league, and they are also 9th in red zone attempts, converting 32.3% of them.
Aaron Rodgers struggled in week 10, posting a passer rating of 72 after throwing for 151 yards on 22/35 passing without a touchdown. Breece Hall led the team with 52 rushing yards on 10 carries, while Garrett Wilson had 5 receptions for 41 yards. The Jets scored just 6 points in their week 10 loss to the Cardinals, all coming in the first half.
In their 31-6 loss to the Cardinals, the Jets’ defense struggled to get off the field, as Arizona converted 71.4% of their third down attempts. The Jets allowed the Cardinals to gain 147 yards on the ground, with a per attempt average of 4.6 yards. Overall, the Jets gave up 406 total yards and allowed Arizona to average 10.8 yards per pass attempt.
The Jets’ defense only managed one sack in the game and allowed the Cardinals to complete 91.7% of their passes. Additionally, the Jets’ offense struggled, managing only six points in the game.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Colts are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Colts are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jets have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Colts’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Jets’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Colts vs. Jets Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | +160 | +152 | +4 | +3.5 |
| Jets | -192 | -182 | -4 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Indianapolis +3.5
For this week 11 matchup between the Colts and Jets, we have the Colts coming out on top by a score of 23-20. With the Colts being 3.5-point dogs, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Colts to cover.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 44 points, our best bet is to take the under, with a projected combined score of 43.
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Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Weekly uni combo. pic.twitter.com/gv63l9Jekq
— New York Jets (@nyjets) November 14, 2024
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