Free NFL Divisional Round Pick: Texans vs. Ravens Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens free Divisional round picks & NFL odds? NFL playoff betting sees the Texans taking on the Ravens on Saturday, January 20th at the M&T Bank Stadium, in Baltimore, MD. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE Divisional NFL predictions like this Houston Baltimore matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Divisional Round
(10-7) Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens (13-4)
Date: Saturday, January 20th
2024 NFL Playoffs – Divisional Round
Time: 4:30 ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD
NFL Divisional Round ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Houston +8 | Baltimore -8
Divisional Moneyline Odds: Houston +319 | Baltimore -411
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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In the first meeting between the Ravens and Texans, the Ravens came away with a 25-9 win. On the point-spread, the Ravens went in as the favorite (-9.5) and they secured a 16 point win, picking up an ATS win.
The Ravens defense sacked Stroud five times in his debut and held Houston out of the end zone in that win. Stroud was 28-of-44 passing for 242 yards. The Ravens will see a much different QB than the one they saw in Week 1.
When the game started, the over/under line was 43.5 points, and the team’s fell short of it.
Baltimore won the only prior AFC playoff meeting, 20-13 in the 2011 divisional matchup.
Head-to-head, the Ravens lead 11-2. Last week, the Texans triumphed over the Browns 45-14, while the Ravens had a bye week and previously lost to the Steelers 17-10 on January 6.
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Houston Texans
Coming into their game against Ravens, the Texans are trying to improve on a 10-7 record. This mark has them at 1st in the AFC-South and 4th in the AFC.
The current scoring margin for the Texans’ is +3.1, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 10-8.
Even though, the Texans’ offense picked up a below-average number of first-downs, they stil went on to beat the Browns. The Texans finished with 356 yards of total offense compared to 324 for the Browns.
The Browns averaged 5.8 yards per passing attempt and 2.8 yards per rush. Houston went into the game as the underdog (+2.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
C.J. Stroud threw for 274 yards while completing 76% of his passes and throwing for 274. Stroud threw for three touchdowns.
Houston Texans Stats
Houston’s offense generated 356 total yards against the Browns. On third downs, the Texans managed a conversion rate of 25%.
Devin Singletary led the team in rushing with 66 yards, while Stroud passed for 274 yards.
In terms of offense, the Texans are at 23.4 points per game, ranking them 11th in the NFL.
Heading into this week’s matchup with the Ravens, the Texans defense has given up an average of 20.4 points per game. They are currently 7th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 330.3 yards per contest.
Baltimore Ravens
So far this season, the Ravens are an above .500 team at home at 6-3. Heading into Divisional round, they are 1st in the AFC-North on an overall record of 13-4.
On the road, Baltimore has gone 7-1 thus far.
When it comes to the spread, the Ravens come in at 11-6. Going into the Divisional round, their scoring margin per game is +11.9.
In their defeat against the Steelers, Baltimore had a slow start and failed to score in the first quarter. The Ravens concluded the game with 224 yards on offense, while allowing 289 on defense.
Baltimore’s 7 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 2.5 point underdogs. Tyler Huntley threw for 146 yards while completing 53% of his passes and throwing for 146. Huntley threw for one touchdown.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Against the Steelers’ defense, Huntley led the way with 146 passing yards and a completion rate of 53%. On the ground, the Ravens ran the ball 25 times for 106 yards.
The team had 4 third-down conversions (30.8%).
Regarding their offense, the Ravens have an average 28.4 points per game, which places them 3rd in the NFL.
On defense, the Ravens are currently positioned 7th in tackles for loss and 1st in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 16.5 points per game and gaining 301.4 yards per contest.
Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Texans are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Texans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Ravens have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Ravens’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Texans vs. Ravens Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Texans | +320 | +318 | +9.5 | +8 |
Ravens | -420 | -410 | -9.5 | -8 |
4* Free NFL Playoff Betting Prediction: Houston +8
Stroud aims for his second playoff win, just like Ravens QB Jackson. Both rookie and veteran quarterbacks have one postseason victory to their name.
C.J. is the main reason Houston is here. Stroud threw only five interceptions all season, securing victories by protecting the ball.
After a good defensive display against Cleveland, Houston is my top choice to cover the spread this week, especially with the line currently set at +8.
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Houston and Baltimore combining for 45 points.
Right now the over/under line is sitting at 45, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
Texans Ravens NFL Handicapping
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Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
"Just to be around Harbaugh, when you've got a head coach like that, it's easy to go out and give 100% effort." @dalvincook pic.twitter.com/kRMytP5nKL
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) January 18, 2024
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