Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Packers vs. Eagles Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Eagles on Friday, September 6th at the Arena Corinthians. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Philadelphia matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Date: Friday, September 6th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Arena Corinthians, Sao Paulo None
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay +3 | Philadelphia -3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Green Bay +125 | Philadelphia -149
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49
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Packers vs. Eagles Gameday
Get ready for NFL Week 1 action! The Packers and Eagles kick off the season in what promises to be an electric matchup. As a savvy bettor, you’ll want to keep an eye on Green Bay’s +3 spread—there’s real value in backing a hungry Packers squad looking to make a statement.
Last season, the Packers and Eagles did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Eagles have the leg up at 2-1. The Eagles also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 60 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Green Bay Packers
The Packers ended the 2023 regular season with a 9-8 record, placing 2nd in the NFC North with a 4-2 record against division rivals. They made a strong playoff run, reaching the NFC divisional round before falling 24-21 to the 49ers. Green Bay’s playoff run came after finishing 7th in the NFC and 2nd in the NFC North. They were 5-4 against teams with winning records and 5-5 against teams with losing records.
Against the spread, the Packers were 11-8, including an 9-5 record as underdogs and 2-3 as favorites. The over/under record in Green Bay’s games was 11-8, with an average of 45.2 points per game. Their games had the 13th highest average combined scoring in the league.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Green Bay’s offense was the 2nd best in the league on the road last season, averaging 27 points per game. However, at home, they dropped to 24th, scoring only 19.4 points per game. Overall, they were 8th in the league in scoring, averaging 23.8 points per game. The Packers were 7th in offensive power rankings.
They were 6th in yards per play, averaging 5.7 yards, and 8th in passing yards per attempt. The Packers were also 8th in the league in passing yards, despite finishing 20th in passing attempts. Green Bay was 5th in third down conversion percentage.
Looking at the Packers’ wide receiver room, Jayden Reed, who is entering his 2nd season, had a good rookie year with 793 receiving yards and eight touchdowns. Romeo Doubs also had eight receiving touchdowns and 674 yards. Christian Watson, despite playing in only nine games, added 422 yards on 28 catches. He had five receiving touchdowns and averaged 8.1 fantasy points per game.
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Green Bay’s defense was 16th in terms of yards allowed, giving up 345.4 yards per game. They were better in terms of points allowed, giving up 21.4 points per game, which was 13th in the NFL. The Packers were tough in the red zone, allowing a red zone scoring percentage of 50.9%, ranking 9th in the league. However, on the road, they gave up 22.4 points per game, which was the 10th best figure in the NFL.
The Packers’ defense forced 18 takeaways last season and had the 8th best turnover differential in the league. They also ranked 10th in sacks and 9th in quarterback hits. Opposing offenses had success on third downs against Green Bay, converting at a rate of 41.1%.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles had a strong 2023 regular season, going 11-6 and finishing 2nd in the NFC East. They were tough as home favorites, going 6-1 straight-up. Philadelphia’s playoff run ended in the NFC Wild Card round with a 32-9 loss to the Buccaneers. Within the division, the Eagles went 4-2, and they were good in non-conference games, going 4-1. They also excelled against above .500 teams, going 6-4 straight-up.
Philadelphia’s games had an average combined scoring of 50.1 points, ranking 4th in the league. Their over/under record for the season was 9-9. Against the spread, the Eagles were 7-9-2, with a 3-3-1 record as road favorites and a 3-3-1 record as home favorites. However, they struggled against below .500 teams, going only 1-5-2 ATS.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
The Eagles’ offense was one of the better units in the league last season, averaging 28.1 points per game, which was 5th in the NFL. They were also 4th in average combined points per game, at 50.1. Philadelphia finished the season with an 11-6 record and made it to the NFC Wild Card round, where they lost to the Buccaneers, 32-9. The Eagles were 10-5 when favored and 1-2 as the underdog.
Philadelphia’s rushing attack was a big part of their success, averaging 141.3 yards per game, the 4th best in the league. Against the spread, the Eagles were 7-9-2, and they were 3-3-1 as home favorites and 3-3-1 vs. the spread against above .500 teams.
Looking at the Eagles’ receiving group heading into the season, A.J. Brown is coming off a season in which he put up 1,456 receiving yards and seven touchdowns over 17 games. DeVonta Smith also had seven receiving touchdowns and finished just over 1,000 yards with 1,066 on 81 catches. Jahan Dotson, who is coming over from the Commanders, had 518 yards and four touchdowns last year.
The Eagles’ defense struggled last season, giving up 25.6 points per game, which ranked 30th in the NFL. They allowed 29.4 points per game at home, one of the worst figures in the league. Philadelphia’s defense also allowed opponents to convert on 46.4% of their third down attempts, placing them 26th in the league.
Opposing quarterbacks had success against the Eagles, posting a collective passer rating of 96, which ranked Philadelphia 30th. The Eagles also struggled to defend the pass, giving up 255.7 passing yards per game (30th) and allowing a 66.1% red zone scoring percentage, which was 28th in the league.
Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Packers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Eagles have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Eagles’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Eagles Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | +101 | +125 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Eagles | -122 | -149 | -1.5 | -3 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Green Bay +3
Philly might be the slight favorite at -3, but don’t sleep on the Packers’ ability to cover, especially with that +125 moneyline sitting out there. The total is set at 49, and both offenses are primed to light up the scoreboard, making the over an enticing play. Week 1 is all about setting the tone, and this game has all the ingredients to be a high-scoring thriller. Betting on football is back, and this matchup is one you won’t want to miss!
For this week one matchup between the Packers and Eagles, we have the Packers coming out on top by a score of 26-20. With the point spread sitting at -3 in favor of the Packers, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Packers to cover as road underdogs.
As for an over/under pick, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 46 points and the O/U line currently at 49 points.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
YO! Eagles football is back. 🇧🇷 pic.twitter.com/Z1r15gDiHz
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) September 5, 2024
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