Free NFL Week 8 Pick: Packers vs. Jaguars Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Jaguars on Sunday, October 27th at the EverBank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Jacksonville matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(5-2) Green Bay Packers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5)
Date: Sunday, October 27th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay -4.5 | Jacksonville +4.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Green Bay -221 | Jacksonville +184
NFL Betting Total: O/U 50
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Get ready for an electric Week 8 showdown between the Packers and Jaguars! This matchup brings all the sizzle for NFL bettors, with Green Bay coming in hot at 5-2 and Jacksonville struggling at 2-5. But don’t sleep on this one—the Jaguars have a knack for keeping things closer than expected.
Historically, Green Bay has dominated this series, winning 5 of the 7 meetings, but the Jags are in their home stadium and itching to make a statement.
The Packers and Jaguars did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Packers have a record of 3-0.
However, against the spread the Jaguars went 3-0.
The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 44 points per game.
Green Bay Packers
Heading into week 8, the Packers are riding a three-game win streak, putting their record at 5-2. After a week 4 loss to the Vikings, Green Bay bounced back with wins over the Rams (28-19), Cardinals (34-13), and Texans (24-22). In week 7, they couldn’t cover the 3-point spread, but they held on for the win, bringing their O/U record to 3-3-1 this season.
Our power rankings have the Packers 5th going into week 8, and we give them a 76.7% chance of making the playoffs. Despite their win streak, they are 3rd in the NFC North, as they are 0-1 in division games. Against the spread, Green Bay is 4-3, with a +6.1 scoring margin.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Heading into week 8, the Packers are 8th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 6th in the NFL in both points per game (26.6) and yards per game (382.4). Green Bay is 10th in passing yards per game (227.4) despite being 17th in pass attempts, and they are 5th in rushing yards per game (155) on 31.1 attempts per game. The Packers rank 13th in 3rd-down conversions and 17th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 6th in red zone attempts.
Jordan Love threw for 220 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 7, with 2 interceptions and a passer rating of 95. Romeo Doubs led the team with 8 catches for 94 yards, while Josh Jacobs had 76 rushing yards on 12 carries. Green Bay scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 3rd against the Texans.
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In their 24-22 win over the Texans, the Packers’ defense allowed just 55 passing yards on 10 completions. Although they gave up 142 rushing yards on 33 attempts, the passing game was largely ineffective, averaging only 2.6 yards per attempt. Green Bay also limited Houston to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.
The Packers’ defense recorded four sacks and held the Texans to 47.6% completions. Despite struggling to stop the run, their ability to pressure the quarterback and limit big plays helped secure the win.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville snapped a four-game losing streak in week 7, defeating the Patriots 32-16 to improve to 2-5. The Jaguars were 7-point favorites and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 3-4. They are 1-3 as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record stands at 4-3, with the over hitting in three straight games.
Heading into week 8, Jacksonville ranks 25th in our power rankings and has a 7.4% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3rd in the AFC South with a 1-1 division record and are 2-4 in conference play. The Jaguars are 2-1 at home but 0-4 on the road.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Heading into week 8, the Jaguars sit 16th in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in points per game (20.7) and passing yards per game (201.6), while ranking 17th in total yards per game (325.9). Jacksonville is 13th in passing attempts per game (31.4) and 25th in rushing attempts, but they are 12th in rushing yards per game (124.3). On 3rd down, they rank 24th with a conversion rate of 34.2% and are 18th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 5th in red zone attempts.
Trevor Lawrence posted a passer rating of 121 in week 7, completing 15 of 20 passes for 193 yards and a touchdown. Tank Bigsby rushed for 118 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 carries, while Brian Thomas Jr. had 5 catches for 89 yards and a touchdown. Jacksonville scored 22 points in the 2nd quarter against the Patriots and converted 60% of their 3rd downs (6/10) and 3 of 5 red zone attempts.
The Jaguars’ defense came away with two sacks and held the Patriots to a 50% conversion rate on third down in their 32-16 win over the Patriots. Jacksonville gave up 257 passing yards on 26 completions, allowing two passing touchdowns. The Jaguars also limited the Patriots to just 38 rushing yards on 15 attempts.
Despite giving up 70.3% completions, the Jaguars managed to keep the Patriots to just 295 total yards. They also won the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in this game.
Green Bay Packers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Jaguars are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Packers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jaguars have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Jaguars’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Jaguars Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | -110 | -219 | -0.5 | -4.5 |
| Jaguars | -110 | +183 | +0.5 | +4.5 |
4* Free Week 8 NFL Betting Prediction: Jacksonville +4.5
Our pick vs. the spread is to take Jacksonville to cover as home underdogs in their week eight matchup against the Packers. With the Packers laying 4.5 points, there’s plenty of value to be found on Jacksonville to cover.
Right now, the Jaguars are sitting at +4.5 point underdogs at home, and although we have them losing 33-30, they are our pick to cover.
I love the OVER this week. Green Bay’s offense is firing on all cylinders, but Jacksonville has been no slouch at hitting the over themselves.
The Packers’ road games have seen the over cash in 8 of their last 10, and Jacksonville has gone over the total in 4 of their last 5. Add in the fact that October has been a goldmine for points in Jags games, hitting the over in 5 of the last 6 during the month, and you’ve got a recipe for fireworks.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 50 points, we have a prediction of 63 combined points, making the OVER a good play in this one.
So buckle up, because this one’s set to be a high-scoring affair. While the Packers may win straight up, keep an eye on the Jags to cover and the over to hit once again.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
BTJ x Vivaldi#GBvsJAX: Sunday at 1 PM on FOX
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) October 22, 2024
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