Free NFL Pick: Lions vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the Bears on 1/4 at Soldier Field, in Chicago. This free NFL football pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Lions Bears matchup.
2025 NFL Handicapping – Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears
(8-8) Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears (11-5)
Date: Jan 04, 2026
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL
NFL Moneyline Odds: Lions +131 | Bears -156 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Lions +3.0 | Bears -3.0
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 50.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Lions Bears free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Lions vs. Bears Gameday
As Week 18 rolls around, the Detroit Lions will meet the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. The game is scheduled for Sunday, January 4, 2026, at 4:25 PM. With clear skies and a light breeze, the very cold weather could play a role in this NFC North contest.
The Detroit Lions, led by head coach Dan Campbell, are looking to improve on their 8-8 record. They have struggled on the road this season, posting a 3-5 record away from Ford Field. In their last meeting with the Bears, the Lions dominated with a 52-21 victory in Week 2 of the current season.
On the other side, the Chicago Bears, under head coach Ben Johnson, have secured an 11-5 record. They have been strong at home with a 6-1 record at Soldier Field. The Bears aim to bounce back from a recent loss to the San Francisco 49ers and solidify their standing in the division.
Week 18, Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears, we’re all hoping a great game is in store.
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Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Odds & Last 5
First, the odds for this game show the Bears as favorites with a moneyline of -157, while the Lions sit at +132. The spread slightly leans towards Chicago at -3.0 (-104). The total points are set at 50.5, indicating a high-scoring expectation for this contest.
In recent games, the Lions have encountered a challenging stretch, losing three straight. Their recent defeat came against the Vikings, where they were held to just 10 points. Meanwhile, the Bears have faced some ups and downs, losing their last game in a close one against the 49ers.
Lastly, looking at their head-to-head history, the Lions have had the upper hand. Their last meeting was a high-scoring game where Detroit put up 52 points. This game will test if the Lions can replicate that performance against a strong home team in the Bears.
Bears Stats
Starting with the Chicago Bears’ offensive performance this season, they have struggled to make a significant impact. They rank near the bottom in passing yards with 3,086, placing them 31st. Their rushing yards, at 1,734, also leave them at 24th, indicating a need for improvement in both areas.
On the defensive side, the Bears have shown some strengths. Their ability to recover fumbles is noteworthy, as they rank 3rd with 13 recoveries. Additionally, they have managed to secure 40 sacks, placing them 9th in the league.
As for recent games, the Bears have experienced mixed results. They suffered a narrow defeat against the 49ers, losing 42-38, but previously secured a dominant win over the Browns with a 31-3 score. These performances highlight their potential when both offensive and defensive units click.
Looking at individual players, Caleb Williams has been a standout at quarterback with 3,730 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. Meanwhile, D’Andre Swift leads the rushing attack with 1,047 yards and 9 touchdowns. These key players will be crucial for the Bears as they aim to end the season on a high note against the Lions.
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Lions Stats
First, let’s delve into the Detroit Lions’ offensive performance this season. They have been leading the league with a total score of 564 points, ranking them first overall. With 4,474 passing yards, they hold the second spot, while their rushing game is also strong, ranking sixth with 2,488 yards.
On defense, the Lions have allowed 342 points, positioning them seventh in the league. They have recorded 37 sacks, placing them 12th, and have been effective at intercepting passes with 16 interceptions, ranking fourth. However, their defense has allowed 5,820 opponent yards, which is 20th in the league.
Recently, the Lions have struggled, losing their last three games against the Vikings, Steelers, and Rams. In these games, they have faced difficulties in both rushing and passing, as seen in their loss to the Vikings where they only managed 68 rushing yards. Despite Jared Goff’s 364-yard performance against the Steelers, the Lions fell short in a close game.
Injury concerns are a significant factor for the Lions, with key players like Taylor Decker, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Penei Sewell listed as questionable. Additionally, several players are on the injured reserve list, including Sam LaPorta and Brock Wright. This extensive injury list could impact their performance against the Bears at Soldier Field.
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Lions vs. Bears QB Matchup
Jared Goff leads the Detroit Lions with consistent performance this season. He has accumulated 4,233 passing yards, ranking third in the league, and 33 passing touchdowns, placing him second. Furthermore, Goff has maintained a low interception count with only seven, contributing to his team’s offensive success.
In the upcoming game, Goff is projected to add 270.1 passing yards and 1.9 touchdowns to his impressive season stats. With his ability to manage the game effectively, Goff remains a key player for the Lions as they face the Chicago Bears.
Caleb Williams, on the other hand, has been a standout for the Chicago Bears. He has thrown for 3,730 yards, placing him eighth in the league, along with 25 touchdowns. Williams has also managed to keep interceptions to a minimum with only six, showcasing his precision.
Looking ahead, Williams is expected to contribute 224.4 passing yards and 1.6 touchdowns in the upcoming game. His dual-threat capability, with an additional 23.9 rushing yards per game, makes him a dynamic asset for the Bears as they prepare to host the Lions at Soldier Field.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Football Betting Trends
- The Lions have gone 4-0 in their last four regular season games with totals set at 50 or higher.
- Additionally, Detroit is 4-3 against the spread in their last seven away games.
- As underdogs, the Lions have split their last four games with a 2-2 record against the spread.
- Also, the Bears are 6-0 straight up in their last six home games.
- Chicago has covered the spread in their last three home games.
- The Bears are undefeated in their last six games as favorites, with a perfect 6-0 record straight up.
Lions Bears Free Pick: Over 50.5
The Lions have shown a knack for high-scoring games, especially when the total is set at 50 or higher. Their offensive stats from last season, where they ranked first in scoring and second in passing yards, suggest they can put up points. Despite the cold weather, their offensive firepower should not be underestimated.
On the other hand, the Bears have been solid at home, going 6-0 straight up in their last six games. Their defense, though ranked 12th in opponent scoring, has struggled with allowing yards, ranking 27th in opponent offensive yards. This could open the door for the Lions’ potent offense to exploit gaps.
In previous head-to-head meetings, the games have often hit the over, as seen in their last encounter with a total of 73 points. The Lions’ ability to score combined with the Bears’ home advantage suggests a game with plenty of points on the board.
Considering these factors, the over 50.5 is a reasonable pick for this matchup. Both teams have shown the capability to score, and the conditions at Soldier Field should not significantly hinder the offensive output.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
🚨 WEEK 18 SCHEDULE 🚨 pic.twitter.com/c4kM67GCmR
— NFL (@NFL) December 29, 2025
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