Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Broncos vs. Seahawks Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Seahawks on Sunday, September 8th at the Lumen Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Seattle matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 8th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle WA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver +6 | Seattle -6
NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver +207 | Seattle -252
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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Broncos vs. Seahawks Gameday
NFL Week 1 is here, and it’s time to dive into one of the most exciting matchups: the Denver Broncos facing off against the Seattle Seahawks. Football fans, bettors, and fantasy managers alike should have their eyes glued to this one!
The line is set at Seattle -6, and I’m telling you right now: the Seahawks are primed to cover.
Last season, the Broncos and Seahawks did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Seahawks have the leg up at 2-1. The Seahawks also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-0-1. These games averaged a combined total of 43 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Denver Broncos
The Broncos’ ATS record last season was 6-10-1, including a 4-5 mark at home and 2-5-1 on the road. Denver wrapped up the 2023 season with an 8-9 overall record, placing 3rd in the AFC West and 12th in the AFC. They went 3-3 against division rivals and finished with a 5-4 record at home and a 3-5 mark on the road. When favored, the Broncos were 5-4 straight-up, and as underdogs, they were 3-5.
Against the spread, the Broncos were 4-4 vs. above .500 teams and 2-6-1 vs. below .500 teams. Their over/under record was 8-9, and their games averaged 45.3 combined points. The Broncos’ ATS record vs. the spread was 3-5 as the favorite and 3-5 as the underdog.
Denver Broncos Stats
The Broncos’ passing game was 11th in passing yards per attempt last season, but they finished 27th in passing attempts per game. Overall, they were 22nd in offensive power rankings, averaging 21 points per game (20th), with a total of 21 per contest. In terms of yards, the Broncos were 26th in the NFL, averaging 298.4 yards per game.
They struggled to sustain drives, finishing 31st in the percentage of first downs by passing. In the red zone, the Broncos were 8th in red zone attempts, but they were 21st in red zone conversion percentage.
The Broncos are heading into the season with a veteran receiving group, as both Courtland Sutton and Josh Reynolds are entering their 7th season in the league. Sutton, who had 772 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns last year, is coming off a season in which he played in 16 games. Reynolds, who played for the Lions last year, had 608 receiving yards and five touchdowns. Marvin Mims Jr., heading into his 2nd season, had 377 receiving yards and one touchdown last year.
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Denver’s defense forced 26 takeaways last season, ranking 6th in the league, and had the 5th best turnover differential. However, they struggled to get to the quarterback, finishing 13th in sacks and 12th in QB hits. The Broncos were 21st in defensive power rankings, giving up 24.3 points per game (27th).
Their overall yards allowed per game was 370.8, ranking 29th in the NFL. Opposing offenses really took advantage on the road, as the Broncos gave up 29.6 points per game, which was 29th in the league.
Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks wrapped up the 2023 season with a 9-8 record, placing them 3rd in the NFC West and 8th in the NFC overall. Within their division, they were 2-4, and they were 7-5 against NFC opponents. Seattle struggled against above .500 teams, going 3-8, but they were perfect with a 6-0 record against below .500 teams. When favored, the Seahawks went 7-2, but as underdogs, they were 2-6.
At home, the Seahawks were 5-3, and on the road, they were 4-5. Their games averaged 45.1 points, and their over/under record was 7-10. Against the spread, the Seahawks were 8-7-2, going 5-3 ATS as underdogs and 3-4-2 ATS when favored.
Seattle Seahawks Stats
Seattle’s ATS record for the season was 8-7-2. They were 5-3 as the underdog and 3-4-2 as the favorite. The Seahawks finished the season with a 9-8 record, putting them 3rd in the NFC West. Within their division, they went 2-4, but they performed better against the rest of the NFC, going 7-5. When favored, the Seahawks went 7-2 straight-up, but as underdogs, they went 2-6. Against teams with winning records, they were 3-8, but they were undefeated against teams with losing records.
Seattle’s over/under record was 7-10, and their games averaged 45.1 points per game. The Seahawks’ over/under record vs. the spread was 8-7-2, with a 5-3-1 record on the road and a 3-4-1 record at home.
DK Metcalf, who is heading into his 6th season, led the Seahawks’ receiving unit last year with 1,114 yards and eight touchdowns. Tyler Lockett, entering his 10th season, had 894 yards and five touchdowns. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, in his 2nd season, added 628 yards on 63 catches. Metcalf averaged 10.0 fantasy points per game, while Lockett averaged 7.3 and Smith-Njigba 5.1.
Seattle’s defense struggled last season, ranking 30th in the league in yards allowed, giving up an average of 371.4 yards per game. They were 24th in points allowed, giving up 23.6 points per game. Despite their struggles, the Seahawks did force 19 takeaways and had the 8th most sacks in the NFL last season.
Opposing offenses were able to sustain drives against the Seahawks, as they allowed a 46.3% third-down conversion rate. Although they defended the run well in terms of yards per attempt, allowing the 11th fewest figure, they were 25th in home points allowed, giving up 23.9 points per game.
Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Seahawks are 0-3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Seahawks have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Seahawks’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Seahawks Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +174 | +207 | +4.5 | +6 |
| Seahawks | -212 | -252 | -4.5 | -6 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Seahawks ATS
At home in the raucous Lumen Field, with all the momentum from their offseason moves, this Seattle squad is built to dominate. The Broncos, getting +6, just don’t have enough to keep pace with a well-rounded Seahawks team that could easily pull off a 20-6 win here.
Expect Seattle to control the pace and force Denver into mistakes. If you’re a fantasy player, grab the Seahawks’ defense now—they’ll be a Week 1 game-changer. The betting total is set at O/U 42, and given Denver’s offensive struggles, the under might just be the smart play. You want sharp NFL insight? You’ve got it. Stick with us for free NFL predictions all season long, and get ready to cash in!
For an over/under pick, we really like the UNDER, with a projected combined score of 26 points. With the line sitting at just 42 points, taking the under is our recommended play.
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Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Takin’ it back to the old school.
We’ll be rocking the Throwbacks for Week 1.
📰 » https://t.co/JVQqEzYq8E pic.twitter.com/pWRSvgRWIg— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) September 2, 2024
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