Free NFL Week 13 Pick: Broncos vs. Texans Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans free NFL Week 13 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Texans on Sunday, December 3rd at the NRG Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Houston matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(6-5) Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans (6-5)
Date: Sunday, December 3rd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston TX
NFL Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver +3.5 | Houston -3.5
Week 13 NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver +152 | Houston -186
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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The Broncos and Texans faced off one time last season with the Broncos picking up a 16-9 win. With their combined 25 points, the Broncos and Texans stayed below the over/under line of 45.5.
The Texans covered the spread in this matchup. Offensively, the Broncos finished with 350 total yards with 201 coming in the passing game and 149 on the ground.
The Texans finished with 234 yards of offense in the loss.
The Week 13 matchup between Denver and Houston sees the Broncos as 2.5-point underdogs on the road, with the over/under set at 45. However, it’s essential not to be misled by these numbers.
The Broncos-Texans rivalry has seen nine games played, with the Denver Broncos emerging victorious in six contests while the Houston Texans have claimed victory in three.
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Denver Broncos
As they take on the Texans, the Broncos will be looking to build on their 6-5 record. This currently places them at 2nd in the AFC-West and 9th in the AFC.
When it comes to the spread, the Broncos come in at 4-6-1. Going into week 13, their scoring margin per game is -3.1.
The Broncos’ 17-point win over the Browns was one of their largest margins of victory in recent history. Offensively, the Broncos averaged 4 yards per play for a total of 294 yards.
On the other end, the Browns went 2/13 on 3rd down and finished with 269 yards. Going into the game, Denver was favored by 2 and went on to cover the spread.
Quarterback Russell Wilson threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score. Wilson completed 59% of his passes for 134 yards.
Denver Broncos Stats
On offense, the Broncos finished with 294 yards against the Browns. When it came to third downs, the Broncos had a 42.9% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Javonte Williams with 65 yards, and Wilson contributed 134 passing yards.
The Denver offense is currently positioned 11th in the league, scoring an average of 22.4 points per contest.
The Broncos’ defense, so far, has an average of 388.2 yards given up per game and 25.5 points per contest (26th). Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 68.5% and 19 passing touchdowns.
In terms of stopping the run, they are 32nd in the NFL.
Houston Texans
As week 13 approaches, Houston is in 3rd place in the AFC-South, coming in with an overall record of 6-5. In the AFC, they currently reside in 8th place.
Houston comes into this one having not covered the spread in three straight games at home. Their overall ATS record for the season is 5-6.
Houston got off to slow start in their loss to the Jaguars, failing to score at all in the first-quarter. Overall, the Texans finished with 352 of offense while giving up 445 on defense.
Houston’s 3 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 1 point underdogs. Quarterback C.J. Stroud threw for two touchdowns and ran for 1 score.
Stroud completed 72% of his passes for 304 yards.
The rookie of the year (without a doubt in my mind) has now exceeded 300 yards thru the air in 4 consecutive games and will take a 19:5 TD:INT into Week 13.
Houston Texans Stats
Against the Jaguars, the Texans ran the ball 18 times, with C.J. Stroud leading the team with 47 yards. C.J. Stroud threw the ball 36 times for 304 yards and a passer rating of 115.
At 23.5 points per contest, the Houston offense is 8th in the league.
Defensively, Houston is 13th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 21.1 points per game while gaining 347.6 yards per contest.
Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Texans have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Texans’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Texans Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +134 | +152 | +3 | +3.5 |
| Texans | -158 | -186 | -3 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: Denver +3.5
Defensively, Denver looked good in their most recent game vs. Cleveland. The pass rush is improving, and man can this unit ballhawk. They’re now 4th in the NFL in turnovers.
For this week’s best bet, I like Denver to cover with the line currently sitting at +3.5.
If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing UNDER 46.5 points. For this game, my money is on the UNDER.
When Matt Ammendola had his 58-yard field goal come up inches short, the Texans missed the playoffs in my opinion. It’s all downhill from here.
My model calls for 44 this week for a total.
I’ve identified some promising NFL trends that suggest my NFL picks for this upcoming matchup are on the mark. Denver boasts a strong track record, going 4-1 ATS and 5-0 SU in their last 5 games, including a 4-1 SU record against Houston.
Conversely, Houston has struggled lately, with a 1-4 ATS record in their last 5 games and a 6-2 underperformance in terms of the total points scored in their last 8 games.
Additionally, the total has gone under in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games against Denver, even at home. With these trends in mind, I’m feeling optimistic about my predictions.
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Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/HoustonTexans/status/1729643836669043002
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