Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Broncos vs. Ravens Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Ravens on Sunday, November 3rd at the M&T Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Baltimore matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(5-3) Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens (5-3)
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Denver +9.5 | Baltimore -9.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Denver +356 | Baltimore -462
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Get ready, football fans and bettors! Week 9’s clash between the Broncos and Ravens has all the makings of a thrilling showdown, with Denver looking to shake off its historic struggles in Baltimore.
The Ravens, ever-dominant at home, have won 10 of their 16 all-time matchups against the Broncos and have covered double-digit wins in six of their seven home victories.
Denver, though, isn’t showing up just to roll over—despite a rough track record, they’re 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 road matchups.
Baltimore’s home edge is undeniable, but Denver’s defense has been keeping it close.
Last season, the Broncos and Ravens did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Ravens have the leg up at 3-0.
The Ravens also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 30 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
Denver Broncos
With two straight wins, the Broncos now sit at 5-3, putting them 2nd in the AFC West and 5th in the conference. After a week 6 loss to the Chargers, Denver bounced back with wins over the Saints (33-10) and Panthers (28-14) in weeks 7 and 8. They were favored in both matchups and covered the spread each time, including a 14-point win over Carolina as 13-point favorites.
Heading into week 9, our power rankings have the Broncos 27th, and they have a 42.8% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 5-3, with the over hitting in four straight games. Denver’s games have averaged 36.6 points, compared to an average O/U line of 38.7.
Denver Broncos Stats
Heading into week 9, the Broncos rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.6, and sit 24th in yards per game with 307.2. Denver ranks 25th in 3rd-down conversion percentage (32.4%) and is 19th in red zone conversion rate, despite being 9th in red zone attempts.
Bo Nix is coming off a strong week 8 performance, throwing for 284 yards and 3 touchdowns with a passer rating of 124. Courtland Sutton had 8 catches for 100 yards, while Jaleel McLaughlin led the team in rushing with 47 yards on 8 carries.
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The Broncos’ defense came up with two interceptions in their 28-14 win over the Panthers, despite allowing 215 passing yards and two touchdowns. They limited Carolina to 69 rushing yards on just 20 attempts. Denver’s defense also recorded two sacks and held the Panthers to a 35.7% conversion rate on third down.
Overall, the Broncos gave up 284 total yards and 24 completions to the Panthers, with a 63.2% completion rate against them.
Baltimore Ravens
After winning four straight, the Ravens couldn’t keep their streak going in week 8, falling 29-24 to the Browns. Baltimore entered the game as 7-point favorites but couldn’t get the job done, dropping their record to 5-3. Despite the loss, they still rank 2nd in our NFL power rankings and have a 92.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 57.2% chance of winning the AFC North.
Heading into week 9, the over has hit in four straight Ravens games, including week 8, when the teams combined for 53 points, surpassing the 44.5-point line. Baltimore’s O/U record is 7-1 this season, with their games averaging 56.4 points per contest.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Heading into week 9, the Ravens lead the NFL in our offensive power rankings. They are 2nd in the league in points per game, averaging 30.2, and lead the NFL in total yards per game with 452.1. Baltimore ranks 5th in passing yards per game, despite being 21st in passing attempts, and they lead the league in rushing, averaging 200 yards per game on 32.5 attempts. The Ravens are 3rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage and rank 3rd in red zone attempts, but they are 29th in red zone conversion percentage.
Lamar Jackson threw for 289 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 8, with a passer rating of 101. Zay Flowers led the team with 7 catches for 115 yards, and Derrick Henry had 73 rushing yards on 11 carries. Baltimore scored 7 points in the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quarters against the Browns but struggled on 3rd down, converting just 2 of 10 attempts.
In their 29-24 loss to the Browns, the Ravens’ defense allowed 27 completions for 321 yards through the air. Cleveland’s passing attack was effective, averaging 7.8 yards per attempt and converting on three passing touchdowns. Baltimore struggled on third downs, allowing the Browns to convert 53.3% of their third down attempts.
Despite the tough day defending the pass, the Ravens did limit the Browns to 80 rushing yards on 23 attempts. They also managed two sacks and had a positive quarterback hit differential, although they did lose the tackles for loss battle.
Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Broncos are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Broncos are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Ravens have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Ravens’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Broncos vs. Ravens Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +380 | +355 | +10.5 | +9.5 |
| Ravens | -500 | -462 | -10.5 | -9.5 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Denver +9.5
Our pick vs. the spread in this week nine matchup between the Broncos and Ravens is to take the Broncos to cover as road underdogs. The point spread has the Ravens at -9.5, but we have the Ravens winning this one 21-20, making the Broncos our pick to cover.
The game total (45.5) is another intriguing angle for bettors. The UNDER has hit in 11 of Denver’s last 12 November games, and these two have kept it low-scoring, staying under 44.5 in their last four matchups.
With Denver covering in four of their last five games against bottom-tier defenses, there’s a strong case for some close action here.
Expect an intense, scrappy game with Ravens fans bringing the noise—but don’t count out Denver’s potential to cover if Bo Nix can keep his composure in a hostile environment.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 45.5 points, we like the UNDER, projecting a combined score of 41 points, which is below the current line.
This is a good spot to take the UNDER before the line potentially moves.
Keep an eye on Lamar Jackson’s injury status closer to Sunday—his presence could swing the energy and odds significantly!
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Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Corgi races at halftime 🤩
🎟: https://t.co/tNRuZxpkbQ pic.twitter.com/ScGbOmHybi
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) October 31, 2024
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