Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Cowboys vs. Browns Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Browns on Sunday, September 8th at the Cleveland Browns Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas Cleveland matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 8th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland OH
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Dallas +2.5 | Cleveland -2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Dallas +118 | Cleveland -140
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
- Live Betting Odds for the upcoming Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns Week 1 game!
- Want more NFL football regular season predictions like this Cowboys Browns play? Check out our free NFL Week 1 AI Picks for today!
- View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
Cowboys vs. Browns Gameday
The wait is over—NFL Week 1 is here, and it’s time to dive into some top-tier matchups! Let’s talk about the Dallas Cowboys heading to Cleveland to take on the Browns in what promises to be a gritty battle.
The Cowboys and Browns did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Cowboys have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Browns went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 58 points per game.
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys wrapped up the 2023 season with a 12-5 record, putting them 2nd in the NFC and 1st in the NFC East. They were strong at home with an 8-1 record but struggled a bit on the road, going 4-5. Dallas went into the playoffs as the favorite, but their season ended in the NFC Wild Card round with a 48-32 loss to the Packers. The Cowboys were dominant vs. below .500 teams, going 8-1, but were 4-5 against teams with winning records.
Dallas’ over/under record was 10-8, with their games averaging a combined 50.2 points, the 3rd highest in the league. Against the spread, the Cowboys were 10-8, with a 10-4 record as the favorite and 0-4 as the underdog.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
At home, the Cowboys were the top-scoring offense in the NFL last season, averaging 36.8 points per game. Overall, they led the league in scoring, averaging 30.1 points per game. They were also the 2nd ranked offense in the league, with a power ranking of 2nd. Dallas led the league in passing yards per game, averaging 265.8 yards, and were 4th in the league in yards per game, averaging 379.3 yards per contest.
One of the reasons they were able to put up so many points was their success on third down, where they converted 48.3% of their attempts, ranking 2nd in the league. The Cowboys were also 1st in the league in red zone attempts, but their red zone conversion percentage was 28th in the league. Dallas also led the league in passing attempts per game, with 37.4.
CeeDee Lamb, who is heading into his 5th season, is the key piece of the Cowboys’ receiving group after putting up 1,749 yards and 12 touchdowns on 135 catches last year. Behind him, Brandin Cooks, in his 11th season, added eight receiving touchdowns and 657 yards. Jalen Tolbert played in 17 games and finished with 268 yards and two touchdowns.
Expert NFL Betting Picks
Looking for more NFL betting picks? Check out today’s featured premium plays from CappersPicks handicappers, including sides, totals, and weekly NFL betting packages.
Despite their success in taking the ball away (26 takeaways), the Cowboys’ defense was just 13th in generating quarterback hits last season. They were 9th in sacks and finished the season with the 12th best defense in the league. Dallas was also 3rd in turnover differential, forcing a lot of turnovers while not giving it away much themselves.
The Cowboys were 9th in yards allowed, giving up just 306.1 yards per game, and they allowed 20.2 points per contest, which was 9th in the NFL. Opposing quarterbacks managed a passer rating of 78.42 against Dallas, ranking 6th in the league.
Cleveland Browns
The Browns’ playoff run in the 2023 season ended in the AFC Wild Card round with a disappointing 45-14 loss to the Texans. Despite that, they had a solid regular season, finishing 11-6 overall and securing the 5th position in the AFC. In the AFC North, they were 2nd behind the division-winning Ravens, with a 3-3 record against division rivals. Cleveland excelled at home with an 8-1 record, but struggled on the road at 3-6.
As favorites, the Browns went 9-2, but as underdogs, they were only 2-5. Their record against the spread was 10-7-1. The Browns’ over/under record was 11-6-1, with their games averaging 45.4 points per game. Their playoff defeat to the Texans was a tough end to a season in which they were 8-1 ATS at home and 8-3 ATS as favorites.
Cleveland Browns Stats
The Browns’ offense was one of the best in the league last season, averaging 27.6 points per game, which was 5th best in the NFL. They also put up 383.3 yards per game, which was the 6th best figure in the league. Cleveland was led by a strong running game, averaging 143.3 yards per game, the 3rd best figure in the NFL. Through the air, the Browns averaged 240.4 yards per game.
The Browns finished the season with an 11-6 record, and their offense was a big reason for their success. They were also one of the best teams at home, going 8-1 during the regular season. In the playoffs, however, they were upset by the Texans in the Wild Card round, losing 45-14. Cleveland’s offense also did a good job of protecting the football, as they turned the ball over just 15 times last season, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Amari Cooper, who had 1,250 receiving yards and five touchdowns last year, is heading into his 10th season after playing in 15 games for the Browns last year. The Browns’ receiving group also includes Jerry Jeudy, who is entering his 5th season and had 758 receiving yards and two touchdowns with the Broncos last year. Elijah Moore, coming off a season with 640 receiving yards and two touchdowns, is also part of this group.
The Browns’ defense was one of the best in the league last season, finishing 2nd in the defensive power rankings. They excelled in several areas, including allowing the fewest yards per game in the NFL, at just 274.9. Despite this, they finished 21st in points allowed, giving up 22.6 per game. One of the reasons for this was their road vs. home splits, as they gave up 31.3 points per game on the road but only 13.9 at home, which was the best in the league.
Their secondary was particularly strong, giving up just 171.1 passing yards per game and allowing quarterbacks to complete only 57.4% of their passes, both ranking 2nd in the league. In addition, the Browns were the best defense on third downs, allowing only a 29.1% conversion rate.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 0-5 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cowboys are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Browns have gone 2-7-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cowboys’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Browns’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Cowboys vs. Browns Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | -116 | +118 | -1 | +2.5 |
| Browns | -105 | -140 | +1 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Cleveland -2.5
The Browns are slight favorites at -2.5, and I see them pulling off a 28-23 victory over Dallas. With Cleveland’s balanced attack and home-field advantage, they’re primed to cover that spread. Dallas will keep it close, but in the end, Cleveland should wear them down.
At -140 on the moneyline, I’m leaning towards the Browns to handle business.
For an over/under pick, we really like taking the over, with a projected combined score of 51 points and the line sitting at just 42 points as of now.
Keep your eyes peeled for more free NFL picks and insights, because this season is going to be electric!
Best Sportsbooks For Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Gambling Today!
- 50% Reload Bonuses
- Daily Player Promos
- Live Dealer Casino
- Crypto Deposits
- Same-Game Parlays
- Casino + Poker
- Same-Game Parlays
- Overnight Lines
- Progressive Jackpots
- Reduced-Juice Lines
- 7% Racebook Rebate
- 100% Crypto Bonus
- VIP Cash Rewards
- Live Betting & Props
- High Betting Limits
In Canada? Try Bodog!
Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
is it Sunday yet?
📸: https://t.co/2AzdYA1keb pic.twitter.com/esxnasVep0
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) September 5, 2024
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special NFL Regular Season Offers!
