Free NFL Week 3 Pick: Bears vs. Colts Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Colts on Sunday, September 22nd at the Lucas Oil Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Indianapolis matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(1-1) Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts (0-2)
Date: Sunday, September 22nd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis IN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Chicago +1.5 | Indianapolis -1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Chicago +100 | Indianapolis -121
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43
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Buckle up for Week 3, folks! It’s Bears vs. Colts, and if you’re into NFL betting, this is the matchup you don’t want to miss! Chicago, sitting at 1-1, may feel like they’re on life support if you listen to the critics, but don’t let that fool you—there’s more to this team than their shaky start.
Caleb Williams, the top draft pick, hasn’t fully hit his stride yet, but he’s got a golden chance to prove himself against a winless Colts team that’s desperate for a spark.
Right now, the Colts are favored by 1.5, but Chicago’s defense could flip the script on Sunday. Indianapolis is still searching for their first W, but they’ll have to earn it against a Bears squad that’s hungry to bounce back after a tough loss.
Last season, the Bears and Colts did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Colts have the leg up at 2-1. The Colts also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 48 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Chicago Bears
The Bears are now 1-1 after losing to the Texans 19-13 in their most recent game. Chicago’s 13 points were lower than the 45.5 over/under line heading into the game. They put up a good fight, though, as they were +6.5 point underdogs on the road and managed to cover the spread. Chicago’s only touchdown came from Khalil Herbert with 1:11 left in the 2nd quarter.
Chicago’s offense struggled in the 1st quarter but managed to tie the game at 3-3 with a 53-yard field goal from Cairo Santos. The Texans then took a 10-3 lead early in the 2nd quarter and added another touchdown before Chicago’s next score.
Chicago Bears Stats
Quarterback Caleb Williams was sacked seven times in the Bears’ 19-13 loss to the Texans, finishing with 174 yards passing and two interceptions. Chicago’s offense struggled to get anything going on the ground, managing just 71 rushing yards on 22 attempts. Williams completed 62% of his passes and threw for 134 yards.
Chicago’s leading receiver was DJ Moore, who caught six passes for 53 yards. Williams also led the team in rushing with 44 yards, including a 24-yard run. The Bears finished the game with only 15 first downs and went 0-for-1 in the red zone.
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In the Bears’ 19-13 loss to the Texans, Chicago’s defense allowed 235 passing yards on 23 completions. The Bears struggled to generate pressure, losing the quarterback hit differential by seven. Despite this, they still managed to come away with three sacks. Chicago held the Texans to 75 rushing yards on 22 attempts, giving up just 3.4 yards per attempt. Additionally, the Bears’ defense held Houston to a 28.6% third-down conversion rate.
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is now 0-2 after losing to the Packers 16-10 in week two. The Colts were on the road for this one and even though they lost, they were the favorite at -2.5. The Colts’ defense gave up a touchdown late in the 4th quarter to the Packers in this one, and this one was a low-scoring affair, with the 26 points being well below the over/under of 41.5.
The Colts fell behind early, as the Packers led 10-0 after the 1st quarter. Indianapolis did kick a field goal and added a touchdown in the 3rd quarter, but it wasn’t enough to come back and pull off the win. This was a game that was tied at 13 heading into the 4th quarter, but the Packers took a 16-13 lead with 10:54 left in the 4th, and the Colts couldn’t fully come back after that.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
In the Colts’ 16-10 loss to the Packers, quarterback Anthony Richardson threw for 198 yards on 17 completions, ending with a passer rating of 41. He also threw three interceptions. Indianapolis’ offense managed 19 first downs and 140 yards on just 18 carries, with Jonathan Taylor leading the way with 103 yards on 12 rushes. The passing game struggled, with a completion percentage of only 50% and three interceptions.
Alec Pierce was the top receiver for the Colts, with 56 yards and a touchdown. Richardson was sacked once and struggled on third down, converting only 22.2% of their opportunities. Despite their struggles in the passing game, the Colts averaged 7.8 yards per attempt on the ground.
In their 16-10 loss to the Packers, the Colts’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 261 rushing yards on 53 attempts. Despite this, they allowed just 122 passing yards on 12 completions, with one touchdown and an 85.7% completion rate against them. Indianapolis also struggled on third downs, allowing the Packers to convert 58.8% of their attempts.
The Colts failed to record a sack in the game and lost the quarterback hit differential by -3. Even though they allowed 383 total yards, Indianapolis did well in the passing game, as the Packers’ success was mainly due to their ground game.
Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bears are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Colts are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bears are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Colts have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Colts’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Bears vs. Colts Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | +110 | +100 | +2 | +1.5 |
| Colts | -130 | -121 | -2 | -1.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago +1.5
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bears to cover as road underdogs in this week three matchup between the Colts and Bears. Right now, the Bears are sitting at +1.5 point road underdogs, and we have them winning 24-17, making them a great pick vs. the spread.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 43 points, we are leaning towards taking the under with a projected combined score of 41 points.
With the Bears sitting at +100 on the moneyline, this game’s got some sneaky value for bettors looking to pounce on the underdog.
This game could be tight, and with an Over/Under set at 43, we might see a battle between a grinding Chicago defense and an Indy offense still trying to find its rhythm.
Stay tuned for more free NFL picks all season long—Week 3 is about to get wild!
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Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Taking the top spot in @PFF’s O-line rankings heading into Week 3. pic.twitter.com/r2fCDXQCAJ
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) September 19, 2024
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