Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Panthers vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Panthers taking on the Commanders on Sunday, October 20th at the Northwest Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Carolina Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(1-5) Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders (4-2)
Date: Sunday, October 20th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Carolina +7.5 | Washington -7.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Carolina +294 | Washington -370
NFL Betting Total: O/U 52
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Get ready for an electric Week 7 showdown between the Carolina Panthers and Washington Commanders! Carolina comes in at 1-5, struggling to find their rhythm, while Washington, sitting pretty at 4-2, looks poised to keep rolling.
This Panthers-Commanders rivalry has history, but Washington has the edge, leading the all-time series 10-7, and they’re 6-3 when hosting Carolina in the capital.
Looking at the betting angles, Washington is favored by 7.5 points, and that’s no surprise given their high-powered offense. Carolina’s defense will be tested early and often, as Washington will look to push the tempo and control the clock, keeping old man Andy Dalton and the Panthers’ offense playing catch-up.
Last season, the Panthers and Commanders did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Commanders have the leg up at 2-1.
The Commanders also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 43 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Carolina Panthers
With a 1-5 record, the Panthers rank 30th in our power rankings and have just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs. Carolina has lost three straight games, including a 38-20 home loss to the Falcons in week 6. They were unable to cover the 6-point spread as underdogs, and the 58 combined points went over the 46-point line. The over has hit in four straight Panthers games, and their O/U record is 5-1 this season.
Against the spread, Carolina is 1-5, with their only win coming in week 3, when they beat the Raiders 36-22 as 5.5-point underdogs. They couldn’t build on that win, losing to the Bears in week 5 and the Bengals in week 4. The Panthers are 0-3 at home and 1-2 on the road, and they are 0-2 in division games.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Heading into week 7, the Panthers rank 26th in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in both points per game (17.2) and total yards per game (298.5). Despite ranking 8th in passing attempts, they are only 23rd in passing yards, averaging 187.2 per game. On the ground, Carolina is 23rd in rushing attempts and 22nd in rushing yards, with 111.3 per game. They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 31% of their attempts, but have been solid in the red zone, ranking 7th in conversion percentage.
Andy Dalton threw for 221 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 6, completing 26 of 38 passes, but also had 2 interceptions. Chuba Hubbard led the rushing attack with 92 yards on 18 carries, while Diontae Johnson had 6 catches for 78 yards and a touchdown. Carolina scored 17 points in the first half against Atlanta but were shut out in the 4th quarter.
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In their 38-20 loss to the Falcons, the Panthers’ defense gave up 423 total yards and allowed 198 yards on the ground, with Atlanta running for 5.2 yards per attempt. Carolina’s defense struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and had a -4 differential in tackles for loss. Despite this, they did limit the Falcons to 225 passing yards and a 63.3% completion percentage on 19 completions.
Carolina’s defense also allowed Atlanta to convert on 50% of their third down attempts.
Washington Commanders
Heading into week 7, the Commanders sit atop the NFC East with a 4-2 record, giving them a 64.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 45.4% chance of winning the division. After winning three straight games, Washington fell to the Ravens in week 6, but they still hold a +5.5 scoring margin and are 4-1-1 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 5-1, with the over hitting in four straight games.
Washington ranks 12th in our NFL power rankings, and they’ll look to bounce back at home against the Panthers this week. The Commanders are 2-0 at home this season, including a 21-point win over the Browns in week 5.
Washington Commanders Stats
Heading into week 7, the Commanders are 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 29.7, and they rank 5th in total yards per game with 378. Despite being 25th in pass attempts, they are 13th in passing yards, with Jayden Daniels throwing for 269 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 6. Washington also ranks 6th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards per game, averaging 157.3 yards on the ground.
Washington has been strong on 3rd down, converting 48.6% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the NFL. They are also 2nd in red zone attempts, but they have struggled to convert, ranking 28th in the league with a 7.7% conversion rate. Daniels has been sacked 3 times in each of the last two games, and Brian Robinson Jr. is questionable for week 7 with a knee injury.
Washington’s defense gave up 484 yards in their 30-23 loss to the Ravens. They struggled to stop the run, allowing 176 rushing yards on 37 attempts. Despite giving up big numbers in the running game, they did force one interception and recorded two sacks.
Against the pass, they allowed 308 yards on just 20 completions, and the Ravens averaged 11.8 yards per attempt through the air. Washington also struggled to get off the field, as the Ravens converted on 60% of their third down attempts.
Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Panthers are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Panthers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Panthers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Panthers vs. Commanders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | +130 | +294 | +3 | +7.5 |
| Commanders | -155 | -370 | -3 | -7.5 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +7.5
Our pick vs. the spread in this week seven matchup between the Panthers and Commanders is to take the Commanders to cover as home favorites. 28-17 final score in favor of Washington, we just can’t see the Panthers covering +7.5.
At +294 on the moneyline, Carolina has long odds for the upset, and with a 2-7-1 ATS record on the road, bettors may think twice before backing them.
The total for this game sits at 52 points, the highest of Week 7, but here’s the kicker: we’re calling for the under. Washington’s ability to dominate time of possession and their solid red-zone defense will likely keep the scoreboard in check, despite flirting with a 30-point outing.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 52 points, we are leaning towards taking the under. Our projections have these teams finishing with 45 combined points, making the under a solid play.
This matchup promises excitement, but for Carolina, it could be another tough day at the office. Keep an eye on the line as kickoff approaches, and buckle up for some hard-hitting Week 7 action!
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Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
QOTD: in honor of #NationalPastaDay, what’s your favorite pasta shape? 🍝@SeatGeek | #RaiseHail pic.twitter.com/2WSFj2kaRh
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) October 17, 2024
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