Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Panthers vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Panthers taking on the Bears on Sunday, October 6th at the Soldier Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Carolina Chicago matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(1-3) Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears (2-2)
Date: Sunday, October 6th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago IL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Carolina +4 | Chicago -4
NFL Moneyline Odds: Carolina +160 | Chicago -193
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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Get ready for some Week 5 action as we dive into the Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears matchup! This one’s got all the ingredients for an intense battle, with both teams hungry for a win and plenty of betting value on the line. Historically, the Panthers are 4-8 against the Bears, and Soldier Field hasn’t been kind to Carolina, with just one road win in six tries.
The Bears are favored at -4, but don’t let that fool you. Chicago has gone just 5-5 in their last 10 home games, so they’re far from dominant. Throw in a rookie QB and an offense that’s struggled to find any rhythm, and this game could get tight.
Even though the Panthers and Bears combined for just 29 points, the Bears won the only meeting between the two teams last year by a score of 16-13.
The Bears were -3 point favorites going into the game, resulting in a push for those that bet on the game.
The game finished with a combined 29 points, falling short of the over/under line of 38 points. Let’s talk Week 5 handicapping!
Carolina Panthers
Carolina’s record now stands at 1-3 after they dropped their most recent game to the Bengals by a score of 34-24. The Panthers were 5-point underdogs at home and failed to cover the spread with the 10-point loss. The combined 58 points easily surpassed the O/U line of 46.5 points.
The Panthers fell behind early, as the Bengals scored a touchdown with just 8 seconds remaining in the 1st quarter. Although Carolina tied it up in the 2nd quarter, the Bengals responded with two more touchdowns to take a 21-14 lead going into halftime. Carolina managed to pull within 31-24 in the 4th quarter, but a late Bengals field goal sealed the game.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Carolina’s offense had 24 first downs and put up 373 yards in their 34-24 loss to the Bengals. The Panthers ran for 155 yards on 29 attempts, with Chuba Hubbard leading the way with 104 yards on 18 carries, averaging 5.8 yards per attempt and scoring one touchdown. In the passing game, the Panthers threw for 220 yards, with Andy Dalton completing 25 passes for the same yardage figure, two touchdowns, and one interception.
Diontae Johnson was the Panthers’ top receiver, finishing with 83 yards on seven catches, including a long reception of 39 yards. Carolina’s offense converted on 50% of their third down attempts and didn’t allow a sack in the game.
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In their most recent game, the Panthers’ defense allowed the Bengals to convert on 53.8% of their third down attempts. Despite not allowing a single sack, the Panthers’ defense did come up with one interception. They allowed 141 rushing yards on 31 attempts and 232 passing yards in their 34-24 loss to the Bengals. Carolina’s defense also allowed Cincinnati to complete 71% of their passes.
Carolina’s defense gave up 373 total yards in the game, and the Bengals finished with two passing touchdowns. The Panthers’ defense also struggled to contain the Bengals’ ground game, as they allowed 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground.
Chicago Bears
The Bears’ 24-18 win over the Rams brought their record to 2-2. Chicago was favored by -3 and with the 6-point win, they also covered the spread. The combined 42 points went over the 40.5-point line.
Chicago fell behind early, with the Rams kicking a 46-yard field goal in the 1st quarter. However, the Bears responded with a touchdown in the 2nd quarter, taking a 10-6 lead into halftime.
In the 3rd quarter, a 5-yard touchdown pass from Caleb Williams to DJ Moore put the Bears ahead for good, and they added to their lead in the 4th with a 3-yard rushing touchdown by Kyren Williams and a 10-yard touchdown pass from Williams to Cole Kmet.
Chicago Bears Stats
Quarterback Caleb Williams completed 73% of his passes for 157 yards and one touchdown in the Bears’ 24-18 win over the Rams. Chicago’s offense generated 17 first downs and 322 yards, with D’Andre Swift leading the team in rushing with 93 yards, including a 36-yard run and one touchdown.
Williams was sacked three times and finished with a passer rating of 106. He also added 72 yards receiving. The Bears’ passing game struggled, with Williams going 17/23 for 157 yards. The team’s only touchdown came on a 27-yard run by Swift.
In their 24-18 win over the Rams, the Bears’ defense held up well, allowing just 203 passing yards and coming away with three sacks and one interception. The Bears’ defense also limited the Rams to a 45.5% third-down conversion rate and 119 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Chicago’s defense held the Rams to 18 points and forced their quarterback into 69% completions.
Overall, the Bears’ defense was able to limit big plays in the passing game, as the Rams averaged only 7 yards per passing attempt. Chicago also had three tackles for loss in the game, helping to keep the Rams’ offense off balance throughout the game.
Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Panthers are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bears are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Panthers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bears have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Panthers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bears’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Panthers vs. Bears Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | +180 | +160 | +5.5 | +4 |
| Bears | -218 | -193 | -5.5 | -4 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +4
Caleb Williams is talented but hasn’t hit his stride, sporting a low 72 passer rating and getting sacked a whopping 16 times already. If Carolina can put some pressure on, they’ll have a real shot at keeping this game close.
Carolina, sitting as +160 underdogs, has some sparks to watch for. Chuba Hubbard is starting to break out, and Diontae Johnson is heating up. Plus, with veteran Andy Dalton managing things, the Panthers might just have enough to cover that spread, if not pull off the upset. The O/U is set at 42, and with both teams’ offense, we could see this game light up the scoreboard.
I’m leaning Panthers to cover and wouldn’t be shocked to see them give the Bears a run for their money on the moneyline. This one’s a sleeper pick for those looking for value.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Panthers to cover as road underdogs in this week five matchup between the Panthers and Bears. The point spread lines have the Panthers at +4, and even though we have the Bears winning 22-20, the Panthers’ point spread is our top pick.
For the over/under line, with the line sitting at 42 points, we are leaning towards taking the OVER, as our projections have these teams finishing with 44 combined points.
Bet smart and stay tuned for more of my NFL picks this season!
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Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
.@idjmoore is at the podium https://t.co/1ZykQxgjjI
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) October 2, 2024
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