Free Week 16 Prediction: Bills vs. Patriots NFL Odds
Looking for Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots free NFL Week 16 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bills taking on the Patriots on Saturday, December 21st at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Buffalo New England matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Week 16
(10-4) Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots (11-3)
Date: Saturday, December 21st, 2019
Time: 4:30 PM
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines: Patriots -6.5
NFL Week 16 Moneyline Odds: OFF
NFL Week 16 NFL Betting Total: 38.5
Click here to view… NFL ATS Stats & Expert NFL Betting Insight!
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It is week 16 of the NFL season and that means we will get games on Saturday. This is a crucial AFC East matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots.
These teams met once this season, which saw the Patriots win 16-10.
Buffalo Bills
It is so crazy to think that the Bills actually have a shot to win the division. They would have to win this game and hope the Patriots lose in week 17 as well. The Bills just beat the Steelers this past Sunday Night thanks to their defense.
Speaking of their offense, the Bills are not getting enough production. They average 336.1 yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the NFL. Their passing offense is very poor as they average 201.2 yards per game through the air. However, their rushing offense is top 5 in the league and is averaging 134.9 yards per game.
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As for their defense, they are a top 5 unit at least. They allow an average of 291.9 total yards per game. This is 3rd in the NFL. Both their pass defense and rush defense rank in the top 10 as well so they are effectively shutting down their opponents in all areas of the game. They are also the 2nd best scoring defense an only allow 15.9 points per game.
We have seen Tom Brady struggle this season an especially in recent weeks, so if this Bills defensive line can create pressure on Brady, they are going to force some mistakes. That in turn could lead to some crucial turnover which has the chance to keep them in the game.
New England Patriots
The Patriots crushed the Bengals this past Sunday 34-13 to avoid a three-game losing streak. They are still dealing with the allegations of recording the Bengals sidelines the week prior, but at the moment it has not been a huge distraction for the team.
Do not be fooled by the stats showing the Patriots have a top 10 scoring offense. They do average 26.7 points per game, but a ton of these points actually come from the special teams and the defense. For example, the defense returned an interception for a touchdown against Cincinnati.
Tom Brady has not looked like himself, yet the Patriots still average 248.1 yards per game through the air. Their run game has overall been very poor, averaging just 101.8 yards per game and ranking 19th.
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The defense went through a stretch of games where they were getting torched. However, they still are one of the best defensive units in the league. They also still have the best scoring defense, allowing 12.9 points per game.
Just like in the first game against the Bills, creating turnovers is going to be a must for New England.
NFL Betting Trends:
- BUF are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Under is 8-2 in BUF last 10 vs. AFC.
- Under is 16-5 in BUF last 21 games on fieldturf.
- Under is 11-4 in NE last 15 games in December.
- Under is 8-3 in NE last 11 home games.
- Road team is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo Bills +6.5
The Patriots have looked very vulnerable at times this season and I do not see them being able to win this game by enough to cover. They will be playing a defense that has looked just as good as them at times, so I will gladly take the points with the road team.
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