Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Bills vs. Ravens Odds
Looking for Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bills taking on the Ravens on Sunday, September 29th at the M&T Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Buffalo Baltimore Sunday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
Sunday Night Football on NBC
(3-0) Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens (1-2)
Date: Sunday, September 29th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Buffalo +2.5 | Baltimore -2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Buffalo +114 | Baltimore -137
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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Get ready, football fans! Week 4 brings us a sizzling Sunday Night Football showdown between the 3-0 Buffalo Bills and the 1-2 Baltimore Ravens, and we’re here with some expert betting insight to make your wagers count. Buffalo is rolling into Baltimore with Josh Allen firing on all cylinders, but don’t sleep on Lamar Jackson and his crew—they’re hungry for a statement win.
The Ravens may be underperforming so far, but M&T Bank Stadium is still a tough place to grab a win, and they’ve gone 7-3 at home in their last 10 games.
The Bills and Ravens did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Bills have a record of 2-1.
However, against the spread the Ravens went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 0-3 on an average of 34 points per game.
Here’s the deal: the Ravens lead the all-time regular season series 6-4, but don’t forget Buffalo’s thrilling 2021 playoff victory. Plus, in their last meeting during Week 4 of 2022, the Bills erased a 17-point deficit to beat Baltimore 23-20!
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo improved to 3-0 with a dominant 47-10 victory over the Jaguars. They quickly took control of the game, leading 13-0 after the 1st quarter and extending their lead to 34-3 by halftime. Josh Allen had a big game, throwing for three touchdowns in the 2nd quarter alone, and finishing with five touchdowns. The Bills easily covered the -4 point spread, and the 37-point win was much more than they needed to cover the spread.
The game had an over/under line of 46.5 points, and Buffalo and Jacksonville combined for 57 points. The Bills capped off their win with 10 points in the 4th quarter, while the Jaguars managed a single touchdown in the 3rd quarter.
Buffalo Bills Stats
The Bills’ offense put up 47 points in their most recent game, with Josh Allen leading the way with four touchdown passes and 263 yards passing. Allen completed 76% of his passes and didn’t throw any interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 142. Buffalo had 25 first downs and 122 rushing yards on 29 attempts.
Allen also ran for 44 yards, including a 13-yard run. Khalil Shakir caught six passes for 72 yards and a touchdown. Allen was not sacked in the game, and the Bills converted 54.5% of their third down attempts.
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In their most recent game, the Buffalo Bills’ defense was dominant, allowing just 147 passing yards and forcing the Jaguars to finish with 0 completions. The Bills picked off one pass and held Jacksonville to a 15.4% third-down conversion rate. Buffalo also recorded five sacks and limited the Jaguars to just 92 rushing yards on 17 attempts. Overall, the Bills gave up only 239 total yards in their 47-10 win.
Buffalo’s defense didn’t allow a single completion in this game. Their secondary was particularly strong, not allowing any big plays in the passing game. Additionally, their pass rush was very effective, finishing with five sacks and forcing the Jaguars’ quarterbacks into a tough day.
Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens are now 1-2 after picking up a 28-25 win over the Cowboys. Baltimore jumped out to an early 14-3 lead after the 1st quarter and extended their lead to 21-6 at halftime. However, they allowed the Cowboys to score 19 unanswered points in the 4th quarter before closing out the game.
Despite the late surge from the Cowboys, the Ravens managed to hold on for the win. Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson each found the endzone for Baltimore, and although the Cowboys made it interesting in the 4th, the Ravens’ strong start was enough to secure the win. The combined 53 points exceeded the O/U line of 47.5 points.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
The Ravens’ offense put up 274 rushing yards on 45 attempts in their 28-25 win over the Cowboys, with Lamar Jackson leading the way with 87 yards on the ground and one touchdown. Jackson also completed 12 of 15 passes for 182 yards and one touchdown. Baltimore finished with 24 first downs and a 44.4% conversion rate on third down.
Despite not having a big day receiving, Jackson’s lone touchdown pass went to Nelson Agholor, who led the Ravens with 56 receiving yards. Derrick Henry ran for 151 yards, averaging 6 yards per attempt, and scored two rushing touchdowns for Baltimore.
Despite giving up 412 yards through the air, the Ravens’ defense didn’t allow a single completion in their most recent game against the Cowboys. They also held Dallas to just 51 rushing yards on 16 attempts. Baltimore’s defense gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed the Cowboys to convert on 53.8% of their third down attempts.
Even though they didn’t allow a single completion, the Ravens still gave up 361 yards through the air. They did, however, manage to sack the quarterback three times and had a positive differential in both QB hits and tackles for loss.
Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bills are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Ravens are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bills are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Ravens have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bills’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Ravens’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Bills vs. Ravens Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +130 | +114 | +3 | +2.5 |
| Ravens | -155 | -137 | -3 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo +2.5
Now, let’s get into the betting action. Baltimore is favored by 2.5 points, and given that the Bills are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 road games, this one is set to be a tight battle. The Ravens’ secondary, anchored by playmakers like Marcus Williams, Kyle Hamilton, and Marlon Humphrey, is itching to disrupt Allen’s air game.
While I like Baltimore to pull off the straight-up win, expect the Bills to keep it close and cover the spread.
For this week four matchup between the Ravens and Bills, we have the Ravens coming out on top by a score of 26-24. However, the Bills are our pick to cover as road underdogs, with the point spread sitting at +2.5 in favor of the Ravens.
As for an over/under pick, we like taking the OVER with the line at 46.5 points, and we have this one finishing with just 50 combined points.
This is a prime AFC matchup you won’t want to miss, with fireworks guaranteed on both sides of the ball! Get your bets in early and stay tuned for more free NFL predictions all season long! This one’s shaping up to be an absolute thriller!
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Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
In your seats at 8 p.m., you don’t want to miss this 😈 pic.twitter.com/lGMDk5V6LY
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) September 27, 2024
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