Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Ravens vs. Steelers Odds
Looking for Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Ravens taking on the Steelers on Sunday, November 17th at the Acrisure Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Baltimore Pittsburgh matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(7-3) Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2)
Date: Sunday, November 17th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh PA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Baltimore -3 | Pittsburgh +3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Baltimore -175 | Pittsburgh +146
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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It all started in 1996 when the Browns became the Ravens. Since then the Steelers are up 35-25.
The last matchup was 1/6/24. A 17-10 Steelers win in Baltimore.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Steelers have the leg up at 3-0. The Steelers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 27 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
Baltimore Ravens
Heading into week 11, our power rankings have the Ravens sitting 2nd in the league, and they have a 99.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 63.1% chance of winning the AFC North. Baltimore is 7-3 this season, including a two-game winning streak. After a week 8 loss to the Browns, they bounced back with wins over the Broncos and Bengals. In week 10, they narrowly beat Cincinnati 35-34, but they couldn’t cover the 6-point spread. The combined 69 points easily cleared the 53-point line, giving the Ravens their 6th straight over.
Baltimore’s O/U record is 9-1 this season, and their games average 57.1 points, compared to an average line of 47.8. Against the spread, they are 5-4-1, with a +6.5 scoring margin. As favorites, they are 5-3-1 ATS, and they are 0-1 as underdogs. The Ravens are 4-1 at home and 3-2 on the road, and they have a 2-1 division record and a 4-3 conference record.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Heading into week 11, the Ravens are averaging 31.8 points per game, leading the NFL. They also rank 1st in passing yards (440.2 per game) and 3rd in passing yards (257.6 per game), despite being 25th in pass attempts. Baltimore is 3rd in rushing attempts and leads the league with 182.6 rushing yards per game. They rank 4th in 3rd-down conversions and are 2nd in red zone attempts, but they are 31st in red zone conversion percentage.
Lamar Jackson has been on fire, throwing for 290 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 10, with a passer rating of 141. He hasn’t thrown an interception in his last three games. Derrick Henry rushed for 68 yards on 16 carries in week 10, and Tylan Wallace had 3 catches for 115 yards. Baltimore scored 21 points in the 4th quarter against the Bengals.
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Despite giving up 421 passing yards to the Bengals, the Ravens’ defense allowed just 49 rushing yards on 16 attempts in their 35-34 win over the Bengals. Baltimore struggled to defend the pass, giving up four passing touchdowns, but they did manage to sack the quarterback three times and had 12 more QB hits than the Bengals.
On the day, Baltimore allowed 470 total yards and a 50% third-down conversion rate. The Ravens also forced the Bengals to complete only 60.7% of their passes.
Pittsburgh Steelers
With a 7-2 record, the Steelers sit atop the AFC North and have a 94% chance of making the playoffs. Pittsburgh has won four straight games, including a narrow 28-27 victory over the Commanders in week 10. They were 1.5-point underdogs in that game, but they managed to cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 7-2 this season.
The over has hit in four consecutive Steelers games, including week 10, when they and the Commanders combined for 55 points, surpassing the 45.5-point line. Pittsburgh’s O/U record is 5-4, with their games averaging 40.1 points per contest.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
Heading into week 11, the Steelers are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 10th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.9, and are 18th in yards per game with 326.3. Pittsburgh has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game with 138.3. On the other hand, they are 29th in passing attempts and 26th in passing yards, averaging 188 per game.
Russell Wilson threw for 195 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 10, with one interception. George Pickens led the team with 5 catches for 91 yards and a touchdown. Jaylen Warren had 66 rushing yards on 14 carries. The Steelers scored 7 points in each quarter against Washington and converted 3 of 4 red zone opportunities.
In their 28-27 win over the Commanders, the Steelers’ defense allowed just 182 passing yards on 17 completions. Washington managed only 60 rushing yards on 22 attempts, averaging just 2.7 yards per attempt. Pittsburgh’s defense was tough on third downs, allowing only a 35.7% conversion rate, and they did not give up any passing touchdowns.
The Steelers also recorded three sacks and held Washington to 242 total yards in the game. Despite not generating more quarterback hits, Pittsburgh did win the tackles for loss battle, with three more tackles for loss than Washington.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 2-2-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Steelers have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ravens’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Steelers’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Ravens vs. Steelers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -155 | -175 | -3 | -3 |
| Steelers | +130 | +146 | +3 | +3 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Pittsburgh +3
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as home underdogs in this week 11 matchup against the Ravens. The point spread lines have the Steelers at +3, and we actually have them not only covering but winning by a score of 26-23.
For an over/under pick, we like taking the over, with a predicted combined score of 49 points. With the O/U line sitting at 47.5 points, there is a little bit of room to work with in terms of our projections.
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
"A lot goes into games like this. It feels like a playoff game as much as it can feel in the regular season." – Steelers OC Arthur Smith
Top job for Wilson, Smith is to score one more point than Ravens https://t.co/uMGW66cdd3
— Dale Lolley (@dlolley_pgh) November 14, 2024
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