Free NFL Week 6 Pick: Falcons vs. Panthers Odds
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Panthers on Sunday, October 13th at the Bank of America Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Atlanta Carolina matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(3-2) Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers (1-4)
Date: Sunday, October 13th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte NC
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Atlanta -6 | Carolina +6
NFL Moneyline Odds: Atlanta -266 | Carolina +218
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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The Falcons and Panthers faced off twice last season, with each team winning on the road. The Falcons took the first game 24-10, while the Panthers won the second game 9-7. Atlanta was favored by -3.5 in the first game, and Carolina was +3 in the second. The over/under for the first game was 40.5 points, and 32.5 points for the second game. The combined points fell short of the over in both games.
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta heads into week 6 on a two-game winning streak, including a 36-30 victory over the Buccaneers in week 5. This win brought the Falcons’ record to 3-2, putting them in first place in the NFC South. They are 2-0 in division games and 3-0 against NFC opponents. Our projections give them a 58.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 44.0% chance of winning the division.
Atlanta ranks 17th in our NFL power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of -0.8 points per game and are 2-3 against the spread. Their O/U record is 2-3, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
Heading into week 6, the Falcons are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 16th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.2, and are 9th in total yards per game with 357.4. Atlanta has been pass-heavy, ranking 5th in passing attempts and 6th in passing yards per game, while sitting 27th in rushing attempts and 26th in rushing yards. They are 23rd in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage but rank 9th in red zone conversion percentage.
Kirk Cousins is coming off a huge week 5 performance, throwing for 509 yards and 4 touchdowns on 42/58 passing in a win over the Buccaneers. Drake London had 12 catches for 154 yards and a touchdown, while Bijan Robinson rushed for 61 yards on 12 carries.
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Despite giving up 160 rushing yards to the Buccaneers, the Falcons’ defense held up in their most recent game, allowing just 173 passing yards on 19 completions. They did give up three passing touchdowns, but the Falcons managed to pull out a 36-30 overtime win. Tampa Bay finished with 333 total yards against Atlanta.
Atlanta’s defense struggled to get off the field on third downs, as the Buccaneers converted 54.5% of their third down attempts. The Falcons only managed one sack in the game.
Carolina Panthers
Heading into week 6, the Panthers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 36-10 loss to the Bears in week 5. This leaves Carolina at 1-4, putting them 30th in our power rankings and giving them just a 1.4% chance of making the playoffs. Their only win so far came in week 3, when they beat the Raiders 36-22, but they couldn’t build on that, losing to the Bengals in week 4 and the Bears in week 5.
Against the spread, the Panthers are 1-4, with their only win coming against the Raiders. They’ve been underdogs in all of their games so far. In terms of over/under, the over has hit in three straight Panthers games, including week 5, when they and the Bears combined for 46 points, beating the 40-point line.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Heading into week 6, the Panthers are 26th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 16.6 points per game, which ranks 27th in the NFL. They are 23rd in total yards per game, with 291.2, and 24th in passing yards, despite ranking 10th in pass attempts. Carolina has been strong in the red zone, converting 75% of their trips, which ranks 6th in the league.
Andy Dalton struggled in week 5, posting a passer rating of 61 after throwing for 136 yards and an interception. Chuba Hubbard led the rushing attack with 97 yards on 13 carries, while Jalen Coker had 4 catches for 68 yards. Carolina scored just 3 points in the second half against the Bears and failed to convert on 3rd down, going 3 for 12.
Carolina’s defense struggled to generate pressure in their most recent game, finishing with just one sack and losing the QB hit differential by -8. The Panthers gave up 296 passing yards to the Bears, with Chicago finding success through the air, including 10.2 yards per passing attempt. Overall, the Panthers allowed 424 total yards in their 36-10 loss, with the Bears converting on 36.4% of their third down attempts.
On the ground, the Panthers allowed 128 rushing yards on 39 attempts, giving up 3.3 yards per attempt. Despite allowing two passing touchdowns, Carolina’s defense was unable to slow down the Bears’ offense, as Chicago moved the ball effectively throughout the game.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Panthers have gone 2-7-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Panthers’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Falcons vs. Panthers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | -166 | -267 | -3 | -6 |
| Panthers | +140 | +218 | +3 | +6 |
4* Free Week 6 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +6
Our prediction for this week six matchup between the Panthers and Falcons is that the Panthers will come out on top by a score of 31-28. With the point spread sitting at -6 in favor of the Falcons, we like the Panthers to cover the spread.
For this one, we also have a pick on the over/under line, which is at 47.5 points. Our projections have these teams combining for 59 points, making the over a good bet to take.
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