NFL Handicapping: The AFC South
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NFL Handicapping Insight
There was a long stretch in the 2000s in which the Indianapolis Colts owned the AFC South, and while it appeared that time had come to an end, we could be seeing the beginnings of another dominant run from Indianapolis as the teams around it fall apart, while the Colts appear to have gotten their house in order.
2019 AFC South Predictions: Indianapolis Colts
Colts Odds to Win 2019 Super Bowl: +1400
Colts Odds to Win 2019 AFC Conference: +650
Colts Odds to Win 2019 AFC South Division: -140
Last offseason, the questions around Andrew Luck were all about whether or not we’d ever see him return to form and become an elite quarterback again. This offseason, the questions have all been about whether we’ll see Luck take the next step and deliver an MVP-caliber season.
Luck’s dealing with a calf issue, but the Colts don’t seem concerned about that. They’ve build a heck of an offensive line to keep him upright, and Frank Reich should find new and creative ways to put him in position to deliver the ball to a deep group of pass-catchers.
The team spent most of the offseason building up its group on the defensive side of the ball, adding veteran Justin Houston to boost pass rush, and exhausting most of its draft picks on that side of the ball, setting up what could be a dominant season inside the division.
2019 AFC South Predictions: Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars Odds to Win 2019 Super Bowl: +5000
Jaguars Odds to Win 2019 AFC Conference: +2200
Jaguars Odds to Win 2019 AFC South Division: +475
When the season kicks off, the Jaguars will be only 20 months removed from an AFC title game appearance that saw them just minutes from earning a spot in the Super Bowl. Last season was a complete disappointment for the team, and they’ll now look to bounce back in a big way.
The team made its biggest statement in the offseason when it moved on from Blake Bortles, replacing him with Nick Foles, who moves south on a four-year, $88 million deal that brings with it lofty expectations. That didn’t leave the team much cap room to do anything else in free agency, but Josh Allen is a solid addition to the pass rush as the No. 5 overall selection.
2019 AFC South Predictions: Houston Texans
Texans Odds to Win 2019 Super Bowl: +5000
Texans Odds to Win 2019 AFC Conference: +2500
Texans Odds to Win 2019 AFC South Division: +335
Any talk about the Texans’ offseason has to include mention of the fact they don’t have a general manager. Nevertheless, the biggest issue that needed to be addressed in the offseason was the offensive line, and they covered that in a big way, signing free agent tackle Matt Kalil, then spending picks in the first and second rounds on offensive linemen, all in an effort to keep Deshaun Watson upright and healthy this season.
The team also made some under-the-radar additions to the defensive secondary that could pay major dividends, adding Bradley Roby and Briean Boddy-Calhoun to a unit that ranked 28th against the pass last season. The team’s win total also presents one of the better values on the futures board given their output in recent years.
2019 AFC South Predictions: Tennessee Titans
Titans Odds to Win 2019 Super Bowl: +8000
Titans Odds to Win 2019 AFC Conference: +4000
Titans Odds to Win 2019 AFC South Division: +750
The Titans are going to go as far as Marcus Mariota will take them, and the team continues to be let down year after year by his development. He’s not the only one, as Corey Davis has been coming along slowly as well. The front office added wide receiver Adam Humphries to the mix, hoping to kickstart things on that side of the ball.
On the defensive side, a couple veteran additions in safety Kenny Vaccaro and edge rusher Cameron Wake should help improve what was a solid defense a year ago.
Cappers Picks 2019 AFC South Predictions
The Colts could have a special season ahead of them, but there’s nothing secret about that, and the futures board is indicative of that.
This division presents a good opportunity for believers in the Jaguars or Texans to pick a side and run with it, and potentially get some decent value on a team with a chance to make some real noise in the AFC.
What do you think about our 2019 AFC South Predictions? Please leave us a comment below telling us how you think they’ll do in the 2019-2020 NFL Season!
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